NBER Working Papers

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16410: Dynamics of Information Exchange in Endogenous Social Networks

Daron Acemoglu, Kostas Bimpikis and Asuman Ozdaglar

16409: Should Public Retirement Plans be Fully Funded?

Henning Bohn

16408: Unfit for Service: The Implications of Rising Obesity for U.S. Military Recruitment

John Cawley and Johanna Maclean

16407: Effects of the Financial Crisis and Great Recession on American Households

Michael Hurd and Susann Rohwedder

16406: The Impact of State Tax Subsidies for Private Long-Term Care Insurance on Coverage and Medicaid Expenditures

Gopi Goda

16405: Class Size and Class Heterogeneity

Giacomo De Giorgi, Michele Pellizzari and William Gui Woolston

16404: How did increased competition affect credit ratings?

Bo Becker and Todd Milbourn

16403: The Problem of the Commons: Still Unsettled After 100 Years

Robert Stavins

16402: Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms

Lawrence Christiano, Cosmin Ilut, Roberto Motto and Massimo Rostagno

16401: Labor-Market Heterogeneity, Aggregation, and the Lucas Critique

Yongsung Chang, Sun-Bin Kim and Frank Schorfheide

16400: Financial Frictions and the Persistence of History: A Quantitative Exploration

Francisco Buera and Yongseok Shin

16399: Theoretical Notes on Bubbles and the Current Crisis

Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura

16398: The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time

Menzie Chinn and Kavan J. Kucko

16397: Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy

Geert Bekaert, Marie Hoerova and Marco Lo Duca

16396: Inequality at Work: The Effect of Peer Salaries on Job Satisfaction

David Card, Alexandre Mas, Enrico Moretti and Emmanuel Saez

16395: Precautionary Hoarding of Liquidity and Inter-Bank Markets: Evidence from the Sub-prime Crisis

Viral Acharya and Ouarda Merrouche

16394: Liquidity Risk of Corporate Bond Returns: A Conditional Approach

Viral Acharya, Yakov Amihud and Sreedhar T. Bharath

16393: Is Quantity Theory Still Alive?

Pedro Teles and Harald Uhlig

16392: Asset Class Diversification and Delegation of Responsibilities between Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds

Joshua Aizenman and Reuven Glick

16391: Are All Trade Protection Policies Created Equal? Empirical Evidence for Nonequivalent Market Power Effects of Tariffs and Quotas

Bruce Blonigen, Benjamin Liebman, Justin Pierce and Wesley Wilson

16390: Does a Leapfrogging Growth Strategy Raise Growth Rate? Some International Evidence

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei and Anna Wong

16389: The Asset Cost of Poor health

James Poterba, Steven Venti and David Wise

16388: A 'New Trade' Theory of GATT/WTO Negotiations

Ralph Ossa

16387: Salience Theory of Choice Under Risk

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

16386: Monetary Policy, Doubts and Asset Prices

Pierpaolo Benigno and Luigi Paciello

16385: Index Investment and Financialization of Commodities

Ke Tang and Wei Xiong

16384: Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?

Jordi Galí

16383: Implications of Middle School Behavior Problems for High School Graduation and Employment Outcomes of Young Adults: Estimation of a Recursive Model

Mustafa Karakus, David Salkever, Eric P. Slade, Nicholas Ialongo and Elizabeth Stuart

16382: Identifying Provider Prejudice in Healthcare

Amitabh Chandra and Doug Staiger

16381: How Does Your Kindergarten Classroom Affect Your Earnings? Evidence From Project STAR

Raj Chetty, John Friedman, Nathaniel Hilger, Emmanuel Saez, Diane Schanzenbach and Danny Yagan

16380: The End of the Great Depression 1939-41: Policy Contributions and Fiscal Multipliers

Robert Gordon and Robert Krenn

16379: An Intensive Exploration of Technology Diffusion

Diego Comin and Martí Mestieri

16378: Technology Diffusion and Postwar Growth

Diego Comin and Bart Hobijn

16377: Managing Credit Booms and Busts: A Pigouvian Taxation Approach

Olivier Jeanne and Anton Korinek

16376: On the Economic Consequences of Index-Linked Investing

Jeffrey Wurgler

16375: The World Distribution of Productivity: Country TFP Choice in a Nelson-Phelps Economy

Erika Färnstrand Damsgaard and Per Krusell

16374: Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility

Pierpaolo Benigno, Luca Ricci and Paolo Surico

16373: The Power of Asking: How Communication Affects Selfishness, Empathy, and Altruism

James Andreoni and Justin M. Rao

16372: Is Crowding Out Due Entirely to Fundraising? Evidence from a Panel of Charities

James Andreoni and A. Payne

16371: The Demand for Ethanol as a Gasoline Substitute

Soren Anderson

16370: Automobile Fuel Economy Standards: Impacts, Efficiency, and Alternatives

Soren Anderson, Carolyn Fischer, Ian Parry and James Sallee

16369: Pay for Performance from Future Fund Flows: The Case of Private Equity

Ji-Woong Chung, Berk A. Sensoy, Lea H. Stern and Michael Weisbach

16368: Culture, Institutions and the Wealth of Nations

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gérard Roland

16367: Making the Numbers? "Short Termism" & the Puzzle of Only Occasional Disaster

Nelson P. Repenning and Rebecca M. Henderson

16366: The Impact of Jury Race in Criminal Trials

Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer and Randi Hjalmarsson

16365: The Lessons from the Banking Panics in the United States in the 1930s for the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008

Michael Bordo and John Landon-Lane

16364: Prices are Sticky After All

Patrick Kehoe and Virgiliu Midrigan

16363: Quantitative Effects of Fiscal Foresight

Eric Leeper, Alexander Richter and Todd Walker

16362: A Comparison of Monetary Anchor Options, Including Product Price Targeting, for Commodity-Exporters in Latin America

Jeffrey Frankel

16361: The Institutional Causes of China's Great Famine, 1959-61

Xin Meng, Nancy Qian and Pierre Yared

16360: Auctions with Resale When Private Values Are Uncertain: Evidence from the Lab and Field

Andreas Lange, John List and Michael Price

16359: The Effects of College Counseling on High-Achieving, Low-Income Students

Christopher Avery

16358: Why Does the Treasury Issue Tips? The Tips-Treasury Bond Puzzle

Matthias Fleckenstein, Francis Longstaff and Hanno Lustig

16357: Does Labor Supply Matter During a Recession? Evidence from the Seasonal Cycle

Casey Mulligan

16356: Financing Direct Democracy: Revisiting the Research on Campaign Spending and Citizen Initiatives

John M. de Figueiredo, Chang Ho Ji and Thad Kousser

16355: The Unexpected Long-Run Impact of the Minimum Wage: An Educational Cascade

Richard Sutch

16354: Multivariate Fractional Regression Estimation of Econometric Share Models

John Mullahy

16353: Fat Tails, Thin Tails, and Climate Change Policy

Robert Pindyck

16352: Beyond GDP? Welfare across Countries and Time

Charles Jones and Pete Klenow

16351: The Effects of Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from the 2009 'Cash for Clunkers' Program

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

16350: Did France Cause the Great Depression?

Douglas Irwin

16349: The New Economics of Equilibrium Sorting and its Transformational Role for Policy Evaluation

Nicolai Kuminoff, V. Smith and Christopher Timmins

16348: Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences: Discounted Expected Utility with a Disproportionate Preference for Certainty

James Andreoni and Charles Sprenger

16347: Estimating Time Preferences from Convex Budgets

James Andreoni and Charles Sprenger

16346: International Differences in Fiscal Policy During the Global Crisis

Agustín Bénétrix and Philip Lane

16345: U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention during the Volcker-Greenspan Era

Michael Bordo, Owen Humpage and Anna Schwartz

16344: When, Where, and Why? Early Industrialization in the Poor Periphery 1870-1940

Jeffrey Williamson

16343: Selective Trials: A Principal-Agent Approach to Randomized Controlled Experiments

Sylvain Chassang, Gerard Padro i Miquel and Erik Snowberg

16342: The Consumption Response to Seasonal Income: Evidence from Japanese Public Pension Benefits

Melvin Stephens and Takashi Unayama

16341: Scientific Productivity and Academic Promotion: A Study on French and Italian Physicists

Francesco Lissoni, Jacques Mairesse, Fabio Montobbio and Michele Pezzoni

16340: Must Love Kill the Family Firm?

