NBER Working Papers

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25141: Unlucky Cohorts: Estimating the Long-term Effects of Entering the Labor Market in a Recession in Large Cross-sectional Data Sets

Hannes Schwandt and Till von Wachter

25140: The Valuation of Fisheries Rights: A Real Options Approach

Jose Pizarro and Eduardo S. Schwartz

25139: Revealed Preference Analysis with Framing Effects

Jacob Goldin and Daniel Reck

25138: More Amazon Effects: Online Competition and Pricing Behaviors

Alberto Cavallo

25137: Information and Bargaining through Agents: Experimental Evidence from Mexico’s Labor Courts

Joyce Sadka, Enrique Seira Bejarano and Christopher Woodruff

25136: Connecting to Power: Political Connections, Innovation, and Firm Dynamics

Ufuk Akcigit, Salome Baslandze and Francesca Lotti

25135: Analyzing the Aftermath of a Compensation Reduction

Jason Sandvik, Richard Saouma, Nathan Seegert and Christopher Stanton

25134: Linear IV Regression Estimators for Structural Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul Scott and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues

25133: How Will Persistent Low Expected Returns Shape Household Economic Behavior?

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

25132: Matrix Completion Methods for Causal Panel Data Models

Susan Athey, Mohsen Bayati, Nikolay Doudchenko, Guido Imbens and Khashayar Khosravi

25131: From Paper to Plastic: Understanding the Impact of eWIC on WIC Recipient Behavior

Andrew Hanks, Carolyn Gunther, Dean Lillard and Robert L. Scharff

25130: The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China’s Wan Xi Shao Campaign

Kimberly Singer Babiarz, Paul Ma, Grant Miller and Shige Song

25129: Navigating Complex Financial Decisions at Retirement: Evidence from Annuity Choices in Public Sector Pensions

Robert L. Clark, Robert Hammond and David Vanderweide

25128: The Minimum Wage and Search Effort

Camilla Adams, Jonathan Meer and CarlyWill Sloan

25127: Post-FOMC Announcement Drift in U.S. Bond Markets

Jordan Brooks, Michael Katz and Hanno Lustig

25126: Overcoming Wealth Inequality by Capital Taxes that Finance Public Investment

Linus Mattauch, David Klenert, Joseph Stiglitz and Ottmar Edenhofer

25125: Capital Structure and a Firm’s Workforce

David A. Matsa

25124: Fatal Attraction? Extended Unemployment Benefits, Labor Force Exits, and Mortality

Andreas Kuhn, Stefan Staubli, Jean-Philippe Wuellrich and Josef Zweimüller

25123: The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates

Eric Swanson

25122: Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?

Klaus Adam, Dmitry Matveev and Stefan Nagel

25121: Happiness at Different Ages: The Social Context Matters

John Helliwell, Max Norton, Haifang Huang and Shun Wang

25120: Trade and Domestic Production Networks

Felix Tintelnot, Ken Kikkawa, Magne Mogstad and Emmanuel Dhyne

25119: Worst-Case Bounds on R&D and Pricing Distortions: Theory with an Application Assuming Consumer Values Follow the World Income Distribution

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

25118: Vacancy Durations and Entry Wages: Evidence from Linked Vacancy-Employer-Employee Data

Andreas Mueller, Damian Osterwalder, Josef Zweimüller and Andreas Kettemann

25117: Is Education Consumption or Investment? Implications for the Effect of School Competition

W. Bentley Macleod and Miguel Urquiola

25116: The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism

Amanda Agan and Michael Makowsky

25115: Do Place-Based Tax Incentives Create Jobs?

Hyejin Ku, Uta Schönberg and Ragnhild C. Schreiner

25114: Genes, Education, and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study

Nicholas Papageorge and Kevin Thom

25113: Cross-sectional Skewness

Simon Oh and Jessica Wachter

25112: Who Creates New Firms When Local Opportunities Arise?

