NBER Working Papers

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23562: The Global Factor in Neutral Policy Rates: Some Implications for Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, and Policy Coordination

Richard Clarida

23561: Institutional Investors and Information Acquisition: Implications for Asset Prices and Informational Efficiency

Matthijs Breugem and Adrian Buss

23560: Opening Access: Banks and Politics in New York from the Revolution to the Civil War

Howard Bodenhorn

23559: Populism and the Economics of Globalization

Dani Rodrik

23558: How Soon Is Now? Evidence of Present Bias from Convex Time Budget Experiments

Uttara Balakrishnan, Johannes Haushofer and Pamela Jakiela

23557: Investing in the Presence of Massive Flows: The Case of MSCI Country Reclassifications

Terence Burnham, Harry Gakidis and Jeffrey Wurgler

23556: Equilibrium in a Competitive Insurance Market Under Adverse Selection with Endogenous Information

Joseph Stiglitz, Jungyoll Yun and Andrew Kosenko

23555: Show me the Money: Federal R&D Support for Academic Chemistry, 1990-2009

Joshua Rosenbloom and Donna Ginther

23554: Stock Volatility and the Great Depression

Gustavo Cortes and Marc Weidenmier

23553: Default Effects and Follow-On Behavior: Evidence from an Electricity Pricing Program

Meredith Fowlie, Catherine Wolfram, C. Anna Spurlock, Annika Todd, Patrick Baylis and Peter Cappers

23552: Leisure Luxuries and the Labor Supply of Young Men

Mark Aguiar, Mark Bils, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Erik Hurst

23551: Pathways to Retirement through Self-Employment

Shanthi Ramnath, John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

23550: The Consequences of Educational Voucher Reform in Chile

Richard Murnane, Marcus R. Waldman, John B. Willett, Maria Soledad Bos and Emiliana Vegas

23549: Expect Above Average Temperatures: Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change

Derek Lemoine

23548: Why Are Some Immigrant Groups More Successful than Others?

Edward Lazear

23547: What Was the Industrial Revolution?

Robert Lucas

23546: The Effect of Cash Injections: Evidence from the 1980s Farm Debt Crisis

Nittai K. Bergman, Rajkamal Iyer and Richard Thakor

23545: Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers

Will Dobbie and Jae Song

23544: Split-Sample Strategies for Avoiding False Discoveries

Michael Anderson and Jeremy Magruder

23543: The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009

John Fernald, Robert Hall, James Stock and Mark Watson

23542: The Impact of Alcohol on Mental Health, Physical Fitness, and Job Performance

Marigee Bacolod, Jesse Cunha and Yu-Chu Shen

23541: Internal Capital Markets in Times of Crisis: The Benefit of Group Affiliation in Italy

Raffaele Santioni, Fabio Schiantarelli and Philip E. Strahan

23540: The Aggregate Productivity Effects of Internal Migration: Evidence from Indonesia

Gharad Bryan and Melanie Morten

23539: Survey Under-Coverage of Top Incomes and Estimation of Inequality: What is the Role of the UK’s SPI Adjustment?

Richard Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen Jenkins and Roger Wilkins

23538: The Integration of Economic History into Economics

Robert Margo

23537: Mandatory Access Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs and Prescription Drug Abuse

Dhaval Dave, Anca M. Grecu and Henry Saffer

23536: Supply- and Demand-side Factors in Global Banking

Mary Amiti, Patrick McGuire and David Weinstein

23535: Foundations of Welfare Economics and Product Market Applications

Daniel McFadden

23534: A Framework for Sharing Confidential Research Data, Applied to Investigating Differential Pay by Race in the U. S. Government

Andrés F. Barrientos, Alexander Bolton, Tom Balmat, Jerome P. Reiter, John M. de Figueiredo, Ashwin Machanavajjhala, Yan Chen, Charles Kneifel and Mark DeLong

23533: Impacts of Climate Change and Extreme Weather on U.S. Agricultural Productivity: Evidence and Projection

Sun Ling Wang, Eldon Ball, Richard Nehring, Ryan Williams and Truong Chau

23532: Minimum Wage Increases, Wages, and Low-Wage Employment: Evidence from Seattle

Ekaterina Jardim, Mark Long, Robert Plotnick, Emma van Inwegen, Jacob Vigdor and Hilary Wething

23531: Innovation and American K-12 Education

Aaron Chatterji

23530: The Role of Hospital and Market Characteristics in Invasive Cardiac Service Diffusion

Jill R. Horwitz, Charleen Hsuan and Austin Nichols

23529: How Restricted is the Job Mobility of Skilled Temporary Work Visa Holders?

Jennifer Hunt

23528: Scraping By: Income and Program Participation After the Loss of Extended Unemployment Benefits

Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta

23527: Inference on Risk Premia in the Presence of Omitted Factors

Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu

23526: Does Strategic Ability Affect Efficiency? Evidence from Electricity Markets

Ali Hortacsu, Fernando Luco, Steven Puller and Dongni Zhu

23525: Women and STEM

Shulamit Kahn and Donna Ginther

23524: Long-Run Pollution Exposure and Adult Mortality: Evidence from the Acid Rain Program

Alan Barreca, Matthew Neidell and Nicholas Sanders

23523: Beetles: Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief

George Akerlof and Pascal Michaillat

23522: The Relevance of Broker Networks for Information Diffusion in the Stock Market

Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Amir Kermani and Carlo Sommavilla

23521: A Generalized Approach to Indeterminacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models

Francesco Bianchi and Giovanni Nicolò

23520: High School Genetic Diversity and Later-life Student Outcomes: Micro-level Evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study

Justin Cook and Jason Fletcher

23519: Heterogeneous Yield Impacts from Adoption of Genetically Engineered Corn and the Importance of Controlling for Weather

Jayson Lusk, Jesse Tack and Nathan Hendricks

23518: Health Plan Payment in Medicaid Managed Care: A Hybrid Model of Regulated Competition

Timothy Layton, Alice K. Ndikumana and Mark Shepard

23517: The Shock of Falling Among Older Americans

Inas Kelly

23516: Unions, Workers, and Wages at the Peak of the American Labor Movement

Brantly Callaway and William Collins

23515: Reorganization or Liquidation: Bankruptcy Choice and Firm Dynamics

P. Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo

23514: Mortality Inequality in Canada and the U.S.: Divergent or Convergent Trends?

Michael Baker, Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt

23513: Crop Disease and Agricultural Productivity

Christine L. Carroll, Colin Carter, Rachael Goodhue and C.-Y. Cynthia Lin Lawell

23512: Credit Market Freezes

Efraim Benmelech and Nittai K. Bergman

23511: Finance, farms, and the Fed's early years

Bruce Carlin and William Mann

23510: Right-to-Carry Laws and Violent Crime: A Comprehensive Assessment Using Panel Data and a State-Level Synthetic Control Analysis

John Donohue, Abhay Aneja and Kyle D. Weber

23509: Generalized Compensation Principle

Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

23508: Money and Politics: The Effects of Campaign Spending Limits on Political Competition and Incumbency Advantage

Eric Avis, Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan and Carlos Varjão

23507: Estimating the Recession-Mortality Relationship when Migration Matters

Vellore Arthi, Brian Beach and W Hanlon

23506: Social Security and Saving: An Update

Sita Slavov, Devon Gorry, Aspen Gorry and Frank Caliendo

23505: What is the Business of Business?

Andreas Nilsson and David Robinson

23504: Still More On Mariel: The Role of Race

George Borjas

23503: Trade Induced Structural Change and the Skill Premium

Javier Cravino and Sebastian Sotelo

23502: Dynamics of Housing Debt in the Recent Boom and Great Recession

Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar and Felipe Severino

23501: Planning for Retirement? The Importance of Time Preferences

Robert L. Clark, Robert Hammond, Christelle Khalaf and Melinda Morrill

23500: General Equilibrium Trade Modelling with Canada-US Transportation Costs

Chuantian He, Chunding Li and John Whalley

23499: Kinship, Cooperation, and the Evolution of Moral Systems

Benjamin Enke

23498: The Economic and Social Outcomes of Refugees in the United States: Evidence from the ACS

William Evans and Daniel Fitzgerald

23497: Unordered Monotonicity

James Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto

23496: Estimating the Impact of Crop Diversity on Agricultural Productivity in South Africa

Cecilia Bellora, Elodie Blanc, Jean-Marc Bourgeon and Eric Strobl

23495: Willingness to Pay for Low Water Footprint Food Choices During Drought

Hannah Krovetz, Rebecca Taylor and Sofia Villas-Boas

23494: When Inequality Matters for Macro and Macro Matters for Inequality

SeHyoun Ahn, Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, Thomas Winberry and Christian Wolf

23493: Corporate Liquidity, Acquisitions, and Macroeconomic Conditions

Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang, Bernadette A. Minton and Michael Weisbach

23492: The Value of Mandating Maternal Education in a Developing Country

Bahadir Dursun, Resul Cesur and Inas Kelly

23491: Using Aggregated Relational Data to Feasibly Identify Network Structure without Network Data

Emily Breza, Arun Chandrasekhar, Tyler H. McCormick and Mengjie Pan

23490: Identifying the Effect of Election Closeness on Voter Turnout: Evidence from Swiss Referenda

Leonardo Bursztyn, Davide Cantoni, Patricia Funk, Felix Schönenberger and Noam Yuchtman

23489: Reducing Inequality Through Dynamic Complementarity: Evidence from Head Start and Public School Spending

Rucker C. Johnson and C. Kirabo Jackson

23488: The Digital Privacy Paradox: Small Money, Small Costs, Small Talk

Susan Athey, Christian Catalini and Catherine Tucker

23487: How Did China’s WTO Entry Affect U.S. Prices?

Mary Amiti, Mi Dai, Robert Feenstra and John Romalis

23486: Maimonides Rule Redux

Joshua Angrist, Victor Lavy, Jetson Leder-Luis and Adi Shany

23485: Cyclical Job Ladders by Firm Size and Firm Wage

John Haltiwanger, Henry Hyatt, Lisa Kahn and Erika McEntarfer

23484: The Effects of Scientists and Engineers on Productivity and Earnings at the Establishment Where They Work

Erling Barth, James Davis, Richard Freeman and Andrew J. Wang

23483: The Long-Run Dynamics of Electricity Demand: Evidence from Municipal Aggregation

Tatyana Deryugina, Alexander MacKay and Julian Reif

23482: Per Capita Income and the Demand for Skills

Justin Caron, Thibault Fally and James Markusen

23481: Upstart Industrialization and Exports, Japan 1880-1910

Christopher Meissner and John Tang

23480: Robust Bond Risk Premia

Michael Bauer and James Hamilton

23479: Quantifying the Life-cycle Benefits of a Prototypical Early Childhood Program

Jorge Luis Garcia, James Heckman, Duncan Ermini Leaf and María José Prados

23478: An Evaluation of Bias in Three Measures of Teacher Quality: Value-Added, Classroom Observations, and Student Surveys

Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Mark J. Chin, Thomas J. Kane and Doug Staiger

23477: World War II and the Industrialization of the American South

Taylor Jaworski

23476: Complex Asset Markets

Andrea Eisfeldt, Hanno Lustig and Lei Zhang

23475: Insurgent Learning

Francesco Trebbi, Eric Weese, Austin L. Wright and Andrew Shaver

23474: Taper Tantrums: QE, its Aftermath and Emerging Market Capital Flows

Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Christian Lundblad

23473: Tax Advantages and Imperfect Competition in Auctions for Municipal Bonds

Daniel Garrett, Andrey Ordin, James W. Roberts and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

23472: Who Is Screened Out? Application Costs and the Targeting of Disability Programs

ManasI Deshpande and Yue Li

23471: Did the Affordable Care Act Young Adult Provision Affect Labor Market Outcomes? Analysis Using Tax Data

Bradley Heim, Ithai Lurie and Kosali Simon

23470: Measuring and Bounding Experimenter Demand

Jonathan de Quidt, Johannes Haushofer and Christopher Roth

23469: Acquiring Banking Networks

Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Zigan Wang

23468: Exit, Voice or Loyalty? An Investigation into Mandated Portability of Front-Loaded Private Health Plans

Juan Pablo Atal, Hanming Fang, Martin Karlsson and Nicolas Ziebarth

23467: Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks: Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and After the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Gemma Estrada and Shu Tian

23466: Disability Benefits, Consumption Insurance, and Household Labor Supply

David Autor, Andreas Kostøl, Magne Mogstad and Bradley Setzler

23465: Access and Use of Contraception and Its Effects on Women’s Outcomes in the U.S

Martha Bailey and Jason Lindo

23464: Are U.S. Companies Too Short-Term Oriented? Some Thoughts

Steven Kaplan

23463: School Performance, Accountability and Waiver Reforms: Evidence from Louisiana

Thomas Dee and Elise Dizon-Ross