NBER Working Papers

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22111: The Billion Prices Project: Using Online Prices for Measurement and Research

Alberto Cavallo and Roberto Rigobon

22110: The March of the Techies: Technology, Trade, and Job Polarization in France, 1994-2007

James Harrigan, Ariell Reshef and Farid Toubal

22109: Explicit vs. Statistical Preferential Treatment in Affirmative Action: Theory and Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools

Umut Dur, Parag Pathak and Tayfun Sönmez

22108: Refugees From Dust and Shrinking Land: Tracking the Dust Bowl Migrants

Jason Long and Henry E. Siu

22107: The Effect of Performance-Based Incentives on Educational Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Steven Levitt, John List and Sally Sadoff

22106: The Price Effects of Cross-Market Hospital Mergers

Leemore Dafny, Kate Ho and Robin Lee

22105: The Environmental Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies

Lucas Davis

22104: Can Tracking Raise the Test Scores of High-Ability Minority Students?

David Card and Laura Giuliano

22103: Learning from Potentially-Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina

Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

22102: The Labor Supply of Undocumented Immigrants

George Borjas

22101: Management Practices, Workforce Selection and Productivity

Stefan Bender, Nicholas Bloom, David Card, John van Reenen and Stefanie Wolter

22100: Money and Velocity During Financial Crises: From the Great Depression to the Great Recession

Richard G. Anderson, Michael Bordo and John Duca

22099: A Glimpse into the World of High Capacity Givers: Experimental Evidence from a University Capital Campaign

Tova Levin, Steven Levitt and John List

22098: Identification and Efficiency Bounds for the Average Match Function under Conditionally Exogenous Matching

Bryan Graham, Guido Imbens and Geert Ridder

22097: Optimal Currency Area: A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?

Joshua Aizenman

22096: Macroeconomic-Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities

Mikhail Chernov, Brett R. Dunn and Francis Longstaff

22095: The State of American Entrepreneurship: New Estimates of the Quality and Quantity of Entrepreneurship for 32 US States, 1988-2014

Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern

22094: Three-generation Mobility in the United States, 1850-1940: The Role of Maternal and Paternal Grandparents

Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman and Laura Salisbury

22093: Organized Crime, Violence, and Politics

Alberto Alesina, Salvatore Piccolo and Paolo Pinotti

22092: An Input-Output Model of the U.S. Economy with Pollution Externality

Nicholas Muller

22091: How Management Risk Affects Corporate Debt

Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang and Michael Weisbach

22090: Revenue and Incentive Effects of Basis Step-Up at Death: Lessons from the 2010 "Voluntary" Estate Tax Regime

Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian and James Poterba

22089: Why Does Fast Loan Growth Predict Poor Performance for Banks?

Ruediger Fahlenbrach, Robert Prilmeier and René M. Stulz

22088: Efficient Local Government Service Provision: The Role of Privatization and Public Sector Unions

Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew Kahn and Shanjun Li

22087: The Design of Trade Agreements

Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger

22086: Empirical Tools and Competition Analysis: Past Progress and Current Problems

Ariel Pakes

22085: Population Policy: Abortion and Modern Contraception are Substitutes

Grant Miller and Christine Valente

22084: Detecting Potential Overbilling in Medicare Reimbursement via Hours Worked

Hanming Fang and Qing Gong

22083: Disruptive Change in the Taxi Business: The Case of Uber

Judd Cramer and Alan Krueger

22082: Copyright Enforcement: Evidence from Two Field Experiments

Hong Luo and Julie Mortimer

22081: The "Real" Explanation of the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle

Nicholas Ford and Charles Yuji Horioka

22080: Tax Policy Toward Low-Income Families

Hilary Hoynes and Jesse Rothstein

22079: To ‘Vape’ or Smoke? A Discrete Choice Experiment Among U.S. Adult Smokers

Joachim Marti, John Buckell, Johanna Maclean and Jody L. Sindelar

22078: Family Inequality: Diverging Patterns in Marriage, Cohabitation, and Childbearing