Vikas Mehrotra, Randall Morck, Jungwook Shim and Yupana Wiwattanakantang

16339: Overcoming the common pool problem through voluntary cooperation: the rise and fall of a fishery cooperative

Robert Deacon, Dominic Parker and Christopher Costello

16338: Unitization of spatially connected renewable resources

Daniel Kaffine and Christopher Costello

16337: Two Monetary Tools: Interest Rates and Haircuts

Adam Ashcraft, Nicolae Gârleanu and Lasse Pedersen

16336: Cross-sectional Tobin's Q

Frederico Belo, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

16335: The Effects of Stock Lending on Security Prices: An Experiment

Steven Kaplan, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Berk A. Sensoy

16334: After the Fall

Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart

16333: Paying to Learn: The Effect of Financial Incentives on Elementary School Test Scores

Eric Bettinger

16332: Assessing Inherent Model Bias: An Application to Native Displacement in Response to Immigration

Giovanni Peri and Chad Sparber

16331: The Idea Gap in Pink and Black

Lisa Cook and Chaleampong Kongcharoen

16330: Does Drinking Impair College Performance? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Approach

Scott Carrell, Mark Hoekstra and James West

16329: How Much Does Size Erode Mutual Fund Performance? A Regression Discontinuity Approach

Jonathan Reuter and Eric Zitzewitz

16328: The Importance of Being an Optimist: Evidence from Labor Markets

Ron Kaniel, Cade Massey and David Robinson

16327: Inferring Labor Income Risk from Economic Choices: An Indirect Inference Approach

Fatih Guvenen and Anthony Smith

16326: Firm Dynamics, Job Turnover, and Wage Distributions in an Open Economy

A. Kerem Coşar, Nezih Guner and James Tybout

16325: Competition and the Ratchet Effect

Gary Charness, Peter Kuhn and Marie Claire Villeval

16324: Institutional Path Dependence in Climate Adaptation: Coman's "Some Unsettled Problems of Irrigation"

Gary Libecap

16323: The role of patent protection in (clean/green) technology transfer

Bronwyn Hall and Christian Helmers

16322: Trade, Poverty and the Lagging Regions of South Asia

Pravin Krishna, Devashish Mitra and Asha Sundaram

16321: Bundling Among Rivals: A Case of Pharmaceutical Cocktails

Claudio Lucarelli, Sean Nicholson and Minjae Song

16320: Economic Conditions and the Quality of Suicide Terrorism

Efraim Benmelech, Claude Berrebi and Esteban Klor

16319: The Nature of Excess: Using Randomized Treatments to Investigate Price Dynamics

Omar Al-Ubaydli, John List and Michael Price

16318: Analyzing the Welfare Impacts of Full-line Forcing Contracts

Justin Ho, Katherine Ho and Julie Mortimer

16317: The Value of Luminosity Data as a Proxy for Economic Statistics

Xi Chen and William Nordhaus

16316: Why Do Household Portfolio Shares Rise in Wealth?

Jessica Wachter and Motohiro Yogo

16315: Competitive Equilibrium in Markets for Votes

Alessandra Casella, Aniol Llorente-Saguer and Thomas Palfrey

16314: Portage: Path Dependence and Increasing Returns in U.S. History

Hoyt Bleakley and Jeffrey Lin

16313: Firm Entry, Trade, and Welfare in Zipf's World

Julian di Giovanni and Andrei Levchenko

16312: Broker Incentives and Mutual Fund Market Segmentation

Diane Del Guercio, Jonathan Reuter and Paula Tkac

16311: Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy

Alan Auerbach and Yuriy Gorodnichenko