Shai Bernstein, Emanuele Colonnelli, Davide Malacrino and Timothy McQuade

25111: Exchange Rates, Local Currency Pricing and International Tax Policies

Sihao Chen, Michael Devereux, Juanyi Xu and Kang Shi

25110: Unbundling Polarization

Nathan Canen, Chad Kendall and Francesco Trebbi

25109: Who Votes for Medicaid Expansion? Lessons from Maine’s 2017 Referendum

David A. Matsa and Amalia Miller

25108: Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice

Maarten Meeuwis, Jonathan Parker, Antoinette Schoar and Duncan I. Simester

25107: Unlocking Amenities: Estimating Public-Good Complementarity

David Albouy, Peter Christensen and Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri

25106: Turnover Liquidity and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang

25105: The Effects of Medicaid Expansion on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Border Counties

Lizhong Peng, Xiaohui (Ronnie) Guo and Chad Meyerhoefer

25104: Do Fire Sales Create Externalities?

Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam

25103: Robots, Trade, and Luddism: A Sufficient Statistic Approach to Optimal Technology Regulation

Arnaud Costinot and Iván Werning

25102: Forecasting with Dynamic Panel Data Models

Laura Liu, Hyungsik Moon and Frank Schorfheide

25101: Differences in citation patterns across journal tiers: The case of economics

María Victoria Anauati, Sebastian Galiani and Ramiro Gálvez

25100: Deterring Illegal Entry: Migrant Sanctions and Recidivism in Border Apprehensions

Samuel Bazzi, Sarah Burns, Gordon Hanson, Bryan Roberts and John Whitley

25099: Majority Choice of Taxation and Redistribution in a Federation

Stephen Calabrese, Dennis Epple and Richard Romano

25098: Corruption, Government Subsidies, and Innovation: Evidence from China

Lily Fang, Josh Lerner, Chaopeng Wu and Qi Zhang

25097: The Equilibrium Effects of Information Deletion: Evidence from Consumer Credit Markets

Andres Liberman, Christopher Neilson, Luis Opazo and Seth Zimmerman

25096: Heterogeneous Beliefs and School Choice Mechanisms

Adam Kapor, Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

25095: Optimal Law Enforcement with Ordered Leniency

Claudia Landeo and Kathryn E. Spier

25094: Ordered Leniency: An Experimental Study of Law Enforcement with Self-Reporting

Claudia Landeo and Kathryn E. Spier

25093: Publishing and Promotion in Economics: The Tyranny of the Top Five

James Heckman and Sidharth Moktan

25092: Taking the Cochrane-Piazzesi Term Structure Model Out of Sample: More Data, Additional Currencies, and FX Implications

Robert Hodrick and Tuomas Tomunen

25091: Immigrants, Labor Market Dynamics and Adjustment to Shocks in the Euro Area

Gaetano Basso, Francesco D'Amuri and Giovanni Peri

25090: Perception of House Price Risk and Homeownership

Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar and Felipe Severino

25089: The Neo-Fisher Effect: Econometric Evidence from Empirical and Optimizing Models

Martín Uribe

25088: The Chinese Pension System

Hanming Fang and Jin Feng

25087: The Evidence from California on the Economic Impact of Inefficient Distribution Network Pricing

Frank A. Wolak

25086: Asymmetric Consumption Smoothing

Brian Baugh, Itzhak Ben-David, Hoonsuk Park and Jonathan Parker

25085: Capital Reallocation

Andrea Eisfeldt and Yu Shi

25084: Lazy Prices

Lauren Cohen, Christopher Malloy and Quoc Nguyen

25083: Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?

Toni Ahnert, Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich and Dennis Reinhardt

25082: MPC Heterogeneity in Europe: Sources and Policy Implications

Miguel Ampudia Fraile, Russell Cooper, Julia Le Blanc and Guozhong Zhu

25081: Inheritance Taxation and Wealth Effects on the Labor Supply of Heirs

Fabian Kindermann, Lukas Mayr and Dominik Sachs

25080: Vanished Classmates: The Effects of Local Immigration Enforcement on Student Enrollment

Thomas Dee and Mark Murphy

25079: Why Does Credit Growth Crowd Out Real Economic Growth?

Stephen Cecchetti and Enisse Kharroubi

25078: Measurement Error in Imputed Consumption

Scott Baker, Lorenz Kueng, Steffen Meyer and Michaela Pagel

25077: Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016

Simone Moriconi, Giovanni Peri and Riccardo Turati

25076: Commodity Currencies and Monetary Policy

Michael Devereux and Gregor Smith

25075: Information: Hard and Soft

Jose Liberti and Mitchell Petersen

25074: The Economic Effect of Immigration Policies: Analyzing and Simulating the U.S. Case

Andri Chassamboulli and Giovanni Peri

25073: History Remembered: Optimal Sovereign Default on Domestic and External Debt

Pablo D'Erasmo and Enrique Mendoza

25072: Loss Attitudes in the U.S. Population: Evidence from Dynamically Optimized Sequential Experimentation (DOSE)

Jonathan Chapman, Erik Snowberg, Stephanie Wang and Colin Camerer

25071: Innovation, Knowledge Diffusion, and Globalization

Nelson Lind and Natalia Ramondo

25070: Fiscal and Education Spillovers from Charter School Expansion

Matthew Ridley and Camille Terrier

25069: The Consequences of Academic Match between Students and Colleges

Eleanor Dillon and Jeffrey Smith

25068: When does Product Liability Risk Chill Innovation? Evidence from Medical Implants

Alberto Galasso and Hong Luo

25067: The Pivotal Role of Fairness: Which Consumers Like Annuities?

Suzanne B. Shu, Robert Zeithammer and John W. Payne

25066: Diverging Trends in National and Local Concentration

Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre Daniel Sarte and Nicholas Trachter

25065: STEM Careers and the Changing Skill Requirements of Work

David Deming and Kadeem Noray

25064: Economists (and Economics) in Tech Companies

Susan Athey and Michael Luca

25063: Exporting Pollution: Where Do Multinational Firms Emit CO₂?

Itzhak Ben-David, Stefanie Kleimeier and Michael Viehs

25062: Globalization, Government Popularity, and the Great Skill Divide

Cevat G. Aksoy, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman

25061: Who Feels the Nudge? Knowledge, Self-Awareness and Retirement Savings Decisions

Anders Anderson and David Robinson

25060: Are Two Bads Better Than One? A Model of Sensory Limitations

Lars Lefgren, Olga Stoddard and John Stovall

25059: Early Stimulation and Nutrition: The Impacts of a Scalable Intervention

Orazio Attanasio, Helen Baker-Henningham, Raquel Bernal, Costas Meghir, Diana Pineda and Marta Rubio-Codina

25058: Sniff Tests as a Screen in the Publication Process: Throwing out the Wheat with the Chaff

Christopher Snyder and Ran Zhuo

25057: Creativity Under Fire: The Effects of Competition on Creative Production

Daniel Gross

25056: Marketing Mutual Funds

Nikolai Roussanov, Hongxun Ruan and Yanhao Wei

25055: Mortality Risk, Insurance, and the Value of Life

Daniel Bauer, Darius Lakdawalla and Julian Reif

25054: Debt, Information, and Illiquidity

Efraim Benmelech and Nittai Bergman

25053: The ACA Medicaid Expansion in Michigan and Financial Health

Sarah Miller, Luojia Hu, Robert Kaestner, Bhashkar Mazumder and Ashley Wong

25052: The Impact of the Philadelphia Beverage Tax on Purchases and Consumption by Adults and Children

John Cawley, David Frisvold, Anna Hill and David Jones

25051: Inventive Capabilities in the Division of Innovative Labor

Ashish Arora, Wesley M. Cohen and Colleen M. Cunningham

25050: The Pass-Through of the Largest Tax on Sugar-Sweetened Beverages: The Case of Boulder, Colorado

John Cawley, Chelsea Crain, David Frisvold and David Jones

25049: Behavior within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines

Amanda Kowalski

25048: Macroprudential Policy with Leakages

Julien Bengui and Javier Bianchi

25047: The Making of the Modern Metropolis: Evidence from London

Stephan Heblich, Stephen Redding and Daniel Sturm

25046: Ratings and Asset Allocation: An Experimental Analysis

Robert L. McDonald and Thomas A. Rietz

25045: The Subsidy to Infrastructure as an Asset Class

Aleksandar Andonov, Roman Kräussl and Joshua Rauh

25044: ICT, R&D and Organizational Innovation: Exploring Complementarities in Investment and Production

Pierre Mohnen, Michael Polder and George Leeuwen

25043: The Econometrics and Economics of the Employment Effects of Minimum Wages: Getting from Known Unknowns to Known Knowns

David Neumark

25042: How Does For-profit College Attendance Affect Student Loans, Defaults and Labor Market Outcomes?

Luis Armona, Rajashri Chakrabarti and Michael Lovenheim