NBER Working Papers

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19260: High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect

Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

19259: Truth-telling by Third-party Auditors and the Response of Polluting Firms: Experimental Evidence from India

Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande and Nicholas Ryan

19258: Environmental Protection, Rare Disasters, and Discount Rates

Robert Barro

19257: Regulatory reform and risk-taking: replacing ratings

Bo Becker and Marcus Opp

19256: How Important can the Non-Violation Clause be for the GATT/WTO?

Robert Staiger and Alan O. Sykes

19255: The Next Generation of the Penn World Table

Robert Feenstra, Robert Inklaar and Marcel Timmer

19254: How Does China's New Labor Contract Law Affect Floating Workers?

Richard Freeman and Xiaoying Li

19253: Off-Balance-Sheet Federal Liabilities

James Hamilton

19252: Patents in the University: Priming the Pump and Crowding Out

Suzanne Scotchmer

19251: Competition in the Audit Market: Policy Implications

Joseph J. Gerakos and Chad Syverson

19250: Overconfidence in Political Behavior

Pietro Ortoleva and Erik Snowberg

19249: Quid Pro Quo: Technology Capital Transfers for Market Access in China

Thomas Holmes, Ellen McGrattan and Edward Prescott

19248: Macroeconomic Dynamics Near the ZLB: A Tale of Two Countries

S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda and Frank Schorfheide

19247: Physician Agency and Competition: Evidence from a Major Change to Medicare Chemotherapy Reimbursement Policy

Mireille Jacobson, Tom Y. Chang, Joseph Newhouse and M.D. Craig C. Earle

19246: Waves in Ship Prices and Investment

Robin Greenwood and Samuel Hanson

19245: Disease Control, Demographic Change and Institutional Development in Africa

Margaret McMillan, William Masters and Harounan Kazianga

19244: Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?

Robert Pindyck

19243: The Black-White Education-Scaled Test-Score Gap in Grades K-7

Timothy Bond and Kevin Lang

19242: Physicians Treating Physicians: Information and Incentives in Childbirth

Erin M. Johnson and M. Rehavi

19241: Are Some Degrees Worth More than Others? Evidence from college admission cutoffs in Chile

Justine Hastings, Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

19240: External Adjustment, Global Imbalances and Valuation Effects

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Helene Rey

19239: Global Supply Chains, Currency Undervaluation, and Firm Protectionist Demands

J. Jensen, Dennis P. Quinn and Stephen Weymouth

19238: Deflation Risk

Matthias Fleckenstein, Francis Longstaff and Hanno Lustig

19237: Family Welfare Cultures

Gordon Dahl, Andreas Kostøl and Magne Mogstad

19236: The Tip of the Iceberg: A Quantitative Framework for Estimating Trade Costs

Alfonso Irarrazabal, Andreas Moxnes and Luca David Opromolla

19235: Entrepreneurial Taxation with Endogenous Entry

Florian Scheuer

19234: Health and Health Behaviors during the Worst of Times

Erdal Tekin, Chandler McClellan and Karen Jean Minyard

19233: The Cognitive Effects of Micronutrient Deficiency: Evidence from Salt Iodization in the United States

James Feyrer, Dimitra Politi and David Weil

19232: Friends or Family? Revisiting the Effects of High School Popularity on Adult Earnings

Jason Fletcher

19231: Golden Years or Financial Fears? Decision Making After Retirement Seminars

Steven Allen, Robert L. Clark, Jennifer Maki and Melinda Morrill

19230: The Network Origins of Large Economic Downturns

Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

19229: Do Firms Issue more equity when markets are more liquid?

