NBER Working Papers

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25646: Trade Shocks and the Shifting Landscape of U.S. Manufacturing

Katherine Eriksson, Katheryn Russ, Jay Shambaugh and Minfei Xu

25645: Getting Smart About Phones: New Price Indexes and the Allocation of Spending Between Devices and Services Plans in Personal Consumption Expenditures

Ana Aizcorbe, David Byrne and Daniel Sichel

25644: Who’s Paying Attention? Measuring Common Ownership and Its Impact on Managerial Incentives

Erik P. Gilje, Todd Gormley and Doron Y. Levit

25643: Overlapping Climate Policies

Grischa Perino, Robert Ritz and Arthur van Benthem

25642: Disability and Distress: The Effect of Disability Programs on Financial Outcomes

ManasI Deshpande, Tal Gross and Yalun Su

25641: School Bus Emissions, Student Health, and Academic Performance

Wes Austin, Garth Heutel and Daniel Kreisman

25640: Ethnic Inequality and Poverty in Malaysia Since 1969

Martin Ravallion

25639: Immigrants’ Earnings Growth and Return Migration from the U.S.: Examining their Determinants using Linked Survey and Administrative Data

Randall Akee and Maggie R. Jones

25638: The Return to Protectionism

Pablo Fajgelbaum, Pinelopi Goldberg, Patrick J. Kennedy and Amit Khandelwal

25637: Measuring the Welfare Effects of Shame and Pride

Luigi Butera, Robert Metcalfe, William Morrison and Dmitry Taubinsky

25636: Optimal Environmental Targeting in the Amazon Rainforest

Juliano Assunção, Robert McMillan, Joshua Murphy and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues

25635: SNAP and Paycheck Cycles

Timothy Beatty, Marianne Bitler, Xinzhe Huang Cheng and Cynthia van der Werf

25634: Do Public Firms Respond to Industry Opportunities More Than Private Firms? The Impact of Initial Firm Quality

Vojislav Maksimovic, Gordon Phillips and Liu Yang

25633: The Leading Premium

Mariano Croce, Tatyana Marchuk and Christian Schlag

25632: Information Source and Cigarettes: Experimental Evidence on the Messenger Effect

Johanna Maclean, John Buckell and Joachim Marti

25631: Environmental Policy and Innovation: A Decade of Research

David Popp

25630: Long-run Effects from Comprehensive Student Support: Evidence from Pathways to Education

Adam Lavecchia, Philip Oreopoulos and Robert S. Brown

25629: Recovery of 1933

Margaret Jacobson, Eric Leeper and Bruce Preston

25628: Aggregate Nominal Wage Adjustments: New Evidence from Administrative Payroll Data

John Grigsby, Erik Hurst and Ahu Yildirmaz

25627: Income Changes and Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Unconditional Cash Transfers in Kenya

Johannes Haushofer, Charlotte Ringdal, Jeremy P. Shapiro and Xiao Yu Wang

25626: A Practical Method to Reduce Privacy Loss when Disclosing Statistics Based on Small Samples

Raj Chetty and John Friedman

25625: Job-Finding and Job-Losing: A Comprehensive Model of Heterogeneous Individual Labor-Market Dynamics

Robert Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

25624: Real Option Exercise: Empirical Evidence

Paul Décaire, Erik P. Gilje and Jérôme P. Taillard

25623: Pecuniary and Non-Pecuniary Motivations for Tax Compliance: Evidence from Pakistan

Joel Slemrod, Obeid Ur Rehman and Mazhar Waseem

25622: The Effects of Income Transparency on Well-Being: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Ricardo Perez-Truglia

25621: Public Debt and Low Interest Rates

Olivier Blanchard

25620: The Impact of Management Practices on Employee Productivity: A Field Experiment with Airline Captains

Greer K. Gosnell, John List and Robert Metcalfe

25619: Artificial Intelligence: The Ambiguous Labor Market Impact of Automating Prediction

Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb

25618: The Roots of Health Inequality and The Value of Intra-Family Expertise

Yiqun Chen, Petra Persson and Maria Polyakova

25617: Optimal Progressivity with Age-Dependent Taxation

Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni Violante

25616: Optimal Managed Competition Subsidies

Keaton S. Miller, Amil Petrin, Robert Town and Michael Chernew

25615: Can Incentives to Increase Electricity Use Reduce the Cost of Integrating Renewable Resources

Laura Mørch Andersen, Lars Hansen, Carsten Jensen and Frank A. Wolak

25614: Misfits in the Car Industry: Offshore Assembly Decisions at the Variety Level

Keith Head and Thierry Mayer

25613: Trade Diversion and Trade Deficits: The Case of the Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement

