Economic Incentives Surrounding Fertility: Evidence from Alaska's Permanent Fund Dividend

Nishant Yonzan, Laxman Timilsina and Inas Kelly ()

No 26712, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Starting in 1982, the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend allows each full-time resident in Alaska, including infants born in the qualifying year, to receive a sizable dividend. This dividend, which represents a form of a Universal Basic Income on a small scale, could alter incentives surrounding fertility. Using synthetic control and difference-in-differences models to account for confounding factors and unobserved heterogeneity, we model the effect of income on fertility by exploiting this income shock around 1982 using Natality files from Vital Statistics and abortion data from the Centers for Disease Control, merged with data from the Census on various state characteristics. Primary results suggest that the dividend increased fertility and reduced the spacing between births, particularly for females in the 20-44 year age group. Our results suggest that policies aimed at increasing income should consider fertility consequences and their implications for economic growth.

JEL-codes: H7 I1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem
Note: EH PE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published as Nishant Yonzan & Laxman Timilsina & Inas Rashad Kelly, 2023. "Economic incentives surrounding fertility: Evidence from Alaska’s permanent fund dividend," Economics & Human Biology, .

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