René Stulz, Dimitrios Vagias and Mathijs van Dijk

19228: Slow Moving Debt Crises

Guido Lorenzoni and Iván Werning

19227: Turning a Shove into a Nudge? A "Labeled Cash Transfer" for Education

Najy Benhassine, Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas and Victor Pouliquen

19226: Trade Adjustment: Worker Level Evidence

David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson and Jae Song

19225: Religion and Risky Health Behaviors among U.S. Adolescents and Adults

Jason Fletcher and Sanjeev Kumar

19224: Nudging Energy Efficiency Behavior: The Role of Information Labels

Richard Newell and Juha Siikamäki

19223: Necessity as the Mother of Invention: Innovative Responses to Natural Disasters

Qing Miao and David Popp

19222: The Effect of College Education on Health

Kasey Buckles, Andreas Hagemann, Ofer Malamud, Melinda Morrill and Abigail Wozniak

19221: Conflict, Evolution, Hegemony, and the Power of the State

David Levine and Salvatore Modica

19220: Public Health Insurance, Labor Supply, and Employment Lock

Craig Garthwaite, Tal Gross and Matthew Notowidigdo

19219: From Green Users to Green Voters

Diego Comin and Johannes Rode

19218: The Effect of Medicaid Payment Rates on Access to Dental Care Among Children

Thomas Buchmueller, Sean Orzol and Lara Shore-Sheppard

19217: Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations

Gian Luca Clementi and Berardino Palazzo

19216: Did Age Discrimination Protections Help Older Workers Weather the Great Recession?

David Neumark and Patrick Button

19215: The Consequences of Friendships: Evidence on the Effect of Social Relationships in School on Academic Achievement

Jason Fletcher, Stephen Ross and Yuxiu Zhang

19214: The Consequences of Using One Assessment System To Pursue Two Objectives

Derek Neal

19213: Railroads and American Economic Growth: A "Market Access" Approach

Dave Donaldson and Richard Hornbeck

19212: Linear Social Interactions Models

Lawrence Blume, William Brock, Steven Durlauf and Rajshri Jayaraman

19211: Optimal Annuitization with Stochastic Mortality Probabilities

Felix Reichling and Kent Smetters

19210: The Idea of Antipoverty Policy

Martin Ravallion

19209: Learning to Forecast the Hard Way—Evidence from German Reunification

Thomas Triebs and Justin Tumlinson

19208: Solving the DMP Model Accurately

Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Lu Zhang

19207: Unemployment Crises

Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Lu Zhang

19206: Optimal Life Cycle Portfolio Choice with Variable Annuities Offering Liquidity and Investment Downside Protection

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell and Ralph Rogalla

19205: Capital Controls in Brazil - Stemming a Tide with a Signal?

Yothin Jinjarak, Ilan Noy and Huanhuan Zheng

19204: Measuring the Financial Soundness of U.S. Firms, 1926-2012

Andrew Atkeson, Andrea Eisfeldt and Pierre-Olivier Weill

19203: "Unfinished Business": Ethnic Complementarities and the Political Contagion of Peace and Conflict in Gujarat

Saumitra Jha

19202: Understanding Social Interactions: Evidence from the Classroom

Giacomo De Giorgi and Michele Pellizzari

19201: Bowling for Fascism: Social Capital and the Rise of the Nazi Party

Shanker Satyanath, Nico Voigtlaender and Hans-Joachim Voth

19200: Healthcare Exceptionalism? Productivity and Allocation in the U.S. Healthcare Sector

Amitabh Chandra, Amy Finkelstein, Adam Sacarny and Chad Syverson

19199: No Taxation without Information: Deterrence and Self-Enforcement in the Value Added Tax

Dina Pomeranz

19198: Do Insurers Risk-Select Against Each Other? Evidence from Medicaid and Implications for Health Reform

Ilyana Kuziemko, Katherine Meckel and Maya Rossin-Slater

19197: Networks, Commitment, and Competence: Caste in Indian Local Politics

Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig

19196: The Caloric Costs of Culture: Evidence from Indian Migrants

David Atkin

19195: Bridging vs. Bonding Social Capital and the Management of Common Pool Resources

Kathy Baylis, Yazhen Gong and Shun Wang

19194: Search for a Common Factor in Public and Private Real Estate Returns

Andrew Ang, Neil Nabar and Sam Wald

19193: Who Uses the Roth 401(k), and How Do They Use It?

