NBER Working Papers

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29311: Big Loans to Small Businesses: Predicting Winners and Losers in an Entrepreneurial Lending Experiment

Gharad T. Bryan, Dean Karlan and Adam Osman

29310: Dynamic Strategic Corporate Finance: A Tug of War with Financial Frictions

Ulrich Doraszelski, João Gomes and Felix Nockher

29309: Why Don’t Elite Colleges Expand Supply?

Peter Q. Blair and Kent Smetters

29308: Why Does Education Increase Voting? Evidence from Boston’s Charter Schools

Sarah Cohodes and James Feigenbaum

29307: Recovery from the COVID-19 Recession: Uneven Effects among Young Workers?

Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li

29306: Racial Disparities in Housing Returns

Amir Kermani and Francis Wong

29305: Foundations of Demand Estimation

Steven Berry and Philip A. Haile

29304: Demand Composition and the Strength of Recoveries

Martin Beraja and Christian Wolf

29303: International Reserve Management and Firm Investment in Emerging Market Economies

Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung and Xingwang Qian

29302: The Evolution of Skill Use Within and Between Jobs

Costas Cavounidis, Vittoria Dicandia, Kevin Lang and Raghav Malhotra

29301: Technology Adoption and Market Allocation:The Case of Robotic Surgery

Danea Horn, Adam Sacarny and R. Annetta Zhou

29300: The Sahm Rule and Predicting the Great Recession Across OECD Countries

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

29299: From Hermit Kingdom to Miracle on the Han: Policy Decisions that Transformed South Korea into an Export Powerhouse

Douglas Irwin

29298: How Economic Ideas Led to Taiwan’s Shift to Export Promotion in the 1950s

Douglas Irwin

29297: Electoral Violence and Supply Chain Disruptions in Kenya's Floriculture Industry

Christopher Ksoll, Rocco Macchiavello and Ameet Morjaria

29296: Marijuana Liberalization Policies and Perinatal Health

Angélica Meinhofer, Allison Witman, Jesse M. Hinde and Kosali I. Simon

29295: Privatization of Public Goods: Evidence from the Sanitation Sector in Senegal

Joshua Deutschmann, Jared E. Gars, Jean-François Houde, Molly Lipscomb and Laura A. Schechter

29294: Social and Financial Incentives for Overcoming a Collective Action Problem

M. Mehrab Bakhtiar, Raymond Guiteras, James Levinsohn and Ahmed Mobarak

29293: Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID: Does it ‘Get in all of the Cracks?’

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander

29292: Effect of the Jamaica Early Childhood Stimulation Intervention on Labor Market Outcomes at Age 31

Paul Gertler, James J. Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, Susan M. Chang, Sally Grantham-McGregor, Christel Vermeersch, Susan Walker and Amika Wright

29291: Dynamic Games in Empirical Industrial Organization

Victor Aguirregabiria, Allan Collard-Wexler and Stephen Ryan

29290: Sorting with Team Formation

Job Boerma, Aleh Tsyvinski and Alexander P. Zimin

29289: Mobility for All: Representative Intergenerational Mobility Estimates over the 20th Century

Elisa Jácome, Ilyana Kuziemko and Suresh Naidu

29288: The Asymmetry in Responsible Investing Preferences

Jacquelyn Humphrey, Shimon Kogan, Jacob Sagi and Laura Starks

29287: Is Healthcare Employment Resilient and “Recession Proof”?

Marcus Dillender, Andrew Friedson, Cong T. Gian and Kosali I. Simon

29286: The Puzzle of Falling US Birth Rates Since the Great Recession

Melissa Schettini Kearney, Phillip Levine and Luke W. Pardue

29285: The Initial Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Material Hardship

Zachary Parolin, Elizabeth Ananat, Sophie M. Collyer, Megan Curran and Christopher Wimer

29284: Bank Mergers, Acquirer Choice and Small Business Lending: Implications for Community Investment

Bernadette A. Minton, Alvaro G. Taboada and Rohan Williamson

29283: Labor Market Nationalization Policies and Exporting Firm Outcomes: Evidence from Saudi Arabia

Patricia Cortés, Semiray Kasoolu and Carolina Pan

29282: Structural Empirical Analysis of Contracting in Vertical Markets

Robin Lee, Michael Whinston and Ali Yurukoglu

29281: Banking-Crisis Interventions Across Time and Space

Andrew Metrick and Paul Schmelzing

29280: Political Ideology and International Capital Allocation

Elisabeth Kempf, Mancy Luo, Larissa Schäfer and Margarita Tsoutsoura

29279: Human Frictions in the Transmission of Economic Policies

Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, Maritta Paloviita and Michael Weber

29278: The Consequences of Chronic Pain in Mid-Life: Evidence from the National Child Development Survey

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

29277: External Balance Sheets and the COVID-19 Crisis

Galina Hale and Luciana Juvenal

29276: The Returns to College(s): Relative Value-Added and Match Effects in Higher Education

Jack Mountjoy and Brent R. Hickman

29275: Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups

Francesco D’Acunto, Andreas Fuster and Michael Weber

29274: Salience

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

29273: Memory and Probability

Pedro Bordalo, John J. Conlon, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon and Andrei Shleifer

29272: Red Scare? A Study of Ethnic Prejudice in the Prosecutions under the Economic Espionage Act

Hanming Fang and Ming Li

29271: Life Course Effects Of The Lanham Preschools: What The First Government Preschool Effort Can Tell Us About Universal Early Care And Education Today

Taletha M. Derrington, Alison Huang and Joseph P. Ferrie

29270: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Asymmetric Information in Consumer Credit Markets

Anthony DeFusco, Huan Tang and Constantine Yannelis

29269: The Geography of Unemployment

Adrien Bilal

29268: Signaling in Online Credit Markets

Kei Kawai, Ken Onishi and Kosuke Uetake

29267: Fragile Algorithms and Fallible Decision-Makers: Lessons from the Justice System

Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan

29266: The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

29265: Experimental Evidence on Semi-structured Bargaining with Private Information

Margherita Comola and Marcel Fafchamps

29264: The Heterogeneous Effects of Large and Small Minimum Wage Changes: Evidence over the Short and Medium Run Using a Pre-Analysis Plan

Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Strain

29263: The Long-Term Effects of Industrial Policy

Jaedo Choi and Andrei Levchenko

29262: The Pandemic’s Effect on Demand for Public Schools, Homeschooling, and Private Schools

Tareena Musaddiq, Kevin M. Stange, Andrew Bacher-Hicks and Joshua Goodman

29261: Urban Resilience

Edward Glaeser

29260: The Rise of Scientific Research in Corporate America

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, Konstantin Kosenko, Jungkyu Suh and Yishay Yafeh

29259: Frictions in Product Markets

Alessandro Gavazza and Alessandro Lizzeri

29258: The Effect of Safety Net Generosity on Maternal Mental Health and Risky Health Behaviors

Lucie Schmidt, Lara Shore-Sheppard and Tara Watson

29257: Empirical Models of Demand and Supply in Differentiated Products Industries

Amit Gandhi and Aviv Nevo

29256: Intergenerational Mobility in American History: Accounting for Race and Measurement Error

Zachary Ward

29255: Empathy and the Efficient Provision of Public Goods

Geoffrey Heal

29254: Community Colleges and Upward Mobility

Jack Mountjoy

29253: Hub and Spoke Cartels: Theory and Evidence from the Grocery Industry

Robert Clark, Ignatius Horstmann and Jean-François Houde

29252: The Plant-Level View of an Industrial Policy: The Korean Heavy Industry Drive of 1973

Minho Kim, Munseob Lee and Yongseok Shin

29251: The Gender Gap in Earnings Losses after Job Displacement

Hannah Illing, Johannes Schmieder and Simon Trenkle

29250: Herding, Warfare, and a Culture of Honor: Global Evidence

Yiming Cao, Benjamin Enke, Armin Falk, Paola Giuliano and Nathan Nunn

29249: Inequality in Early Care Experienced by U.S. Children

Sarah Flood, Joel McMurry, Aaron Sojourner and Matthew Wiswall

29248: Why is Workplace Sexual Harassment Underreported? The Value of Outside Options Amid the Threat of Retaliation

Gordon Dahl and Matthew Knepper

29247: Harms of AI

Daron Acemoglu

29246: The Dynamics of Referral Hiring and Racial Inequality: Evidence from Brazil

Conrad Miller and Ian M. Schmutte

29245: Perceptions of Racial Gaps, their Causes, and Ways to Reduce Them

Alberto Alesina, Matteo F. Ferroni and Stefanie Stantcheva

29244: New Evidence on Redlining by Federal Housing Programs in the 1930s

Price Fishback, Jonathan Rose, Kenneth A. Snowden and Thomas Storrs

29243: Police Officer Assignment and Neighborhood Crime

Bocar Ba, Patrick Bayer, Nayoung Rim, Roman Rivera and Modibo Sidibé

29242: Semiparametric Estimation of Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments

Susan Athey, Peter J. Bickel, Aiyou Chen, Guido Imbens and Michael Pollmann

29241: The Great Divide: Education, Despair and Death

Anne Case and Angus Deaton

29240: The Affordable Care Act After a Decade: Its Impact on the Labor Market and the Macro Economy

Hanming Fang and Dirk Krueger

29239: Flagship Entry in Online Marketplaces

Ginger Zhe Jin, Zhentong Lu, Xiaolu Zhou and Lu Fang

29238: The Flight to Safety and International Risk Sharing

Rohan Kekre and Moritz Lenel

29237: Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Estimate the Livelihood Impact of Electricity Access

Nathan Ratledge, Gabriel Cadamuro, Brandon De la Cuesta, Matthieu Stigler and Marshall Burke

29236: Repricing Avalanches in the Billion-Prices Data

Laura Leal, Haaris Mateen, Makoto Nirei and José A. Scheinkman

29235: Energy and Environmental Markets, Industrial Organization, and Regulation

Ryan Kellogg and Mar Reguant

29234: Bundling Genetic and Financial Technologies for More Resilient and Productive Small-scale Agriculture

Stephen R. Boucher, Michael Carter, Jon Einar Flatnes, Travis Lybbert, Jonathan G. Malacarne, Paswel Marenya and Laura A. Paul

29233: Market Structure and Monetary Non-neutrality

Simon Mongey

29232: Measuring Market Expectations

Christiane Baumeister

29231: Does Education Prevent Job Loss During Downturns? Evidence from Exogenous School Assignments and COVID-19 in Barbados

Diether Beuermann, Nicolas Bottan, Bridget Hoffmann, C. Kirabo Jackson and Diego Vera Cossio

29230: Media and Social Capital

Filipe Campante, Ruben Durante and Andrea Tesei

29229: An Industrial Organization Perspective on Productivity

Jan De Loecker and Chad Syverson

29228: Road Capacity, Domestic Trade and Regional Outcomes

A. Kerem Coşar, Banu Demir, Devaki Ghose and Nathaniel Young

29227: The Impact of Financial Assistance Programs on Health Care Utilization

Alyce S. Adams, Raymond Kluender, Neale Mahoney, Jinglin Wang, Francis Wong and Wesley Yin

29226: Stabilization with Fiscal Policy

Narayana Kocherlakota

29225: Organizational Capacity and Profit Shifting

Katarzyna Bilicka and Daniela Scur

29224: Can Today's and Tomorrow's World Uniformly Gain from Carbon Taxation?

Laurence Kotlikoff, Felix Kubler, Andrey Polbin and Simon Scheidegger

29223: Misdiagnosing Bank Capital Problems

Jeremy I. Bulow and Paul Klemperer

29222: Maximum Employment and the Participation Cycle

Bart Hobijn and Ayşegül Şahin

29221: Big Fish in Thin Markets: Competing with the Middlemen to Increase Market Access in the Amazon

Viva Ona Bartkus, Wyatt Brooks, Joseph Kaboski and Carolyn E. Pelnik

29220: Simulating Endogenous Global Automation

Seth Benzell, Laurence Kotlikoff, Guillermo LaGarda and Victor Yifan Ye

29219: The Effects of Going Public on Firm Performance and Commercialization Strategy: Evidence from International IPOs

Borja Larrain, Gordon Phillips, Giorgo Sertsios and Francisco Urzúa I.

29218: The Impact of Healthcare IT on Clinical Quality, Productivity and Workers

Ari Bronsoler, Joseph J. Doyle and John van Reenen

29217: A Theory of the Global Financial Cycle

Jonathan Davis and Eric van Wincoop

29216: Intended and Unintended Effects of E-cigarette Taxes on Youth Tobacco Use

Rahi Abouk, Charles Courtemanche, Dhaval Dave, Bo Feng, Abigail S. Friedman, Johanna Maclean, Michael Pesko, Joseph J. Sabia and Samuel Safford

29215: Matching in the Dark? Inequalities in student to degree match

Stuart Campbell, Lindsey Macmillan, Richard Murphy and Gillian Wyness

29214: Opportunity Unraveled: Private Information and the Missing Markets for Financing Human Capital

Daniel Herbst and Nathaniel Hendren

29213: The Employment and Redistributive Effects of Reducing or Eliminating Minimum Wage Tip Credits

David Neumark and Maysen Yen

29212: Corporate Actions and the Manipulation of Retail Investors in China: An Analysis of Stock Splits

Sheridan Titman, Chishen Wei and Bin Zhao