Katheryn Russ and Deborah Swenson

25612: Wage Equalization and Regional Misallocation: Evidence from Italian and German Provinces

Tito Boeri, Andrea Ichino, Enrico Moretti and Johanna Posch

25611: Quality, Variable Markups, and Welfare: A Quantitative General Equilibrium Analysis of Export Prices

Haichao Fan, Yao Li, Sichuang Xu and Stephen Yeaple

25610: Assessing the Gains from E-Commerce

Paul Dolfen, Liran Einav, Peter J. Klenow, Benjamin Klopack, Jonathan Levin, Laurence Levin and Wayne Best

25609: Entry Costs and the Macroeconomy

German Gutierrez, Callum Jones and Thomas Philippon

25608: The Right to Education Act: Trends in Enrollment, Test Scores, and School Quality

Manisha Shah and Bryce Steinberg

25607: Equilibrium Allocations under Alternative Waitlist Designs: Evidence from Deceased Donor Kidneys

Nikhil Agarwal, Itai Ashlagi, Michael A. Rees, Paulo Somaini and Daniel C. Waldinger

25606: Might Global Uncertainty Promote International Trade?

Isaac Baley, Laura Veldkamp and Michael Waugh

25605: Socialized Healthcare and Women’s Fertility Decisions

Resul Cesur, Pinar Gunes, Erdal Tekin and Aydogan Ulker

25604: Fintech and Household Resilience to Shocks: Evidence from Digital Loans in Kenya

Prashant Bharadwaj, William Jack and Tavneet Suri

25603: "Superstitious" Investors

Hongye Guo and Jessica Wachter

25602: The Economic Value of Breaking Bad: Misbehavior, Schooling and the Labor Market

Nicholas Papageorge, Victor Ronda and Yu Zheng

25601: Political Parties Do Matter in U.S. Cities... For Their Unfunded Pensions

Christian Dippel

25600: School Finance Equalization Increases Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from a Simulated-Instruments Approach

Barbara Biasi

25599: Household Innovation, R&D, and New Measures of Intangible Capital

Daniel Sichel and Eric von Hippel

25598: Universal Basic Income in the Developing World

Abhijit Banerjee, Paul Niehaus and Tavneet Suri

25597: Children, Unhappiness and Family Finances: Evidence from One Million Europeans

David Blanchflower and Andrew Clark

25596: Actors in the Child Development Process

Daniela Del Boca, Christopher Flinn, Ewout Verriest and Matthew Wiswall

25595: On the Economics of Science Parks

Wen-Jung Liang, Chao-Cheng Mai, Jacques Thisse and Ping Wang

25594: The Effect of Pollution and Heat on High Skill Public Sector Worker Productivity in China

Matthew Kahn and Pei Li

25593: Best Linear Approximations to Set Identified Functions: With an Application to the Gender Wage Gap

Arun Chandrasekhar, Victor Chernozhukov, Francesca Molinari and Paul Schrimpf

25592: Decentralized Mining in Centralized Pools

Lin Cong, Zhiguo He and Jiasun Li

25591: Are Consumers Attentive to Local Energy Costs? Evidence from the Appliance Market

Sébastien Houde and Erica Myers

25590: Toward an Understanding of the Development of Time Preferences: Evidence from Field Experiments

James Andreoni, Michael Kuhn, John List, Anya Samek, Kevin Sokal and Charles Sprenger

25589: When Celebrities Speak: A Nationwide Twitter Experiment Promoting Vaccination In Indonesia

Vivi Alatas, Arun Chandrasekhar, Markus Mobius, Benjamin Olken and Cindy Paladines

25588: Work of the Past, Work of the Future

David Autor

25587: Investigating Treatment Effects of Participating Jointly in SNAP and WIC when the Treatment is Validated Only for SNAP

Helen Jensen, Brent Kreider and Oleksandr Zhylyevskyy

25586: Market Inefficiency and Household Labor Supply: Evidence from Social Security’s Survivors Benefits

Itzik Fadlon, Shanthi Ramnath and Patricia K. Tong

25585: Digital Abundance and Scarce Genius: Implications for Wages, Interest Rates, and Growth

Seth Benzell and Erik Brynjolfsson

25584: Mentally Spent: Credit Conditions and Mental Health

Qing Hu, Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Mingzhu Tai

25583: Global Collateral and Capital Flows

Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos and Gregory Phelan

25582: Environmental Policy on the Back of an Envelope: A Cobb-Douglas Model is Not Just a Teaching Tool

Don Fullerton and Chi Ta

25581: Paying for Kidneys? A Randomized Survey and Choice Experiment

Julio Elias, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis

25580: Amenities, Risk, and Flood Insurance Reform

V. Smith and Ben Whitmore

25579: Long-Term Discount Rates Do Not Vary Across Firms

Matti Keloharju, Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Peter Nyberg