John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

19192: Bailouts, Time Inconsistency, and Optimal Regulation

Varadarajan Chari and Patrick Kehoe

19191: Patents as Signals for Startup Financing

Annamaria Conti, Jerry Thursby and Marie Thursby

19190: Real Estate Valuation, Current Account and Credit Growth Patterns, Before and After the 2008-9 Crisis

Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak

19189: X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model

Nicholas Barberis, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin and Andrei Shleifer

19188: Race and College Success: Evidence from Missouri

Peter Arcidiacono and Cory Koedel

19187: Central Bank Design

Ricardo Reis

19186: Heterogeneity in Cost-Sharing and Cost-Sensitivity, and the Role of the Prescribing Physician

Mariana Carrera, Dana Goldman and Geoffrey Joyce

19185: Labor Market Returns to Early Childhood Stimulation: a 20-year Followup to an Experimental Intervention in Jamaica

Paul Gertler, James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, Arianna Zanolini, Christel Vermeersch, Susan Walker, Susan M. Chang and Sally Grantham-McGregor

19184: Liquidity and Inefficient Investment

Oliver Hart and Luigi Zingales

19183: Differential Pricing in Undergraduate Education: Effects on Degree Production by Field

Kevin Stange

19182: The Effect of High School Exit Exams on Graduation, Employment, Wages and Incarceration

Olesya Baker and Kevin Lang

19181: Trade and the Topography of the Spatial Economy

Treb Allen and Costas Arkolakis

19180: Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms

Ruediger Bachmann, Benjamin Born, Steffen Elstner and Christian Grimme

19179: Generational Risk - Is It a Big Deal?: Simulating an 80-Period OLG Model with Aggregate Shocks

Jasmina Hasanhodzic and Laurence Kotlikoff

19178: Allocating Household Time: When Does Efficiency Imply Specialization?

Robert Pollak

19177: The Policy Elasticity

Nathaniel Hendren

19176: Multichannel Spillovers from a Factory Store

Yi Qian, Eric Anderson and Duncan Simester

19175: Up from Poverty? The 1832 Cherokee Land Lottery and the Long-run Distribution of Wealth

Hoyt Bleakley and Joseph P. Ferrie

19174: Network Security and Contagion

Daron Acemoglu, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar

19173: Religion, Politician Identity and Development Outcomes: Evidence from India

Sonia Bhalotra, Guilhem Cassan, Irma Clots-Figueras and Lakshmi Iyer

19172: How Does Provider Supply and Regulation Influence Health Care Market? Evidence from Nurse Practitioners and Physician Assistants

Kevin Stange

19171: Marginal Tax Rates and Income: New Time Series Evidence

Karel Mertens and José L. Montiel Olea

19170: Liquidity Constrained Exporters

Thomas Chaney

19169: Religiosity and State Welfare

Angela Dills and Rey Hernández-Julián

19168: Cognitive Constraints on Valuing Annuities

Jeffrey Brown, Arie Kapteyn, Erzo Luttmer and Olivia Mitchell

19167: Commodity and Asset Pricing Models: An Integration

Gonzalo Cortazar, Ivo Kovacevic and Eduardo S. Schwartz

19166: Scale, Scope, and the International Expansion Strategies of Multiproduct Firms

Stephen Yeaple

19165: A Major in Science? Initial Beliefs and Final Outcomes for College Major and Dropout

Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner

19164: Effects of Mental Health on Couple Relationship Status

Nancy E. Reichman, Hope Corman and Kelly Noonan

19163: Evolving Choice Inconsistencies in Choice of Prescription Drug Insurance

Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber

19162: Health, Education and Income in the United States, 1820-2000

Hoyt Bleakley, Dora Costa and Adriana Lleras-Muney

19161: The Effect of Medicaid Expansions in the Late 1980s and Early 1990s on the Labor Supply of Pregnant Women

Dhaval Dave, Sandra L. Decker, Robert Kaestner and Kosali Simon