NBER Working Papers

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16210: A Litner Model of Payout and Managerial Rents

Bart M. Lambrecht and Stewart C. Myers

16209: An Empirical Analysis of Cost Recovery in Superfund Cases: Implications for Brownfields and Joint and Several Liability

Howard F. Chang and Hilary Sigman

16208: The Central-Bank Balance Sheet as an Instrument of Monetary Policy

Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford

16207: Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

Charles Manski

16206: CMBS Subordination, Ratings Inflation, and the Crisis of 2007-2009

Richard Stanton and Nancy Wallace

16205: Getting to the Top of Mind: How Reminders Increase Saving

Dean Karlan, Margaret McConnell, Sendhil Mullainathan and Jonathan Zinman

16204: Money and Interest Rates in the United States during the Great Depression

Peter F. Basile, John Landon-Lane and Hugh Rockoff

16203: An Integrated Assessment of Water Markets: Australia, Chile, China, South Africa and the USA

R. Quentin Grafton, Clay Landry, Gary Libecap, Sam McGlennon and Robert O'Brien

16202: Fetters of Gold and Paper

Barry Eichengreen and Peter Temin

16201: Investing in Our Young People

Flavio Cunha and James Heckman

16200: Credit Traps

Efraim Benmelech and Nittai K. Bergman

16199: What Does the Corporate Income Tax Tax? A Simple Model without Capital

Laurence Kotlikoff and Jianjun Miao

16198: Work Incentives and the Food Stamp Program

Hilary Hoynes and Diane Schanzenbach

16197: Are Consumers Affected by Durable Goods Makers' Financial Distress? The Case of Auto Manufacturers

Ali Hortacsu, Gregor Matvos, Chad Syverson and Sriram Venkataraman

16196: Collective Action in Diverse Sierra Leone Communities

Rachel Glennerster, Edward Miguel and Alexander Rothenberg

16195: Did Trade Liberalization Help Women? The Case of Mexico in the 1990s

Ernesto Aguayo-Téllez, Jim Airola and Chinhui Juhn

16194: Are Building Codes Effective at Saving Energy? Evidence from Residential Billing Data in Florida

Grant D. Jacobsen and Matthew Kotchen

16193: What Does Health Reform Mean for the Healthcare Industry? Evidence from the Massachusetts Special Senate Election

Mohamad Al-Ississ and Nolan H. Miller

16192: Rent-sharing, Holdup, and Wages: Evidence from Matched Panel Data

David Card, Francesco Devicienti and Agata Maida

16191: The Behavior of Intoxicated Investors: The role of institutional investors in propagating the crisis of 2007-2008

Alberto Manconi, Massimo Massa and Ayako Yasuda

16190: Monetization and Growth in Colonial New England, 1703-1749

Peter Rousseau and Caleb Stroup

16189: Evaluating Conditions in Major Chinese Housing Markets

Jing Wu, Joseph Gyourko and Yongheng Deng

16188: Spillovers in Space: Does Geography Matter?

Sergey Lychagin, Joris Pinkse, Margaret Slade and John van Reenen

16187: Trading Complex Assets

Bruce I. Carlin and Shimon Kogan

16186: Nonlinearities and the Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Prices

James Hamilton

16185: Preference Signaling in Matching Markets

Peter Coles, Alexey Kushnir and Muriel Niederle

16184: Growing State-Federal Conflicts in Environmental Policy: The Role of Market-Based Regulation

Roberton Williams

16183: The Predictability of Returns with Regime Shifts in Consumption and Dividend Growth

Anisha Ghosh and George Constantinides

16182: Is the Distance to Default a Good Measure in Predicting Bank Failures? Case Studies

Kimie Harada, Takatoshi Ito and Shuhei Takahashi

16181: Ambiguity and Asset Markets

Larry Epstein and Martin Schneider

16180: A New Cost-Benefit and Rate of Return Analysis for the Perry Preschool Program: A Summary