Shelly Lundberg, Robert Pollak and Jenna E. Stearns

22077: Racial Sorting and the Emergence of Segregation in American Cities

Allison Shertzer and Randall Walsh

22076: Mirrlees meets Diamond-Mirrlees

Florian Scheuer and Iván Werning

22075: Global Energy Outlook 2015

Richard Newell, Yifei Qian and Daniel Raimi

22074: Network Contagion and Interbank Amplification during the Great Depression

Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson

22073: National Policy for Regional Development: Historical Evidence from Appalachian Highways

Taylor Jaworski and Carl Kitchens

22072: Bargaining over Babies: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications

Matthias Doepke and Fabian Kindermann

22071: Reducing Partisanship in Judicial Elections Can Improve Judge Quality: Evidence from U.S. State Supreme Courts

Elliott Ash and W. Bentley Macleod

22070: The Purpose of Trade Agreements

Gene Grossman

22069: Gains from Trade with Flexible Extensive Margin Adjustment

Chang-Tai Hsieh, Nicholas Li, Ralph Ossa and Mu-Jeung Yang

22068: Families in Macroeconomics

Matthias Doepke and Michele Tertilt

22067: Competitive Price Targeting with Smartphone Coupons

Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Zheng Fang, Nathan Fong and Xueming Luo

22066: International Comparative Household Finance

Cristian Badarinza, John Campbell and Tarun Ramadorai

22065: Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble

Patrick Bayer, Kyle Mangum and James W. Roberts

22064: Too-Big-To-Fail Before the Fed

Gary Gorton and Ellis Tallman

22063: Sufficient Statistics for Imperfect Externality-Correcting Policies

Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher Knittel, James M. Sallee and Arthur A. van Benthem

22062: Quantitative Models of Commercial Policy

Ralph Ossa

22061: Decentralized Governance and the Quality of School Leadership

Derek Laing, Steven Rivkin, Jeffrey Schiman and Jason Ward

22060: Some Theoretical Connections Among Wealth, Income, Sustainability, and Accounting

Martin Weitzman

22059: Fiscal and Financial Crises

Michael Bordo and Christopher Meissner

22058: The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks

Dario Caldara, Cristina Fuentes-Albero, Simon Gilchrist and Egon Zakrajšek

22057: University Innovation and the Professor's Privilege

Hans K. Hvide and Benjamin Jones

22056: A Market Based Solution for Fire Sales and Other Pecuniary Externalities

Weerachart Kilenthong and Robert Townsend

22055: The Limits of Propaganda: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela

Brian Knight and Ana Tribin

22054: Teacher Applicant Hiring and Teacher Performance: Evidence from DC Public Schools

Brian Jacob, Jonah E. Rockoff, Eric S. Taylor, Benjamin Lindy and Rachel Rosen

22053: Liquidity Requirements, Liquidity Choice and Financial Stability

Douglas Diamond and Anil Kashyap

22052: Effects of Welfare Reform on Women's Voting Participation

Dhaval Dave, Hope Corman and Nancy Reichman

22051: Economic Conditions, Illicit Drug Use, and Substance Use Disorders in the United States

Christopher Carpenter, Chandler McClellan and Daniel Rees

22050: The Market for Financial Adviser Misconduct

Mark Egan, Gregor Matvos and Amit Seru

22049: The Long Run Effects of Labor Migration on Human Capital Formation in Communities of Origin

Taryn Dinkelman and Martine Mariotti

22048: Can Fixed-Term Contracts Put Low Skilled Youth on a Better Career Path? Evidence from Spain

J. Ignacio García-Pérez, Judit Vall Castello and Ioana Marinescu

22047: The Social Value of Financial Expertise

Pablo Kurlat

22046: Globalization and Political Structure

Gino Gancia, Giacomo Ponzetto and Jaume Ventura

22045: Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates

Stefano Giglio and Bryan Kelly

22044: Safe Asset Scarcity and Aggregate Demand

Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

22043: Estimating Social Preferences and Gift Exchange at Work

Stefano DellaVigna, John List, Ulrike Malmendier and Gautam Rao

22042: The Long-Run Effects of Disruptive Peers

Scott Carrell, Mark Hoekstra and Elira Kuka

22041: Offshoring and Labor Markets

David Hummels, Jakob Munch and Chong Xiang

22040: Net Neutrality, Pricing Instruments and Incentives

Joshua Gans and Michael Katz

22039: Transparency and Negotiated Prices: The Value of Information in Hospital-Supplier Bargaining

Matthew Grennan and Ashley Swanson

22038: Discounts and Deadlines in Consumer Search

Dominic Coey, Bradley Larsen and Brennan Platt

22037: Subsidies and Structure: The Lasting Impact of the Hill-Burton Program on the Hospital Industry

Andrea Park Chung, Martin Gaynor and Seth Richards-Shubik

22036: How Did Pre-Fed Banking Panics End?

Gary Gorton and Ellis Tallman

22035: Dynamic R&D Choice and the Impact of the Firm's Financial Strength

Bettina Peters, Mark Roberts and Vuong Van Anh

22034: Bank Quality, Judicial Efficiency and Borrower Runs: Loan Repayment Delays in Italy

Fabio Schiantarelli, Massimiliano Stacchini and Philip E. Strahan

22033: Does Fundraising Create New Giving?

Jonathan Meer

22032: U.S. Inequality and Fiscal Progressivity: An Intragenerational Accounting

Alan Auerbach, Laurence Kotlikoff and Darryl R. Koehler

22031: Self-insuring against Liability Risk: Evidence from Physician Home Values in States with Unlimited Homestead Exemptions

Eric Helland, Anupam Jena, Dan P. Ly and Seth A. Seabury

22030: How Does Access to Health Care Affect Teen Fertility and High School Dropout Rates? Evidence from School-based Health Centers

Michael Lovenheim, Randall Reback and Leigh Wedenoja

22029: Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the "Sharing Economy"

John J. Horton and Richard Zeckhauser

22028: How Crashes Develop: Intradaily Volatility and Crash Evolution

David S. Bates

22027: Popular Attitudes towards Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later

Maxim Boycko and Robert J. Shiller

22026: Decision-Making under the Gambler's Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires

Daniel Chen, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Kelly Shue

22025: Restoring Rational Choice: The Challenge of Consumer Financial Regulation

John Campbell

22024: Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in France

Didier Blanchet, Eve Caroli, Corinne Prost and Muriel Roger

22023: Does Incomplete Spanning in International Financial Markets Help to Explain Exchange Rates?

Hanno Lustig and Adrien Verdelhan

22022: Experimental Research on Labor Market Discrimination

David Neumark

22021: Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Credit Channel: Aggregate and Bank Level U.S. Evidence over Several Decades

Michael Bordo, John Duca and Christoffer Koch

22020: The Term Structure of Interest Rates in India

Rajnish Mehra and Arunima Sinha

22019: Using Preference Estimates to Customize Incentives: An Application to Polio Vaccination Drives in Pakistan

James Andreoni, Michael Callen, Muhammad Khan, Karrar Jaffar and Charles Sprenger

22018: Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Denmark

Paul Bingley, Nabanita Datta Gupta and Peder Pedersen

22017: What Makes US Government Bonds Safe Assets?

Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Konstantin Milbradt

22016: Is Idiosyncratic Risk Conditionally Priced?

Rajnish Mehra, Sunil Wahal and Daruo Xie

22015: Social Norms, Labor Market Opportunities, and the Marriage Gap for Skilled Women

Marianne Bertrand, Patricia Cortés, Claudia Olivetti and Jessica Pan

22014: Field Experiments on Discrimination

Marianne Bertrand and Esther Duflo

22013: Are Expectations Alone Enough? Estimating the Effect of a Mandatory College-Prep Curriculum in Michigan

Brian Jacob, Susan Dynarski, Kenneth Frank and Barbara Schneider

22012: Recursive Contracts and Endogenously Incomplete Markets

Mikhail Golosov, Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin