NBER Working Papers

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22541: Long-Term Orientation and Educational Performance

David Figlio, Paola Giuliano, Umut Özek and Paola Sapienza

22540: Employment Effects of the ACA Medicaid Expansions

Pauline Leung and Alexandre Mas

22539: Estimating Currency Misalignment Using the Penn Effect: It’s Not as Simple As It Looks

Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn and Xin Nong

22538: The More We Die, The More We Sell? A Simple Test of the Home-Market Effect

Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Margaret Kyle and Heidi Williams

22537: The Impact of Removing Tax Preferences for U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Production: Measuring Tax Subsidies by an Equivalent Price Impact Approach

Gilbert Metcalf

22536: Estimating Path Dependence in Energy Transitions

Kyle Meng

22535: From Chronic Inflation to Chronic Deflation: Focusing on Expectations and Liquidity Disarray Since WWII

Guillermo Calvo

22534: The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of Temporary Savings Subsidies for the Poor

Simone Schaner

22533: The I Theory of Money

Markus Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov

22532: Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas

Richard Newell, Brian Prest and Ashley Vissing

22531: Early Effects of the 2010 Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Federal Disability Program Participation

Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li

22530: The Pros and Cons of Sick Pay Schemes: Testing for Contagious Presenteeism and Noncontagious Absenteeism Behavior

Stefan Pichler and Nicolas Ziebarth

22529: Price of Long-Run Temperature Shifts in Capital Markets

Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku and Juan Ochoa

22528: Unintended Consequences of Rewards for Student Attendance: Results from a Field Experiment in Indian Classrooms

Sujata Visaria, Rajeev Dehejia, Melody M. Chao and Anirban Mukhopadhyay

22527: Risk Preferences and The Macro Announcement Premium

Hengjie Ai and Ravi Bansal

22526: How Do Voters Matter? Evidence from US Congressional Redistricting

Daniel Jones and Randall Walsh

22525: What Would it Take to Reduce US Greenhouse Gas Emissions 80% by 2050?

Geoffrey Heal

22524: Collective Intertemporal Choice: the Possibility of Time Consistency

Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal

22523: Immunization and Moral Hazard: The HPV Vaccine and Uptake of Cancer Screening

Ali Moghtaderi and Avi Dor

22522: Can Natural Gas Save Lives? Evidence from the Deployment of a Fuel Delivery System in a Developing Country

Resul Cesur, Erdal Tekin and Aydogan Ulker

22521: The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Care - A Selected Literature Review

Bjorn Lindgren

22520: Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns

Michael Weber

22519: Marketplace Plan Payment Options for Dealing with High-Cost Enrollees

Timothy Layton and Thomas G. McGuire

22518: The Marginal Propensity to Consume Over the Business Cycle

Tal Gross, Matthew Notowidigdo and Jialan Wang

22517: Family Descent as a Signal of Managerial Quality: Evidence from Mutual Funds

Oleg Chuprinin and Denis Sosyura

22516: Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance

Francis Diebold and Minchul Shin

22515: Do Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities Provide Better Post-Acute Care Quality?

Momotazur Rahman, Edward Norton and David C. Grabowski

22514: The Opportunity Costs of Entrepreneurs in International Trade

Timothy Kehoe, Pau Pujolas and Kim Ruhl

22513: Life-Cycle Consumption Patterns at Older Ages in the US and the UK: Can Medical Expenditures Explain the Difference?

James Banks, Richard Blundell, Peter Levell and James Smith

22512: Augmenting the Human Capital Earnings Equation with Measures of Where People Work

Erling Barth, James Davis and Richard Freeman

22511: The Effects of Pre-Trial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges

Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin and Crystal Yang

22510: Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation

Marc Dordal-i-Carreras, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Johannes Wieland

22509: Optimal Domestic (and External) Sovereign Default

Pablo D'Erasmo and Enrique Mendoza

22508: Opening the Black Box of the Matching Function: the Power of Words

Ioana Marinescu and Ronald Wolthoff

22507: The Consequences of Spatially Differentiated Water Pollution Regulation in China

