NBER Working Papers

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21626: Phasing Out the GSEs

Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

21625: The Mortality Consequences of Distinctively Black Names

Lisa Cook, Trevon Logan and John Parman

21624: Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution

James Feyrer, Erin Mansur and Bruce Sacerdote

21623: Policies for a Better-fed World

Abhijit Banerjee

21622: The Migration Response to Increasing Temperatures

Cristina Cattaneo and Giovanni Peri

21621: Optimal Product Variety in Radio Markets

Steven Berry, Alon Eizenberg and Joel Waldfogel

21620: Do People Shape Cities, or Do Cities Shape People? The Co-evolution of Physical, Social, and Economic Change in Five Major U.S. Cities

Nikhil Naik, Scott Kominers, Ramesh Raskar, Edward Glaeser and Cesar Hidalgo

21619: Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Olivier Blanchard, Jonathan Ostry, Atish Ghosh and Marcos Chamon

21618: Locate Your Nearest Exit: Mass Layoffs and Local Labor Market Response

Andrew Foote, Michel Grosz and Ann Stevens

21617: The Robustness of Tests for Consumer Choice Inconsistencies

Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber

21616: Movies, Margins and Marketing: Encouraging the Adoption of Iron-Fortified Salt

Abhijit Banerjee, Sharon Barnhardt and Esther Duflo

21615: Oil and Gas Revenue Allocation to Local Governments in Eight States

Richard Newell and Daniel Raimi

21614: Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis

Mariana García-Schmidt and Michael Woodford

21613: Chinese Yellow Dust and Korean Infant Health

Deokrye Baek, Duha Altindag and Naci Mocan

21612: Discrimination and Worker Evaluation

Costas Cavounidis and Kevin Lang

21611: Moral Incentives in Credit Card Debt Repayment: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Leonardo Bursztyn, Stefano Fiorin, Daniel Gottlieb and Martin Kanz

21610: The Gift of Time? School Starting Age and Mental Health

Thomas Dee and Hans Sievertsen

21609: The Relationship between Health and Schooling: What’s New?

Michael Grossman

21608: The Ups and Downs of Turkish Growth, 2002-2015: Political Dynamics, the European Union and the Institutional Slide

Daron Acemoglu and Murat Ucer

21607: Long-Term Educational Consequences of Vocational Training in Colombia: Impacts on Young Trainees and Their Relatives

Adriana Kugler, Maurice Kugler, Juan Saavedra and Luis Omar Herrera Prada

21606: Migration State and Welfare State: Competition vs. Coordination in an Economic Union

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

21605: A New Measure of College Quality to Study the Effects of College Sector and Peers on Degree Attainment

Jonathan Smith and Kevin Stange

21604: Health Effects of Economic Crises

Christopher Ruhm

21603: Healthcare Exceptionalism? Performance and Allocation in the U.S. Healthcare Sector

Amitabh Chandra, Amy Finkelstein, Adam Sacarny and Chad Syverson

21602: Using Behavioral Insights to Increase Parental Engagement: The Parents and Children Together (PACT) Intervention

Susan Mayer, Ariel Kalil, Philip Oreopoulos and Sebastian Gallegos

21601: Does Eliminating the Earnings Test Increase the Incidence of Low Income Among Older Women?

Theodore Figinski and David Neumark

21600: Diabetes and Diet: Behavioral Response and the Value of Health

Emily Oster

21599: Inflation, Output, and Markup Dynamics with Forward-Looking Wage and Price Setters

Louis Phaneuf, Eric Sims and Jean Gardy Victor

21598: Achievement Effects of Individual Performance Incentives in a Teacher Merit Pay Tournament

Margaret Brehm, Scott Imberman and Michael Lovenheim

21597: Social Networks, Ethnicity, and Entrepreneurship

William Kerr and Martin Mandorff

21596: What Can We Learn About the Effects of Food Stamps on Obesity in the Presence of Misreporting?