25578: Market Power and Income Taxation

Louis Kaplow

25577: The Declining Labor Market Prospects of Less-Educated Men

Ariel Binder and John Bound

25576: Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Information and Pricing on Residential Electricity Consumption

Jesse Burkhardt, Kenneth Gillingham and Praveen K. Kopalle

25575: Norms, Enforcement, and Tax Evasion

Timothy Besley, Anders Jensen and Torsten Persson

25574: Are Sufficient Statistics Necessary? Nonparametric Measurement of Deadweight Loss from Unemployment Insurance

David S. Lee, Pauline Leung, Christopher O'Leary, Zhuan Pei and Simon Quach

25573: Demand for Crash Insurance, Intermediary Constraints, and Risk Premia in Financial Markets

Hui Chen, Scott Joslin and Sophie X. Ni

25572: Employer Concerns and Responses to an Aging Workforce

Robert L. Clark, Steven Nyce, Beth Ritter and John B. Shoven

25571: The Fiscal Multiplier

Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii and Kurt Mitman

25570: The Efficiency and Distributional Effects of Alternative Residential Electricity Rate Designs

Scott P. Burger, Christopher Knittel, Ignacio J. Pérez-Arriaga, Ian Schneider and Frederik vom Scheidt

25569: When Labor’s Lost: Health, Family Life, Incarceration, and Education in a Time of Declining Economic Opportunity for Low-Skilled Men

Courtney Coile and Mark Duggan

25568: Simulated Power Analyses for Observational Studies: An Application to the Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion

Bernard Black, Alex Hollingsworth, Letícia Nunes and Kosali Simon

25567: Naïve *Buying* Diversification and Narrow Framing by Individual Investors

John Gathergood, David Hirshleifer, David Leake, Hiroaki Sakaguchi and Neil Stewart

25566: Visibility Bias in the Transmission of Consumption Beliefs and Undersaving

Bing Han, David Hirshleifer and Johan Walden

25565: Immigrant Entrepreneurs and Innovation in the U.S. High-Tech Sector

J. David Brown, John Earle, Mee Jung Kim and Kyung Min Lee

25564: How Does Supplemental Medicare Coverage Affect the Disabled Under-65 Population?: An Exploratory Analysis of the Health Effects of States’ Medigap Policies for SSDI Beneficiaries

Philip Armour and Claire O’Hanlon

25563: The Dynamics of the U.S. Trade Balance and Real Exchange Rate: The J Curve and Trade Costs?

George Alessandria and Horag Choi

25562: Immigration and Preferences for Redistribution in Europe

Alberto Alesina, Elie Murard and Hillel Rapoport

25561: Ambiguity Attitudes about Investments: Evidence from the Field

Kanin Anantanasuwong, Roy Kouwenberg, Olivia Mitchell and Kim Peijnenberg

25560: Bringing Satellite-Based Air Quality Estimates Down to Earth

Meredith Fowlie, Edward Rubin and Reed Walker

25559: The Endowment Model and Modern Portfolio Theory

Stephen Dimmock, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

25558: Productivity Measurement: Racing to Keep Up

Daniel Sichel

25557: How Do Americans Repay Their Debt? The Balance-Matching Heuristic

John Gathergood, Neale Mahoney, Neil Stewart and Jörg Weber

25556: Retirement Implications of a Low Wage Growth, Low Real Interest Rate Economy

Jason Scott, John B. Shoven, Sita Slavov and John G. Watson

25555: De Facto or De Jure? Ethnic Differences in Quit Responses to Legal Protections of Medical Marijuana Dispensaries

Jenny Williams, Rosalie Pacula and Rosanna Smart

25554: Market Expectations About Climate Change

Wolfram Schlenker and Charles Taylor

25553: Do Trade Creditors Possess Private Information? Stock Returns Evidence

David Hirshleifer, Yifan Li, Ben Lourie and Thomas Ruchti

25552: Paying to Program? Engineering Brand and High-Tech Wages

Prasanna Tambe, Xuan Ye and Peter Cappelli

25551: Factor Momentum and the Momentum Factor

Sina Ehsani and Juhani T. Linnainmaa

25550: Job creation in Colombia vs the U.S.: “up or out dynamics” meets “the life cycle of plants”

Marcela Eslava, John Haltiwanger and Alvaro Pinzón

25549: Chinese Bond Market and Interbank Market

Marlene Amstad and Zhiguo He

25548: Discrimination In The Age Of Algorithms

Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan and Cass Sunstein

25547: Contract Enforcement and Productive Efficiency: Evidence from the Bidding and Renegotiation of Power Contracts in India

Nicholas Ryan