NBER Working Papers

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17961: The Rise of Middle Kingdoms: Emerging Economies in Global Trade

Gordon Hanson

17960: The Evolution of the Black-White Test Score Gap in Grades K-3: The Fragility of Results

Timothy Bond and Kevin Lang

17959: Platform Pricing at Sports Card Conventions

Ginger Zhe Jin and Marc Rysman

17958: Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence

Ruediger Bachmann, Tim Berg and Eric Sims

17957: On the Generalizability of Experimental Results in Economics

Omar Al-Ubaydli and John List

17956: How Frequent Are Small Price Changes?

Martin Eichenbaum, Nir Jaimovich, Sergio Rebelo and Josephine Smith

17955: In Whom We Trust: The Role of Certification Agencies in Online Drug Markets

Roger Bate, Ginger Zhe Jin and Aparna Mathur

17954: How Can Bill and Melinda Gates Increase Other People's Donations to Fund Public Goods?

Dean Karlan and John List

17953: A theory of the perturbed consumer with general budgets

Daniel McFadden and Mogens Fosgerau

17952: A Personal Touch: Text Messaging for Loan Repayment

Dean Karlan, Melanie Morten and Jonathan Zinman

17951: Who Suffers During Recessions?

Hilary Hoynes, Douglas Miller and Jessamyn Schaller

17950: The Impact of Corporate Sustainability on Organizational Processes and Performance

Robert G. Eccles, Ioannis Ioannou and George Serafeim

17949: Education, Cognition, Health Knowledge, and Health Behavior

Naci Mocan and Duha Altindag

17948: Costly Labor Adjustment: Effects of China's Employment Regulations

Russell Cooper, Guan Gong and Ping Yan

17947: Salience and Consumer Choice

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

17946: The Mystery of Zero-Leverage Firms

Ilya Strebulaev and Baozhong Yang

17945: Investment Busts, Reputation, and the Temptation to Blend in with the Crowd

Steven Grenadier, Andrey Malenko and Ilya Strebulaev

17944: Debt Deleveraging and The Exchange Rate

Pierpaolo Benigno and Federica Romei

17943: Price Subsidies, Diagnostic Tests, and Targeting of Malaria Treatment: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial

Jessica Cohen, Pascaline Dupas and Simone Schaner

17942: Do Private Equity Managers Earn Their Fees? Compensation, Ownership, and Cash Flow Performance

David Robinson and Berk A. Sensoy

17941: A Series of Unfortunate Events: Common Sequencing Patterns in Financial Crises

Carmen Reinhart

17940: Tailspotting: Identifying and profiting from CEO vacation trips

David Yermack

17939: School Governance, Teacher Incentives, and Pupil-Teacher Ratios: Experimental Evidence from Kenyan Primary Schools

Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas and Michael Kremer

17938: Remedies for Sick Insurance

Daniel McFadden, Carlos Noton and Pau Olivella

17937: Is There "Too Much" Inequality in Health Spending Across Income Groups?

Laurence Ales, Roozbeh Hosseini and Larry Jones

17936: Do High-Cost Hospitals Deliver Better Care? Evidence from Ambulance Referral Patterns

Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., John A. Graves, Jonathan Gruber and Samuel Kleiner

17935: Debt Financing in Asset Markets

Zhiguo He and Wei Xiong

17934: Liquidity, Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy

Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and John Moore

17933: Mandate-Based Health Reform and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Massachusetts Reform

Jonathan Kolstad and Amanda Kowalski

17932: Education and Mortality: Evidence from a Social Experiment

Costas Meghir, Mårten Palme and Emilia Simeonova

17931: Limited Life Expectancy, Human Capital and Health Investments: Evidence from Huntington Disease

Emily Oster, Ira Shoulson and E. Ray Dorsey

17930: Financial Literacy and the Financial Crisis

Leora Klapper, Annamaria Lusardi and Georgios Panos

17929: The Market for Financial Advice: An Audit Study

Sendhil Mullainathan, Markus Noeth and Antoinette Schoar

17928: Does March Madness Lead to Irrational Exuberance in the NBA Draft? High-Value Employee Selection Decisions and Decision-Making Bias

Casey Ichniowski and Anne E. Preston

17927: What Will My Account Really Be Worth? An Experiment on Exponential Growth Bias and Retirement Saving

Gopi Goda, Colleen Flaherty Manchester and Aaron Sojourner

17926: The Free Rider Problem: a Dynamic Analysis

Marco Battaglini, Salvatore Nunnari and Thomas Palfrey

17925: Prices, Markups and Trade Reform

Jan De Loecker, Pinelopi Goldberg, Amit Khandelwal and Nina Pavcnik

17924: Lumpy Investment, Lumpy Inventories

Ruediger Bachmann and Lin Ma

17923: Price Setting with menu cost for Multi-product firms

Fernando E. Alvarez and Francesco Lippi

17922: The Opt-In Revolution? Contraception and the Gender Gap in Wages

Martha Bailey, Brad Hershbein and Amalia Miller

17921: Convective Risk Flows in Commodity Futures Markets

Ing-Haw Cheng, Andrei Kirilenko and Wei Xiong

17920: Debt and Creative Destruction: Why Could Subsidizing Corporate Debt be Optimal?

Zhiguo He and Gregor Matvos

17919: Indirect Tax Initiatives and Global Rebalancing

Chunding Li and John Whalley

17918: Estimating the Relationship between Alcohol Policies and Criminal Violence and Victimization

Sara Markowitz, Erik Nesson, Eileen Poe-Yamagata, Curtis Florence, Partha Deb, Tracy Andrews and Sarah Beth L. Barnett

17917: Game Over: Simulating Unsustainable Fiscal Policy

Richard Evans, Laurence Kotlikoff and Kerk L. Phillips

17916: Evaluating Estimates of Materials Offshoring from U.S. Manufacturing

Robert Feenstra and J. Jensen

17915: You Get a Book! Demand Spillovers, Combative Advertising, and Celebrity Endorsements

Craig L. Garthwaite

17914: Housing Booms and City Centers

Edward Glaeser, Joshua Gottlieb and Kristina Tobio

17913: 'Fiscal Devaluation' and Fiscal Consolidation: The VAT in Troubled Times

Ruud de Mooij and Michael Keen

17912: Improving Police Performance in Rajasthan, India: Experimental Evidence on Incentives, Managerial Autonomy and Training

Abhijit Banerjee, Raghabendra Chattopadhyay, Esther Duflo, Daniel Keniston and Nina Singh

17911: Target-Date Funds in 401(k) Retirement Plans

Olivia Mitchell and Stephen Utkus

17910: Hiring, Churn and the Business Cycle

Edward Lazear and James Spletzer

17909: Financial Regulation in General Equilibrium

Charles A.E. Goodhart, Anil Kashyap, Dimitrios Tsomocos and Alexandros P. Vardoulakis

17908: Exit from a Monetary Union through Euroization: Discipline without Chaos

Russell Cooper

17907: International Portfolio Diversification and Multilateral Effects of Correlations

Paul Bergin and Ju Hyun Pyun

17906: Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models

Jon Faust and Abhishek Gupta

17905: The Macroeconomics of Microfinance

Francisco Buera, Joseph Kaboski and Yongseok Shin

17904: Status, Marriage, and Managers' Attitudes To Risk

Nikolai Roussanov and Pavel Savor

17903: Perceptions and Misperceptions of Fiscal Inflation

Eric Leeper and Todd Walker

17902: An Exploration of Luxury Hotels in Tanzania

Diego Comin

17901: Geographic and Racial Variation in Premature Mortality in the US: Analyzing the Disparities

Mark R. Cullen, Clint Cummins and Victor Fuchs

17900: Ambiguous Business Cycles

Cosmin Ilut and Martin Schneider

17899: Why Do Life Insurance Policyholders Lapse? The Roles of Income, Health and Bequest Motive Shocks

Hanming Fang and Edward Kung

17898: Optimal Regulation in the Presence of Reputation Concerns

Andrew Atkeson, Christian Hellwig and Guillermo Ordonez

17897: On the Road: Access to Transportation Infrastructure and Economic Growth in China

Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Nancy Qian

17896: Does Inequality Lead to a Financial Crisis?

Michael Bordo and Christopher Meissner

17895: Search Fatigue

Bruce Ian Carlin and Florian Ederer

17894: Central Banks and Gold Puzzles

Joshua Aizenman and Kenta Inoue

17893: Does Universal Coverage Improve Health? The Massachusetts Experience

Charles Courtemanche and Daniela Zapata

17892: Should Aid Reward Performance? Evidence from a Field Experiment on Health and Education in Indonesia

Benjamin Olken, Junko Onishi and Susan Wong

17891: Gasoline Taxes and Consumer Behavior

Shanjun Li, Joshua Linn and Erich Muehlegger

17890: Approximating High-Dimensional Dynamic Models: Sieve Value Function Iteration

Peter Arcidiacono, Patrick Bayer, Federico Bugni and Jonathan James

17889: Vertical Integration and Market Structure

Timothy Bresnahan and Jonathan Levin

17888: Why Don't Women Patent?

Jennifer Hunt, Jean-Philippe Garant, Hannah Herman and David J. Munroe

17887: The Role of Age in Jury Selection and Trial Outcomes

Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer and Randi Hjalmarsson

17886: Heterogeneity in Target-Date Funds: Optimal Risk-Taking or Risk Matching?

Pierluigi Balduzzi and Jonathan Reuter

17885: The Barnett Critique After Three Decades: A New Keynesian Analysis

Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland

17884: Fiscal Rules: Theoretical Issues and Historical Experiences

Charles Wyplosz

17883: Referrals: Peer Screening and Enforcement in a Consumer Credit Field Experiment

Gharad T. Bryan, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

17882: Estimating Loan-to-Value and Foreclosure Behavior

Arthur Korteweg and Morten Sorensen

17881: Can Public Sector Wage Bills Be Reduced?

Pierre Cahuc and Stéphane Carcillo

17880: Business Cycles and Household Formation: The Micro vs the Macro Labor Elasticity

Sebastian Dyrda, Greg Kaplan and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

17879: Engines of Growth: Farm Tractors and Twentieth-Century U.S. Economic Welfare

Richard Steckel and William J. White

17878: Prices versus Quantities versus Bankable Quantities

Harrison Fell, Ian MacKenzie and William Pizer

17877: Does the Current Account Still Matter?

Maurice Obstfeld

17876: Dynamic Adverse Selection: A Theory of Illiquidity, Fire Sales, and Flight to Quality

Veronica Guerrieri and Robert Shimer

17875: Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?

Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn and Xingwang Qian

17874: Private Equity Performance: What Do We Know?

Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson and Steven Kaplan

17873: Follow the Money: Quantifying Domestic Effects of Foreign Bank Shocks in the Great Recession

Nicola Cetorelli and Linda Goldberg

17872: International Consumption Risk Is Shared After All: An Asset Return View

Karen Lewis and Edith Liu

17871: Right-Wing Political Extremism in the Great Depression

Alan de Bromhead, Barry Eichengreen and Kevin O'Rourke

17870: Effects of Medicare Payment Reform: Evidence from the Home Health Interim and Prospective Payment Systems

Peter J. Huckfeldt, Neeraj Sood, José J. Escarce, David C. Grabowski and Joseph Newhouse

17869: Culture and the Historical Process

Nathan Nunn

17868: Crisis-Related Shifts in the Market Valuation of Banking Activities

Charles Calomiris and Doron Nissim

17867: Financing-Motivated Acquisitions

Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang and Michael Weisbach

17866: The Decision to Delay Social Security Benefits: Theory and Evidence

John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

17865: Stimulating Demand for AIDS Prevention: Lessons from the RESPECT Trial

Damien de Walque, William Dow, Carol Medlin and Rose Nathan

17864: International Trade: Linking Micro and Macro

Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum and Sebastian Sotelo

17863: Financial Sophistication in the Older Population

Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia Mitchell and Vilsa Curto

17862: How Do Laffer Curves Differ Across Countries?

Mathias Trabandt and Harald Uhlig