NBER Working Papers

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18079: The Rise and Fall of Unions in the U.S

Emin Dinlersoz and Jeremy Greenwood

18078: A Markov-Switching Multi-Fractal Inter-Trade Duration Model, with Application to U.S. Equities

Fei Chen, Francis Diebold and Frank Schorfheide

18077: Has the U.S. Finance Industry Become Less Efficient? On the Theory and Measurement of Financial Intermediation

Thomas Philippon

18076: Sequential or Simultaneous Elections? A Welfare Analysis

Patrick Hummel and Brian Knight

18075: The Effect of Housing Wealth on College Choice: Evidence from the Housing Boom

Michael Lovenheim and Curtis Reynolds

18074: Financial Constraints, Endogenous Markups, and Self-fulfilling Equilibria

Jess Benhabib and Pengfei Wang

18073: Counterfeit or Substandard? Assessing Price and Non-Price Signals of Drug Quality

Roger Bate, Ginger Zhe Jin and Aparna Mathur

18072: Monetary Policy, Liquidity, and Growth

Philippe Aghion, Emmanuel Farhi and Enisse Kharroubi

18071: The Smart Grid, Entry, and Imperfect Competition in Electricity Markets

Hunt Allcott

18070: Weathering the Storm: Hurricanes and Birth Outcomes

Janet Currie and Maya Rossin-Slater

18069: Estimating Racial Price Differentials in the Housing Market

Patrick Bayer, Marcus Casey, Fernando Ferreira and Robert McMillan

18068: Quantile Treatment Effects of College Quality on Earnings: Evidence from Administrative Data in Texas

Rodney J. Andrews, Jing Li and Michael Lovenheim

18067: Foreign Born Scientists: Mobility Patterns for Sixteen Countries

Chiara Franzoni, Giuseppe Scellato and Paula Stephan

18066: The Money Value of a Man

Mark Huggett and Greg Kaplan

18065: Revising Commitments: Field Evidence on the Adjustment of Prior Choices

Xavier Gine, Jessica Goldberg, Dan Silverman and Dean Yang

18064: Identifying Confirmatory Bias in the Field: Evidence from a Poll of Experts

Rodney J. Andrews, Trevon Logan and Michael J. Sinkey

18063: Pseudo-Predictability in Conditional Asset Pricing Tests: Explaining Anomaly Performance with Politics, the Weather, Global Warming, Sunspots, and the Stars

Robert Novy-Marx

18062: Protectionism Isn't Counter‐Cyclic (anymore)

Andrew Rose

18061: Comparative Advantage and the Welfare Impact of European Integration

Andrei Levchenko and Jing Zhang

18060: Does Employer-Provided Health Insurance Constrain Labor Supply Adjustments to Health Shocks? New Evidence on Women Diagnosed with Breast Cancer

Cathy J. Bradley, David Neumark and Scott Barkowski

18059: House Price Moments in Boom-Bust Cycles

Todd Sinai

18058: Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Grey Gordon, Pablo Guerron and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

18057: Country Size, Currency Unions, and International Asset Returns

Tarek Hassan

18056: Estimating Person-Centered Treatment (PeT) Effects Using Instrumental Variables

Anirban Basu

18055: Estimating the Economic Impacts of Living Wage Mandates Using Ex Ante Simulations, Longitudinal Estimates, and New Public and Administrative Data: Evidence for New York City

David Neumark, Matthew Thompson, Francesco Brindisi, Leslie Koyle and Clayton Reck

18054: The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States

David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson

18053: Evidence on the Impact of R&D and ICT Investment on Innovation and Productivity in Italian Firms

Bronwyn Hall, Francesca Lotti and Jacques Mairesse

18052: Bubble Thy Neighbor: Portfolio Effects and Externalities from Capital Controls

Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, Thomas Kostka and Roland Straub

18051: How is Economic Hardship Avoided by Those Retiring Before the Social Security Entitlement Age?

Kevin Milligan

18050: Should Benchmark Indices Have Alpha? Revisiting Performance Evaluation

Martijn Cremers, Antti Petajisto and Eric Zitzewitz

18049: Education and Military Rivalry

Philippe Aghion, Torsten Persson and Dorothée Rouzet

18048: Industrial Policy and Competition

Philippe Aghion, Mathias Dewatripont, Luosha Du, Ann Harrison and Patrick Legros

18047: The Impact of Immigration on the Educational Attainment of Natives

Jennifer Hunt

18046: Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels

Torben Andersen, Nicola Fusari and Viktor Todorov

18045: Why do we Redistribute so Much but Tag so Little? The principle of equal sacrifice and optimal taxation

Matthew Weinzierl

18044: Cash for Coolers

Lucas Davis, Alan Fuchs and Paul Gertler

18043: Tracking Variation in Systemic Risk at US Banks During 1974-2013

Armen Hovakimian, Edward Kane and Luc Laeven

18042: Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment

Sylvain Leduc and Daniel Wilson

18041: Competition, Markups, and the Gains from International Trade

Chris Edmond, Virgiliu Midrigan and Yi Xu

18040: On Fiscal Illusion and Ricardian Equivalence in Local Public Finance

Spencer Banzhaf and Wallace Oates

18039: The Effect of Village-Based Schools: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Afghanistan

Dana Burde and Leigh Linden

18038: Knowledge, Tests, and Fadeout in Educational Interventions

Elizabeth Cascio and Doug Staiger

18037: Effective and Equitable Adoption of Opt-In Residential Dynamic Electricity Pricing

Severin Borenstein

18036: Macro-Prudential Policy in a Fisherian model of Financial Innovation

Javier Bianchi, Emine Boz and Enrique Mendoza

18035: The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk

Fatih Guvenen, Serdar Ozkan and Jae Song

18034: Misallocation and Productivity Effects of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff

Eric Bond, Mario Crucini, Tristan Potter and Joel Rodrigue

18033: Up in Smoke: The Influence of Household Behavior on the Long-Run Impact of Improved Cooking Stoves

Rema Hanna, Esther Duflo and Michael Greenstone

18032: Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners

Bruce Blonigen, Jeremy Piger and Nicholas Sly

18031: Prudential Policy for Peggers

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

18030: Misallocation, Property Rights, and Access to Finance: Evidence from Within and Across Africa

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Bent Sorensen

18029: Testing Motives for Charitable Giving: A Revealed-Preference Methodology with Experimental Evidence

Rahul Deb, Robert Gazzale and Matthew Kotchen

18028: Developing countries' financial vulnerability to the euro crisis: An event study of equity and bond markets

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Minsoo Lee and Donghyun Park

18027: The Anatomy of a Credit Crisis: The Boom and Bust in Farm Land Prices in the United States in the 1920s

Raghuram Rajan and Rodney Ramcharan

18026: The Impact of the 2009 Federal Tobacco Excise Tax Increase on Youth Tobacco Use

Jidong Huang and Frank Chaloupka

18025: The Impact of Health Information Technology on Hospital Productivity

Jinhyung Lee, Jeffrey S. McCullough and Robert Town

18024: Winning by Losing: Evidence on the Long-Run Effects of Mergers

Ulrike Malmendier, Enrico Moretti and Florian S. Peters

18023: The Impact of Patient Cost-Sharing on the Poor: Evidence from Massachusetts

Amitabh Chandra, Jonathan Gruber and Robin McKnight

18022: Equilibrium Labor Turnover, Firm Growth and Unemployment

Melvyn Coles and Dale Mortensen

18021: Banks, Free Banks, and U.S. Economic Growth

Matthew Jaremski and Peter Rousseau

18020: Why Do Firms Own Production Chains?

Enghin Atalay, Ali Hortacsu and Chad Syverson

18019: The demand for, and consequences of, formalization among informal firms in Sri Lanka

Suresh De Mel, David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff

18018: Sales Taxes and Internet Commerce

Liran Einav, Dan Knoepfle, Jonathan Levin and Neel Sundaresan

18017: Toward an Understanding of Learning by Doing: Evidence from an Automobile Assembly Plant

Steven Levitt, John List and Chad Syverson

18016: Empowering Women Through Education: Evidence from Sierra Leone

Naci Mocan and Colin Cannonier

18015: Debt Overhangs: Past and Present

Carmen Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

18014: Riester Pensions in Germany: Design, Dynamics, Targetting Success and Crowding-In

Axel H. Börsch-Supan, Michela Coppola and Anette Reil-Held

18013: Resolving the African Financial Development Gap: Cross-Country Comparisons and a Within-Country Study of Kenya