James Heckman, Seong Hyeok Moon, Rodrigo Pinto, Peter Savelyev and Adam Yavitz

16179: How Do Employers React to A Pay-or-Play Mandate? Early Evidence from San Francisco

Carrie Colla, William Dow and Arindrajit Dube

16178: Stronger Risk Controls, Lower Risk: Evidence from U.S. Bank Holding Companies

Andrew Ellul and Vijay Yerramilli

16177: Financial Connections and Systemic Risk

Franklin Allen, Ana Babus and Elena Carletti

16176: Yesterday's Heroes: Compensation and Creative Risk-Taking

Ing-Haw Cheng, Harrison Hong and Jose Scheinkman

16175: The Role of Mortgage Brokers in the Subprime Crisis

Antje Berndt, Burton Hollifield and Patrik Sandås

16174: Off the Cliff and Back? Credit Conditions and International Trade during the Global Financial Crisis

Davin Chor and Kalina Manova

16173: Active Labor Market Policy Evaluations: A Meta-Analysis

David Card, Jochen Kluve and Andrea Weber

16172: Effects of Overweight on Risky Sexual Behavior of Adolescent Girls

Susan Averett, Hope Corman and Nancy Reichman

16171: Why did HIV decline in Uganda?

Marcella M. Alsan and David Cutler

16170: The Risk of Out-of-Pocket Health Care Expenditure at End of Life

Samuel Marshall, Kathleen McGarry and Jonathan Skinner

16169: A Model-Based Evaluation of the Debate on the Size of the Tax Multiplier

Ryan Chahrour, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

16168: On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crisis: Elusive or Illusion?

Rong Qian, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

16167: Human capital and the Indian software industry

Ashish Arora and Surendra K. Bagde

16166: Evidence of a Modest Price Decline in US Broadband Services

Shane Greenstein and Ryan McDevitt

16165: Implementation of Monetary Policy: How Do Central Banks Set Interest Rates?

Benjamin M. Friedman and Kenneth Kuttner

16164: Death by Market Power: Reform, Competition and Patient Outcomes in the National Health Service

Martin Gaynor, Rodrigo Moreno-Serra and Carol Propper

16163: A Review of War Costs in Iraq and Afghanistan

Ryan Edwards

16162: Calling Recessions in Real Time

James Hamilton

16161: America's settling down: How Better Jobs and Falling Immigration led to a Rise in Marriage, 1880 - 1930

Tomas Cvrcek

16160: Rational Choice and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Union Representation Elections

Henry S. Farber

16159: Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics

Philippe Bacchetta, Cédric Tille and Eric van Wincoop

16158: Spillovers from Climate Policy

Stephen Holland

16157: Transitional Dynamics of Dividend and Capital Gains Tax Cuts

Francois Gourio and Jianjun Miao

16156: Going Soft: How the Rise of Software Based Innovation Led to the Decline of Japan's IT Industry and the Resurgence of Silicon Valley

Ashish Arora, Lee Branstetter and Matej Drev

16155: Medicare Part D and the Financial Protection of the Elderly

Gary V. Engelhardt and Jonathan Gruber

16154: Business Cycles, Consumption and Risk-Sharing: How Different Is China?

Chadwick Curtis and Nelson Mark

16153: Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants

Ian Martin

16152: The Effect of Civilian Casualties in Afghanistan and Iraq

Luke N. Condra, Joseph H. Felter, Radha K. Iyengar and Jacob N. Shapiro

16151: Macroeconomic Conditions and the Puzzles of Credit Spreads and Capital Structure

Hui Chen

16150: Financial Conditions Indexes: A Fresh Look after the Financial Crisis

Jan Hatzius, Peter Hooper, Frederic Mishkin, Kermit Schoenholtz and Mark Watson

16149: Understanding Overeating and Obesity

Christopher Ruhm

16148: The Child and Adult Care Food Program: Who is Served and What are Their Nutritional Outcomes?

Rachel A. Gordon, Robert Kaestner, Sanders Korenman and Kristin Abner

16147: Limiting Emissions and Trade: Some Basic Ideas

Kala Krishna

16146: Maternal Health and the Baby Boom

Stefania Albanesi and Claudia Olivetti

16145: Managing Markets for Toxic Assets

Christopher House and Yusufcan Masatlioglu

16144: Evaluating the Efficiency and Equity of Federal Fiscal Equalization

David Albouy

16143: Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data

Ruediger Bachmann, Steffen Elstner and Eric Sims

16142: The Trade Performance of Asian Economies During and Following the 2008 Financial Crisis

Jing Wang and John Whalley

16141: From Russia with Love: The Impact of Relocated Firms on Incumbent Survival

Oliver Falck, Christina Guenther, Stephan Heblich and William Kerr

16140: Lotteries in Student Assignment: An Equivalence Result

Parag Pathak and Jay Sethuraman

16139: Health and Health Insurance Trajectories of Mexicans in the US

Neeraj Kaushal and Robert Kaestner

16138: Has ICT Polarized Skill Demand? Evidence from Eleven Countries over 25 years

Guy Michaels, Ashwini Natraj and John van Reenen

16137: Suburbanization, Demographic Change and the Consequences for School Finance

David Figlio and Deborah Fletcher

16136: GHG Targets as Insurance Against Catastrophic Climate Damages

Martin Weitzman

16135: Fertility in New York State in the Civil War Era

Michael Haines and Avery M. Guest

16134: The Construction of Life Tables for the American Indian Population at the Turn of the Twentieth Century

J. David Hacker and Michael Haines

16133: Inequality and Infant and Childhood Mortality in the United States in the Twentieth Century

Michael Haines

16132: Binge Drinking & Sex in High School

Jeffrey DeSimone

16131: Urban Policy Effects on Carbon Mitigation

Matthew Kahn

16130: Some Evidence on the Importance of Sticky Wages

Alessandro Barattieri, Susanto Basu and Peter Gottschalk

16129: Dividends, Share Repurchases, and Tax Clienteles: Evidence from the 2003 Reductions in Shareholder Taxes

Jennifer Blouin, Jana Raedy and Douglas Shackelford

16128: Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices

Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi

16127: A Score Based Approach to Wild Bootstrap Inference

Patrick Kline and Andres Santos

16126: Privatization and Nationalization Cycles

Roberto Chang, Constantino Hevia and Norman Loayza

16125: Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: A Survey

Jeffrey Frankel

16124: The Performance of Alternative Monetary Regimes

Laurence Ball

16123: Interactions between State and Federal Climate Change Policies

Lawrence H. Goulder and Robert Stavins

16122: Aggregate Risk and the Choice between Cash and Lines of Credit

Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida and Murillo Campello

16121: Monitoring and Enforcement of Climate Policy

Hilary Sigman

16120: Setting the Initial Time-Profile of Climate Policy: The Economics of Environmental Policy Phase-Ins

Roberton Williams

16119: Buy coal? Deposit markets prevent carbon leakage

Bard Harstad

16118: Do Prices Determine Vertical Integration?

Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger and Andrew Newman

16117: Climate Policy and Voluntary Initiatives: An Evaluation of the Connecticut Clean Energy Communities Program

Matthew Kotchen

16116: Upstream versus Downstream Implementation of Climate Policy

Erin Mansur

16115: HIV and Fertility Revisited

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Belgi Turan

16114: Evaluating the Slow Adoption of Energy Efficient Investments: Are Renters Less Likely to Have Energy Efficient Appliances?

Lucas Davis

16113: Twins or Strangers? Differences and Similarities between Industrial and Academic Science

Henry Sauermann and Paula Stephan

16112: Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects of Medicaid Expansions on Take-up and Crowd-out

John Ham, I. Serkan Ozbeklik and Lara Shore-Sheppard

16111: Climate Policy and Labor Markets

Olivier Deschenes