NBER Working Papers

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26062: Are Analyst Trade Ideas Valuable?

Justin Birru, Sinan Gokkaya, Xi Liu and René Stulz

26061: Commanding Nature by Obeying Her: A Review Essay on Joel Mokyr’s A Culture of Growth

Enrico Spolaore

26060: Security Analysis: An Investment Perspective

Kewei Hou, Haitao Mo, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

26059: The Remarkable Unresponsiveness of College Students to Nudging And What We Can Learn from It

Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic

26058: Evaluation of Medical Technologies with Uncertain Benefits

Darius Lakdawalla and Charles E. Phelps

26057: Are Price-Cost Markups Rising in the United States? A Discussion of the Evidence

Susanto Basu

26056: A Classical View of the Business Cycle

Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland

26055: Youth Drain, Entrepreneurship and Innovation

Massimo Anelli, Gaetano Basso, Giuseppe Ippedico and Giovanni Peri

26054: Can Smallholder Extension Transform African Agriculture?

Joshua Deutschmann, Maya Duru, Kim Siegal and Emilia Tjernström

26053: Forward Guidance: Is It Useful Away from the Lower Bound?

Lilia Maliar and John Taylor

26052: The Effects of Decentralized and Video-based Extension on the Adoption of Integrated Soil Fertility Management – Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

Denise Hörner, Adrien Bouguen, Markus Frölich and Meike Wollni

26051: The Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Crime Victimization

Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen and Rachel Ryley

26050: China’s Overseas Lending

Sebastian Horn, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

26049: The Transmission of Shocks in Endogenous Financial Networks: A Structural Approach

Jonas Heipertz, Amine Ouazad and Romain Ranciere

26048: Does Knowing Your FICO Score Change Financial Behavior? Evidence from a Field Experiment with Student Loan Borrowers

Tatiana Homonoff, Rourke O'Brien and Abigail B. Sussman

26047: Fertility Decline in the Civil Rights Era

Owen Thompson

26046: Exchange Rate Reconnect

Andrew Lilley, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger

26045: Cheap Talk and Coordination in the Lab and in the Field: Collective Commercialization in Senegal

Fo Kodjo Dzinyefa Aflagah, Tanguy Bernard and Angelino Viceisza

26044: Effect of an Abrupt Change in Sexual and Reproductive Health Policy on Adolescent Birth Rates in Ecuador, 2008–2017

Omar Galarraga and Jeffrey E. Harris

26043: How Can Inclusive Agricultural Health Policy Intervention Promote Shared Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria? Evidence from Randomized Control Trial

Toyin Samuel Olowogbon, Raphael Babatunde and Edward Asiedu

26042: Private vs. Public Provision of Social Insurance: Evidence from Medicaid

Timothy Layton, Nicole Maestas, Daniel Prinz and Boris Vabson

26041: Strategic Sorting: The Role of Ordeals in Health Care

Richard Zeckhauser

26040: Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future

Eric Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu

26039: Global Dimensions of U.S. Monetary Policy

Maurice Obstfeld

26038: Is Great Information Good Enough? Evidence from Physicians as Patients

Michael D. Frakes, Jonathan Gruber and Anupam Jena

26037: Home and School in the Development of Children

Francesco Agostinelli, Morteza Saharkhiz and Matthew Wiswall

26036: Complexity and Sophistication

Leandro Carvalho and Dan Silverman

26035: Learning Management Through Matching: A Field Experiment Using Mechanism Design

Girum Abebe, Marcel Fafchamps, Michael Koelle and Simon Quinn

26034: The Founding of the Federal Reserve, the Great Depression and the Evolution of the U.S. Interbank Network

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

26033: Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data

Tomaz Cajner, Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas and Christopher Kurz

26032: Imperfect Risk-Sharing and the Business Cycle

David Berger, Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis

26031: On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks

Ricardo Caballero and Gunes Kamber

26030: The Impact of Medicaid on Medical Utilization in a Vulnerable Population: Evidence from COFA Migrants

Timothy Halliday, Randall Akee, Tetine Sentell, Megan Inada and Jill Miyamura

26029: Social Connectedness in Urban Areas

Michael Bailey, Patrick Farrell, Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel

26028: The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation

Robert Moffitt and Matthew V. Zahn

26027: Skill and Profit in Active Management

Robert Stambaugh

26026: Does a Currency Union Need a Capital Market Union? Risk Sharing via Banks and Markets

Joseba Martinez, Thomas Philippon and Markus Sihvonen

26025: Food Stamps and America’s Poorest

Dean Jolliffe, Juan Margitic and Martin Ravallion

26024: The Impact of Abortion on Crime and Crime-Related Behavior

Randi Hjalmarsson, Andreea Mitrut and Cristian Pop-Eleches

26023: Targeting High School Scholarships to the Poor: The Impact of a Program in Mexico

Rafael De Hoyos, Orazio Attanasio and Costas Meghir

26022: Publication, Compensation, and the Public Affairs Discount: Does Gender Play a Role?

Lori Taylor, Kalena E. Cortes and Travis C. Hearn

26021: Persistency in Teachers’ Grading Bias and Effects on Longer-Term Outcomes: University Admissions Exams and Choice of Field of Study

Victor Lavy and Rigissa Megalokonomou

26020: Dining Out as Cultural Trade

Joel Waldfogel

26019: Declining Worker Turnover: the Role of Short Duration Employment Spells

Michael Pries and Richard Rogerson

26018: GVCs and Trade Elasticities with Multistage Production

Robert Johnson and Andreas Moxnes

26017: The Effects of Traditional Cigarette and E-Cigarette Taxes on Adult Tobacco Product Use

Michael Pesko, Charles Courtemanche and Johanna Maclean

26016: On Testing Continuity and the Detection of Failures

Matthew Backus and Sida Peng

26015: Waiting for Affordable Housing in New York City

Holger Sieg and Chamna Yoon

26014: Whitelashing: Black Politicians, Taxes, and Violence

Trevon Logan

26013: From Theory to Practice: Field Experimental Evidence on Early Exposure of Engineering Majors to Professional Work

Kevin Boudreau and Matt Marx

26012: US Monetary Policy and International Bond Markets

Simon Gilchrist, Vivian Yue and Egon Zakrajšek

26011: Identification of a Class of Health-Outcome Distributions under a Common Form of Partial Data Observability

John Mullahy

26010: Accounting for Innovation in Consumer Digital Services: IT Still Matters

David Byrne and Carol Corrado

26009: Are Intermediary Constraints Priced?

Wenxin Du, Benjamin Hebert and Amy Wang Huber

26008: Individual vs. Social Motives in Identity Choice: Theory and Evidence from China

Ruixue Jia and Torsten Persson

26007: Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization

Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor and Fiona Scott Morton

26006: The Medium-Term Impacts of Girl-Friendly Schools: Seven-Year Evidence from School Construction in Burkina Faso

Harounan Kazianga, Leigh Linden, Ali Protik and Matthew Sloan

26005: Antitrust and Innovation: Welcoming and Protecting Disruption

Giulio Federico, Fiona Scott Morton and Carl Shapiro

26004: CEO-Board Dynamics

John R. Graham, Hyunseob Kim and Mark T. Leary

26003: Health and Economic Growth: Reconciling the Micro and Macro Evidence

David Bloom, David Canning, Rainer Kotschy, Klaus Prettner and Johannes Schünemann

26002: The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment

Janice Eberly, James Stock and Jonathan Wright

26001: The Failure of Free Entry

German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

26000: Implications of Increasing College Attainment for Aging in General Equilibrium

Juan Carlos Conesa, Timothy Kehoe, Vegard Nygaard and Gajendran Raveendranathan

25999: Wealth Shocks and MPC Heterogeneity

Dimitris Christelis, Dimitris Georgarakos, Tullio Jappelli, Luigi Pistaferri and Maarten van Rooij

25998: The Role of Nonemployers in Business Dynamism and Aggregate Productivity

Pedro Bento and Diego Restuccia

25997: Time Preference and the Great Depression: Evidence from Firewood Prices in Portland, Oregon

Nicholas Muller

25996: Inflation and Exchange Rate Targeting Challenges Under Fiscal Dominance

Rashad Ahmed, Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak

25995: Is There a Risk-Return Tradeoff in the Corporate Bond Market? Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Evidence

Jennie Bai, Turan G. Bali and Quan Wen

25994: The Long-Term Impacts of Girl-Friendly Schools: Evidence from the BRIGHT School Construction Program in Burkina Faso

Nicholas Ingwersen, Harounan Kazianga, Leigh Linden, Arif Mamun, Ali Protik and Matthew Sloan

25993: Temporary Colocation and Collaborative Discovery: Who Confers at Conferences

Sen Chai and Richard Freeman

25992: Staple Products, Linkages, and Development: Evidence from Argentina

Federico Droller and Martin Fiszbein

25991: Estimating the Benefits of New Products

Walter Diewert and Robert Feenstra

25990: School Desegregation and Black Teacher Employment

Owen Thompson

25989: Do Temporary Workers Experience Additional Employment and Earnings Risk After Workplace Injuries?

Nicholas Broten, Michael Dworsky and David Powell

25988: Endogenous Social Connections in Legislatures

Marco Battaglini, Eleonora Patacchini and Edoardo Rainone

25987: Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation

James Stock and Mark Watson

25986: The Health Impacts of Hospital Delivery Practices

David Card, Alessandra Fenizia and David Silver

25985: The Political Economy of Social Security Reform

Michael J. Boskin, Diego J. Perez and Daniel S. Bennett

25984: Hurricane Katrina Floods New Jersey: The Role of Information in the Market Response to Flood Risk

Nicholas Muller and Caroline Hopkins

25983: From Good to Bad Concentration? U.S. Industries over the past 30 years

Matias Covarrubias, German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

25982: Gender Wage Gaps and Worker Mobility: Evidence from the Garment Sector in Bangladesh

Andreas Menzel and Christopher Woodruff

25981: No Household Left Behind: Afghanistan Targeting the Ultra Poor Impact Evaluation

Guadalupe Bedoya, Aidan Coville, Johannes Haushofer, Mohammad Isaqzadeh and Jeremy P. Shapiro

25980: The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia

Samuel Bazzi, Robert A. Blair, Christopher Blattman, Oeindrila Dube, Matthew Gudgeon and Richard Merton Peck

25979: Search for Yield in Large International Corporate Bonds: Investor Behavior and Firm Responses

Charles Calomiris, Mauricio Larrain, Sergio Schmukler and Tomas Williams

25978: International Comovement in the Global Production Network

Zhen Huo, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

25977: Prudential Monetary Policy

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

25976: How do Humans Interact with Algorithms? Experimental Evidence from Health Insurance

M. Kate Bundorf, Maria Polyakova and Ming Tai-Seale

25975: Place-Based Drivers of Mortality: Evidence from Migration

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow and Heidi Williams

25974: Can Policy Affect Initiation of Addictive Substance Use? Evidence from Opioid Prescribing

Daniel W. Sacks, Alex Hollingsworth, Thuy D. Nguyen and Kosali Simon

25973: Accounting for the Impact of Medicaid on Child Poverty

Sanders Korenman, Dahlia K. Remler and Rosemary T. Hyson

25972: Who Provides Liquidity, and When?

Sida Li, Xin Wang and Mao Ye

25971: Are Quality-Adjusted Medical Prices Declining for Chronic Disease? Evidence from Diabetes Care in Four Health Systems

Karen Eggleston, Brian K. Chen, Chih-Hung Chen, Ying Isabel Chen, Talitha Feenstra, Toshiaki Iizuka, Janet Tinkei Lam, Gabriel M. Leung, Jui-fen Rachel Lu, Beatriz Rodriguez-Sanchez, Jeroen N. Struijs, Jianchao Quan and Joseph Newhouse

25970: Demographics and Monetary Policy Shocks

Kimberly Berg, Chadwick Curtis, Steven Lugauer and Nelson Mark

25969: Protecting Infants from Natural Disasters: The Case of Vitamin A Supplementation and a Tornado in Bangladesh

Snaebjorn Gunnsteinsson, Achyuta Adhvaryu, Parul Christian, Alain Labrique, Jonathan Sugimoto, Abu Ahmed Shamim and Keith P. West

25968: The Industrial Revolution in Services

Chang-Tai Hsieh and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

25967: Are Referees and Editors in Economics Gender Neutral?

David Card, Stefano DellaVigna, Patricia Funk and Nagore Iriberri

25966: What's Wrong with Pittsburgh? Delegated Investors and Liquidity Concentration

Andra Ghent

25965: Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China’s Pre-WTO Accession

George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan and Armen Khederlarian

25964: When Behavioral Barriers are Too High or Low – How Timing Matters for Parenting Interventions

Kalena E. Cortes, Hans Fricke, Susanna Loeb, David S. Song and Benjamin N. York

25963: Do Tax Incentives Affect Business Location and Economic Development? Evidence from State Film Incentives

Patrick Button