Franklin Allen, Elena Carletti, Robert Cull, Jun Qian, Lemma Senbet and Patricio Valenzuela

18012: Fuel Economy and Safety: The Influences of Vehicle Class and Driver Behavior

Mark R. Jacobsen

18011: A Nation of Immigrants: Assimilation and Economic Outcomes in the Age of Mass Migration

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Katherine Eriksson

18010: Measuring Test Measurement Error: A General Approach

Donald Boyd, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb and James Wyckoff

18009: Entitlement Reforms in Europe: Policy Mixes in the Current Pension Reform Process

Axel H. Börsch-Supan

18008: Goods Trade, Factor Mobility and Welfare

Stephen Redding

18007: The Effect of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rules on Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence

Roger Farmer

18006: Comparing Real Wages

Orley Ashenfelter

18005: Would You Buy a Honda Made in the U.S.? The Impact of Production Location on Manufacturing Quality

Nicola Lacetera and Justin R. Sydnor

18004: The Evolving Importance of Banks and Securities Markets

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Erik Feyen and Ross Levine

18003: Demand for Smokeless Tobacco: Role of Magazine Advertising

Dhaval Dave and Henry Saffer

18002: Primate Evidence on the Late Health Effects of Early Life Adversity

Gabriella Conti, Christopher Hansman, James Heckman, Matthew F. X. Novak, Angela Ruggiero and Stephen J. Suomi

18001: Executives' "Off-The-Job" Behavior, Corporate Culture, and Financial Reporting Risk

Robert Davidson, Aiyesha Dey and Abbie J. Smith

18000: Status Competition and Housing Prices

Shang-Jin Wei, Xiaobo Zhang and Yin Liu

17999: Patent Disclosure in Standard Setting

Bernhard Ganglmair and Emanuele Tarantino

17998: Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

Domenico Ferraro, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi

17997: Is Paper Money Just Paper Money? Experimentation and Variation in the Paper Monies Issued by the American Colonies from 1690 to 1775

Farley Grubb

17996: Saving Babies: The Contribution of Sheppard-Towner to the Decline in Infant Mortality in the 1920s

Carolyn Moehling and Melissa Thomasson

17995: Following Through on Good Intentions: The Power of Planning Prompts

Katherine Milkman, John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

17994: The World our Grandchildren Will Inherit: The Rights Revolution and Beyond

Daron Acemoglu

17993: Trends in Occupational Segregation by Gender 1970-2009: Adjusting for the Impact of Changes in the Occupational Coding System

Francine Blau, Peter Brummund and Albert Liu

17992: Is India's Manufacturing Sector Moving Away From Cities?

Ejaz Ghani, Arti Grover and William Kerr

17991: Trade and Inequality: From Theory to Estimation

Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki, Marc-Andreas Muendler and Stephen Redding

17990: School Turnarounds: Evidence from the 2009 Stimulus

Thomas Dee

17989: A Theory of Optimal Capital Taxation

Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez

17988: Defaults and Attention: The Drop Out Effect

Andrew Caplin and Daniel Martin

17987: The Role of Government Reimbursement in Drug Shortages

Ali Yurukoglu, Eli Liebman and David Ridley

17986: On The Political Economy Of Educational Vouchers

Dennis Epple and Richard Romano

17985: Heterogeneity in Human Capital Investments: High School Curriculum, College Major, and Careers

Joseph Altonji, Erica Blom and Costas Meghir

17984: Epilogue: Foreign-Exchange-Market Operations in the Twenty-First Century

Michael Bordo, Owen Humpage and Anna Schwartz

17983: The Choice between Formal and Informal Intellectual Property: A Literature Review

Bronwyn Hall, Christian Helmers, Mark Rogers and Vania Sena

17982: The Evolution of Income, Consumption, and Leisure Inequality in The US, 1980-2010

Orazio Attanasio, Erik Hurst and Luigi Pistaferri

17981: How much do firms pay as bribes and what benefits do they get? Evidence from corruption cases worldwide

Yan Leung Cheung, Raghavendra Rau and Aris Stouraitis

17980: University Entrepreneurship and Professor Privilege

Erika Färnstrand Damsgaard and Marie Thursby