Lorenzo Almada, Ian McCarthy and Rusty Tchernis

21595: Structural Change with Long-run Income and Price Effects

Diego Comin, Danial Lashkari and Martí Mestieri

21594: Does Education Reduce Teen Fertility? Evidence from Compulsory Schooling Laws

Philip DeCicca and Harry Krashinsky

21593: Estimation of Multivariate Probit Models via Bivariate Probit

John Mullahy

21592: Education Research and Administrative Data

David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik and Kjell G Salvanes

21591: Immigrant Employment and Earnings Growth in Canada and the U.S.: Evidence from Longitudinal Data

Neeraj Kaushal, Yao Lu, Nicole Denier, Julia Shu-Huah Wang and Stephen Trejo

21590: A Nonlinear Certainty Equivalent Approximation Method for Dynamic Stochastic Problems

Yongyang Cai, Kenneth Judd and Jevgenijs Steinbuks

21589: Climate Tipping Points and Solar Geoengineering

Garth Heutel, Juan Moreno-Cruz and Soheil Shayegh

21588: The Wage Impact of the Marielitos: A Reappraisal

George Borjas

21587: Housing Booms and Busts, Labor Market Opportunities, and College Attendance

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Erik Hurst and Matthew Notowidigdo

21586: In-Kind Taxes, Behavior, and Comparative Advantage

Casey Mulligan

21585: The Cost of Uncertainty about the Timing of Social Security Reform

Frank Caliendo, Aspen Gorry and Sita Slavov

21584: Principal Component Analysis of High Frequency Data

Yacine Ait-Sahalia and Dacheng Xiu

21583: What Drives Home Market Advantage?

A. Kerem Coşar, Paul L. E. Grieco, Shengyu Li and Felix Tintelnot

21582: Internalizing Global Value Chains: A Firm-Level Analysis

Laura Alfaro, Pol Antras, Davin Chor and Paola Conconi

21581: Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide

Atif Mian, Amir Sufi and Emil Verner

21580: Losing Medicaid: What happens to hospitalizations?

Daniel Tello-Trillo, Ausmita Ghosh, Kosali Simon and Johanna Maclean

21579: Neophilia Ranking of Scientific Journals

Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya

21578: As the Wind Blows: The Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution on Mortality

Michael Anderson

21577: Public Universities, Equal Opportunity, and the Legacy of Jim Crow: Evidence from North Carolina

Charles Clotfelter, Helen Ladd and Jacob Vigdor

21576: Monetary Policy, Bond Risk Premia, and the Economy

Peter Ireland

21575: Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility

Mete Kilic and Jessica Wachter

21574: What is a Sustainable Public Debt?

Pablo D'Erasmo, Enrique Mendoza and Jing Zhang

21573: Dumping and Antidumping Duties

Bruce Blonigen and Thomas Prusa

21572: Banks, Politics, and Political Parties: From Partisan Banking to Open Access in Early Massachusetts

Qian Lu and John Joseph Wallis

21571: Non-Cognitive Deficits and Young Adult Outcomes: The Long-Run Impacts of a Universal Child Care Program

Michael Baker, Jonathan Gruber and Kevin Milligan

21570: Improving Risk Equalization with Constrained Regression

Richard van Kleef, Thomas McGuire, Rene van Vliet and Wynand van de Ven

21569: Gradualism in Monetary Policy: A Time-Consistency Problem?

Jeremy Stein and Adi Sunderam

21568: TAs Like Me: Racial Interactions between Graduate Teaching Assistants and Undergraduates

Lester Lusher, Douglas Campbell and Scott Carrell

21567: Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions to Consumers Who Want to Borrow?

Sumit Agarwal, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Neale Mahoney and Johannes Stroebel

21566: Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Shall-Issue Right-to-Carry Laws on Crime

Steven Durlauf, Salvador Navarro and David Rivers

21565: The Price of Responsibility: The Impact of Health Reform on Non-Poor Uninsureds

Mark Pauly, Adam Leive and Scott Harrington

21564: Low-Frequency Econometrics

Ulrich K. Müller and Mark Watson

21563: Efficiently Inefficient Markets for Assets and Asset Management

Nicolae B. Gârleanu and Lasse Pedersen

21562: How Does Household Income Affect Child Personality Traits and Behaviors?

Randall Akee, Emilia Simeonova, E. Jane Costello and William Copeland

21561: Country-Specific Preferences and Employment Rates in Europe

Simone Moriconi and Giovanni Peri

21560: The Disability Employment Puzzle: A Field Experiment on Employer Hiring Behavior

Mason Ameri, Lisa Schur, Meera Adya, Scott Bentley, Patrick McKay and Douglas Kruse

21559: Towards a History of the Junk Bond Market, 1910-1955

Peter F. Basile, Sung Won Kang, John Landon-Lane and Hugh Rockoff

21558: How to Construct Nationally Representative Firm Level Data from the Orbis Global Database: New Facts and Aggregate Implications

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen, Carolina Villegas-Sanchez, Vadym Volosovych and Sevcan Yesiltas

21557: Dividend Dynamics, Learning, and Expected Stock Index Returns

Ravi Jagannathan and Binying Liu

21556: The Global Productivity Slump: Common and Country-Specific Factors

Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin

21555: Demographics and Aggregate Household Saving in Japan, China, and India

Chadwick Curtis, Steven Lugauer and Nelson Mark

21554: The Effects of the Tax Deduction for Postsecondary Tuition: Implications for Structuring Tax-Based Aid

Caroline Hoxby and George Bulman

21553: Banker Preferences, Interbank Connections, and the Enduring Structure of the Federal Reserve System

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

21552: Tax Evasion across Industries: Soft Credit Evidence from Greece

Nikolaos Artavanis, Adair Morse and Margarita Tsoutsoura

21551: Superstitions, Street Traffic, and Subjective Well-Being

Michael Anderson, Fangwen Lu, Yiran Zhang, Jun Yang and Ping Qin

21550: Crowding Out in Ricardian Economies

Andrew Abel

21549: The Analytics of Investment, q, and Cash Flow

Andrew Abel

21548: Optimal Debt and Profitability in the Tradeoff Theory

Andrew Abel

21547: Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth

William Nordhaus

21546: Dark Costs, Missing Data: Shedding Some Light on Services Trade

James Anderson, Ingo Borchert, Aaditya Mattoo and Yoto Yotov

21545: Fetal Malnutrition And Academic Success: Evidence From Muslim Immigrants In Denmark

Jane Greve, Marie Louise Schultz-Nielsen and Erdal Tekin

21544: The Financial Feasibility of Delaying Social Security: Evidence from Administrative Tax Data

Gopi Goda, Shanthi Ramnath, John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

21543: Workfare and Human Capital Investment: Evidence from India

Manisha Shah and Bryce Steinberg

21542: Shale Public Finance: Local Government Revenues and Costs Associated with Oil and Gas Development

Richard Newell and Daniel Raimi

21541: Regulation of Insurance with Adverse Selection and Switching Costs: Evidence from Medicare Part D

Maria Polyakova

21540: The Political Economy of Liberal Democracy

Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

21539: Trading Down and the Business Cycle

Nir Jaimovich, Sergio Rebelo and Arlene Wong

21538: On the Optimal Provision of Social Insurance: Progressive Taxation versus Education Subsidies in General Equilibrium

Dirk Krueger and Alexander Ludwig

21537: Like Me, Buy Me: The Effect of Soft Power on Exports

Andrew Rose

21536: The East Indian Monopoly and the Transition from Limited Access in England, 1600-1813

Dan Bogart

21535: Currency Unions and Trade: A Post-EMU Mea Culpa

Reuven Glick and Andrew Rose

21534: State Taxation and the Reallocation of Business Activity: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data

Xavier Giroud and Joshua Rauh

21533: Mispricing Factors

Robert Stambaugh and Yu Yuan

21532: The Impact of Foreclosure Delay on U.S. Employment

Kyle Herkenhoff and Lee Ohanian

21531: Assessing Incentives for Adverse Selection in Health Plan Payment Systems

Timothy Layton, Randall Ellis and Thomas G. McGuire

21530: Public Audit Oversight and Reporting Credibility: Evidence from the PCAOB Inspection Regime

Brandon Gipper, Christian Leuz and Mark Maffett

21529: Support for Redistribution in an Age of Rising Inequality: New Stylized Facts and Some Tentative Explanations

Vivekinan Ashok, Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington

21528: Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets: A Theory of Speculative Bubbles, the Fed Model, and Self-fulfilling Liquidity Crises

Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang

21527: Identification of Counterfactuals in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul Scott and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues