NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().

Access Statistics for this working paper series.
Is something missing from the series or not right? See the RePEc data check for the archive and series.

16961: Sentencing Guidelines and Judicial Discretion: Quasi-experimental Evidence from Human Calculation Errors

Shawn Bushway, Emily Owens and Anne Piehl

16960: Trade Liberalization and Firm Dynamics

Ariel Burstein and Marc Melitz

16959: Market Size, Competition, and the Product Mix of Exporters

Thierry Mayer, Marc Melitz and Gianmarco Ottaviano

16958: Trade Adjustment and Productivity in Large Crises

Gita Gopinath and Brent Neiman

16957: Consumption Smoothing and Portfolio Rebalancing: The Effects of Adjustment Costs

Yosef Bonaparte, Russell Cooper and Guozhong Zhu

16956: The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

16955: Learning During a Crisis: the SARS Epidemic in Taiwan

Daniel Bennett, Chun-Fang Chiang and Anup Malani

16954: Tipping Climate Negotiations

Geoffrey Heal and Howard Kunreuther

16953: Technology Growth and Expenditure Growth in Health Care

Amitabh Chandra and Jonathan Skinner

16952: Coups, Corporations, and Classified Information

Arindrajit Dube, Ethan Kaplan and Suresh Naidu

16951: Foresight and Information Flows

Eric Leeper, Todd Walker and Shu-Chun Yang

16950: Why Surplus Consumption in the Habit Model May be Less Persistent than You Think

Anthony W. Lynch and Oliver Randall

16949: How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz

16948: Do Local Elections in Non-Democracies Increase Accountability? Evidence from Rural China

Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padró i Miquel, Nancy Qian and Yang Yao

16947: Lifting the Domestic Veil: The Challenges of Exporting Differentiated Goods Across the Development Divide

Alejandro Artopoulos, Daniel Friel and Juan Hallak

16946: U.S. Intervention During the Bretton Woods Era: 1962-1973

Michael Bordo, Owen Humpage and Anna Schwartz

16945: A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile

Jeffrey Frankel

16944: Fighting Procrastination in the Workplace: An Experiment

Ximena Cadena, Antoinette Schoar, Alexandra Cristea and Héber M. Delgado-Medrano

16943: The Circulation of Ideas in Firms and Markets

Thomas Hellmann and Enrico Perotti

16942: Carry Trade and Momentum in Currency Markets

Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo

16941: Macroeconomic Conditions and Capital Raising

Isil Erel, Brandon Julio, Woojin Kim and Michael Weisbach

16940: Exports and Credit Constraints Under Incomplete Information: Theory and Evidence from China

Robert Feenstra, Zhiyuan Li and Miaojie Yu

16939: Education as Liberation?

Willa Friedman, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel and Rebecca Thornton

16938: An Overview of The Changing Body: Health, Nutrition, and Human Development in the Western World Since 1700

Robert Fogel and Nathaniel Grotte

16937: Broadening Focus: Spillovers, Complementarities and Specialization in the Hospital Industry

Jonathan R. Clark and Robert Huckman

16936: An Elementary Theory of Global Supply Chains

Arnaud Costinot, Jonathan Vogel and Su Wang

16935: Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program

James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, Azeem Shaikh and Adam Yavitz

16934: Cities, Skills, and Regional Change

Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Kristina Tobio

16933: Happiness on Tap: Piped Water Adoption in Urban Morocco

Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, William Parienté and Vincent Pons

16932: Fiscal Zoning and Sales Taxes: Do Higher Sales Taxes Lead to More Retailing and Less Manufacturing?

Daria Burnes, David Neumark and Michelle White

16931: Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

16930: Information Shocks and Social Networks

David Figlio, Sarah Hamersma and Jeffrey Roth

16929: Noncontractible Investments and Reference Points

Oliver Hart

16928: Efficient Estimation of Data Combination Models by the Method of Auxiliary-to-Study Tilting (AST)

Bryan Graham, Cristine Pinto and Daniel Egel

16927: The Psychological Costs of War: Military Combat and Mental Health

Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia and Erdal Tekin

16926: Rural Hospital Ownership: Medical Service Provision, Market Mix, and Spillover Effects

Jill R. Horwitz and Austin Nichols

16925: Trade, Exchange Rate Regimes and Output Co-Movement: Evidence from the Great Depression

Gabriel Mathy and Christopher Meissner

16924: Intergenerational Redistribution in the Great Recession

Andy Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

16923: The Importance of Trust for Investment: Evidence from Venture Capital

Laura Bottazzi, Marco Da Rin and Thomas Hellmann

16922: The First Deal: The Division of Founder Equity in New Ventures

Thomas Hellmann and Noam Wasserman

16921: Capping Individual Tax Expenditure Benefits

Martin Feldstein, Daniel Feenberg and Maya MacGuineas

16920: Innovation and Diffusion of Clean/Green Technology: Can Patent Commons Help?

Bronwyn Hall and Christian Helmers

16919: When Fast Growing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications for China

Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin

16918: With a Little Help from My (Random) Friends: Success and Failure in Post-Business School Entrepreneurship

Josh Lerner and Ulrike Malmendier

16917: Identification Problems in Personality Psychology

Lex Borghans, Bart Golsteyn, James Heckman and John Humphries

16916: The U.S. Left Behind: The Rise of IPO Activity Around the World

Craig Doidge, G. Karolyi and René Stulz

16915: The Effects of Alcohol Policies in Reducing Entry Rates and Time Spent in Foster Care

Sara Markowitz, Alison Evans Cuellar, Ryan M. Conrad and Michael Grossman

16914: School Tracking and Access to Higher Education Among Disadvantaged Groups

Ofer Malamud and Cristian Pop-Eleches

16913: Estimating the Social Cost of Carbon for Use in U.S. Federal Rulemakings: A Summary and Interpretation

Michael Greenstone, Elizabeth Kopits and Ann Wolverton

16912: The Selection of Migrants and Returnees: Evidence from Romania and Implications

J. William Ambrosini, Karin Mayr-Dorn, Giovanni Peri and Dragos Radu

16911: A Sparsity-Based Model of Bounded Rationality

Xavier Gabaix

16910: The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?

William Poole, Robert Rasche and David Wheelock

16909: Physician Response to Pay-for-Performance: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Jinhu Li, Jeremiah Hurley, Philip DeCicca and Gioia Buckley

16908: Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies? The Case of Exogenous Market Experience

John List

16907: The Promise of Beijing: Evaluating the Impact of the 2008 Olympic Games on Air Quality

Yuyu Chen, Ginger Zhe Jin, Naresh Kumar and Guang Shi

16906: Generalized Transform Analysis of Affine Processes and Applications in Finance

Hui Chen and Scott Joslin

16905: Firm Exports and Multinational Activity Under Credit Constraints

Kalina Manova, Shang-Jin Wei and Zhiwei Zhang

16904: Factor Prices and International Trade: A Unifying Perspective

Ariel Burstein and Jonathan Vogel

16903: Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis

Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

16902: Comparing Economic and Social Interventions to Reduce Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Central and Southern Africa

Radha Iyengar and Giulia Ferrari

16901: HIV Status and Labor Market Participation in South Africa

James Levinsohn, Zoë McLaren, Olive Shisana and Khangelani Zuma

16900: Economics of Individualization in Comparative Effectiveness Research and a Basis for a Patient-Centered Health Care

Anirban Basu

16899: Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies

Patrick Bolton and Olivier Jeanne

16898: The Short of It: Investor Sentiment and Anomalies

Robert Stambaugh, Jianfeng Yu and Yu Yuan

16897: Workday, Holiday and Calendar Adjustment with 21st Century Data: Monthly Aggregates from Daily Diesel Fuel Purchases

Edward Leamer

16896: Dividends and Bank Capital in the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009

Viral Acharya, Irvind Gujral, Nirupama Kulkarni and Hyun Song Shin

16895: Human Capital Accounts: Choice of Rates and Construction of Volume Indices

Barbara M. Fraumeni

16894: Identification and Estimation in Discrete Choice Demand Models when Endogenous Variables Interact with the Error

Amit Gandhi, Kyoo il Kim and Amil Petrin

16893: The Liquidation of Government Debt

Carmen Reinhart and M. Belen Sbrancia

16892: Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

16891: Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle

Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers

16890: Were the Nigerian Banking Reforms of 2005 A Success... And for the Poor?

Lisa Cook

16889: What Explains the Lagged Investment Effect?

Janice Eberly, Sergio Rebelo and Nicolas Vincent

16888: Testing for the Role of Prejudice in Emergency Departments Using Bounceback Rates

Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang

16887: When a Nudge Isn't Enough: Defaults and Saving Among Low-Income Tax Filers

Erin Bronchetti, Thomas Dee, David Huffman and Ellen Magenheim

16886: Going to a Better School: Effects and Behavioral Responses

Cristian Pop-Eleches and Miguel Urquiola

16885: What Makes an Effective Teacher? Quasi-Experimental Evidence

Victor Lavy

16884: Simple Variance Swaps

Ian Martin

16883: Monetary Policy as Financial-Stability Regulation

Jeremy Stein

16882: Bye, Bye, Miss American Pie? The Supply of New Recorded Music Since Napster

Joel Waldfogel

16881: The Effects of Student Coaching in College: An Evaluation of a Randomized Experiment in Student Mentoring

Eric Bettinger and Rachel Baker

16880: A Roy Model of Social Interactions

Steve Cicala, Roland Fryer and Jörg Spenkuch

16879: A Primer on the Economics of Prescription Pharmaceutical Pricing in Health Insurance Markets

Ernst R. Berndt, Thomas G. McGuire and Joseph Newhouse

16878: The Possibilities For Global Poverty Reduction Using Revenues From Global Carbon Pricing

James Davies, Xiaojun Shi and John Whalley

16877: The Effect of Evaluation on Performance: Evidence from Longitudinal Student Achievement Data of Mid-career Teachers

Eric S. Taylor and John Tyler

16876: Intergeneration Transfer of Human Capital: Results from a Natural Experiment in Taiwan

Wehn-Jyuan Tsai, Jin-Tan Liu, Shin-Yi Chou and Michael Grossman

16875: Limits to Arbitrage and Hedging: Evidence from Commodity Markets

Viral Acharya, Lars A. Lochstoer and Tarun Ramadorai

16874: Adoptive Expectations: Rising Sons in Japanese Family Firms

Vikas Mehrotra, Randall Morck, Jungwook Shim and Yupana Wiwattanakantang

16873: Adequate (or Adipose?) Yearly Progress: Assessing the Effect of "No Child Left Behind" on Children's Obesity

Patricia Anderson, Kristin Butcher and Diane Schanzenbach

16872: Business Failures by Industry in the United States, 1895 to 1939: A Statistical History

Gary Richardson and Michael Gou

16871: Monetary and Fiscal Stimuli, Ownership Structure, and China's Housing Market

Yongheng Deng, Randall Morck, Jing Wu and Bernard Yeung

16870: Finance and Governance in Developing Economies

Randall Morck

16869: Math or Science? Using Longitudinal Expectations Data to Examine the Process of Choosing a College Major

Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner

16868: Does Aggregated Returns Disclosure Increase Portfolio Risk-Taking?

John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

16867: Global Liquidity Trap

Ippei Fujiwara, Tomoyuki Nakajima, Nao Sudo and Yuki Teranishi

16866: Spurring Job Creation in Response to Severe Recessions: Reconsidering Hiring Credits

David Neumark

16865: From Natural Variation to Optimal Policy? The Lucas Critique Meets Peer Effects

Scott Carrell, Bruce Sacerdote and James West

16864: Spillovers, Linkages, and Productivity Growth in the US Economy, 1958 to 2007

Edward Wolff

16863: Fuel Tax Incidence and Supply Conditions

Justin Marion and Erich Muehlegger

16862: Uncertainty Business Cycles - Really?

Ruediger Bachmann and Christian Bayer