Zhao Chen, Matthew Kahn, Yu Liu and Zhi Wang

22506: On What States Do Prices Depend? Answers From Ecuador

Craig Benedict, Mario Crucini and Anthony Landry

22505: The Elusive Costs of Inflation: Price Dispersion during the U.S. Great Inflation

Emi Nakamura, Jon Steinsson, Patrick Sun and Daniel Villar

22504: Taking the Measure of a Fatal Drug Epidemic

Christopher Ruhm

22503: Designing Nonlinear Price Schedules for Urban Water Utilities to Balance Revenue and Conservation Goals

Frank A. Wolak

22502: Charter Schools and Labor Market Outcomes

Will S. Dobbie and Roland Fryer

22501: The Economic Impact of Universities: Evidence from Across the Globe

Anna Valero and John van Reenen

22500: Venture Capital Data: Opportunities and Challenges

Steven Kaplan and Josh Lerner

22499: Analyzing the Impact of the World’s Largest Public Works Project on Crime

Satadru Das and Naci Mocan

22498: Multinational Firms and International Business Cycle Transmission

Javier Cravino and Andrei Levchenko

22497: Union Army Veterans, All Grown Up

Dora Costa, Heather DeSomer, Eric Hanss, Christopher Roudiez, Sven E. Wilson and Noelle Yetter

22496: Wage Flexibility and Employment Fluctuations: Evidence from the Housing Sector

Jorn-Steffen Pischke

22495: Does Rosie Like Riveting? Male and Female Occupational Choices

Grace Lordan and Jorn-Steffen Pischke

22494: Level versus Variability Trade-offs in Wind and Solar Generation Investments: The Case of California

Frank A. Wolak

22493: Do Private Equity Funds Manipulate Reported Returns?

Gregory W. Brown, Oleg R. Gredil and Steven Kaplan

22492: Why Does Idiosyncratic Risk Increase with Market Risk?

Söhnke Bartram, Gregory Brown and René Stulz

22491: The Morale Effects of Pay Inequality

Emily Breza, Supreet Kaur and Yogita Shamdasani

22490: Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty

Cosmin Ilut, Rosen Valchev and Nicolas Vincent

22489: Understanding the Gains from Wage Flexibility: The Exchange Rate Connection

Jordi Galí and Tommaso Monacelli

22488: Gender Differences in Cooperative Environments? Evidence from the U.S. Congress

Stefano Gagliarducci and M. Daniele Paserman

22487: Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness

Steven Levitt

22486: Peer Information and Risk-taking under Competitive and Non-competitive Pay Schemes

Philip Brookins, Jennifer Brown and Dmitry Ryvkin

22485: Macro-Finance

John Cochrane

22484: Grounded by Gravity: A Well-Behaved Trade Model with Industry-Level Economies of Scale

Konstantin Kucheryavyy, Gary Lyn and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

22483: Start-up Nation? Slave Wealth and Entrepreneurship in Civil War Maryland

Felipe González, Guillermo Marshall and Suresh Naidu

22482: The Deregularization of Land Titles

Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky

22481: Is Optimal Capital-Control Policy Countercyclical In Open-Economy Models With Collateral Constraints?

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

22480: The Effects of School Desegregation on Mixed-Race Births

Nora Gordon and Sarah Reber

22479: Measuring Aggregate Price Indexes with Taste Shocks: Theory and Evidence for CES Preferences

Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

22478: The Evolution of Physician Practice Styles: Evidence from Cardiologist Migration

David Molitor

22477: Analyst Promotions within Credit Rating Agencies: Accuracy or Bias?

Darren J. Kisgen, Matthew Osborn and Jonathan Reuter

22476: The FinTech Opportunity

Thomas Philippon

22475: International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand

Luca Benati, Robert Lucas, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Warren Weber

22474: The Gap within the Gap: Using Longitudinal Data to Understand Income Differences in Student Achievement

Katherine Michelmore and Susan Dynarski

22473: Depreciation of Business R&D Capital

Wendy C.Y. Li and Bronwyn Hall

22472: Dynamic Effects of Teacher Turnover on the Quality of Instruction

Eric Hanushek, Steven Rivkin and Jeffrey Schiman

22471: Tobacco Regulation and Cost-Benefit Analysis: How Should We Value Foregone Consumer Surplus?

Helen Levy, Edward Norton and Jeffrey Smith

22470: Cognitive Performance and Labor Market Outcomes

Dajun Lin, Randall Lutter and Christopher Ruhm

22469: Does “Ban the Box” Help or Hurt Low-Skilled Workers? Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes When Criminal Histories are Hidden

Jennifer Doleac and Benjamin Hansen

22468: External and Internal Validity of a Geographic Quasi-Experiment Embedded in Cluster-Randomized Experiment

Sebastian Galiani, Patrick McEwan and Brian Quistorff

22467: Buffering Volatility: A Study on the Limits of Germany’s Energy Revolution

Hans-Werner Sinn

22466: The Holders and Issuers of International Portfolio Securities

Vahagn Galstyan, Philip Lane, Caroline Mehigan and Rogelio Mercado

22465: The Scandinavian Fantasy: The Sources of Intergenerational Mobility in Denmark and the U.S

Rasmus Landersø and James Heckman

22464: Does Disease Cause Vaccination? Disease Outbreaks and Vaccination Response

Emily Oster

22463: Banking the Unbanked? Evidence From Three Countries

Pascaline Dupas, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Robinson and Diego Ubfal

22462: Popular Acceptance of Inequality due to Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-Based Taxation

Matthew Weinzierl

22461: Taking Orders and Taking Notes: Dealer Information Sharing in Treasury Markets

Nina Boyarchenko, David Lucca and Laura Veldkamp

22460: Trends and Cycles in Small Open Economies: Making The Case For A General Equilibrium Approach

Kan Chen and Mario Crucini

22459: Economic Conditions and Children's Mental Health

Ezra Golberstein, Gilbert Gonzales and Ellen Meara

22458: On the Distribution of the Welfare Losses of Large Recessions

Dirk Krueger, Kurt Mitman and Fabrizio Perri

22457: Efficiency of Flexible Budgetary Institutions

T. Renee Bowen, Ying Chen, Hülya Eraslan and Jan Zapal

22456: The Effect of Occupational Licensing on Consumer Welfare: Early Midwifery Laws and Maternal Mortality

D. Mark Anderson, Ryan Brown, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Daniel Rees

22455: Measuring Time Preferences

Jonathan D. Cohen, Keith Ericson, David Laibson and John Myles White

22454: Bridging the Gap: Do Fast Reacting Fossil Technologies Facilitate Renewable Energy Diffusion?

Elena Verdolini, Francesco Vona and David Popp

22453: Education, Participation, and the Revival of U.S. Economic Growth

Dale Jorgenson, Mun Ho and Jon D. Samuels

22452: The Effect of Population Aging on Economic Growth, the Labor Force and Productivity

Nicole Maestas, Kathleen Mullen and David Powell

22451: Heterogeneity and Unemployment Dynamics

Hie Joo Ahn and James Hamilton

22450: New Evidence on Trust and Well-being

John Helliwell, Haifang Huang and Shun Wang

22449: External Validity in a Stochastic World

Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry

22448: Can Market Participants Report their Preferences Accurately (Enough)?

Eric Budish and Judd B. Kessler

22447: The General Equilibrium Impacts of Unemployment Insurance: Evidence from a Large Online Job Board

Ioana Marinescu

22446: Does Career Risk Deter Potential Entrepreneurs?

Joshua Gottlieb, Richard R. Townsend and Ting Xu

22445: How Japan and the US Can Reduce the Stress of Aging

Claudia Goldin

22444: Pecuniary Externalities in Economies with Financial Frictions

Eduardo Davila and Anton Korinek

22443: Do Government Audits Reduce Corruption? Estimating the Impacts of Exposing Corrupt Politicians

Eric Avis, Claudio Ferraz and Frederico Finan

22442: Estimating the Technology of Children's Skill Formation

Francesco Agostinelli and Matthew Wiswall