NBER Working Papers

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22141: Financial Dampening

Johannes Wieland and Mu-Jeung Yang

22140: Supply-Side Policies in the Depression: Evidence from France

Jérémie Cohen-Setton, Joshua Hausman and Johannes Wieland

22139: Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies

Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri

22138: Preferential Trade Agreements

Nuno Limão

22137: The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk

Victoria Fan, Dean T. Jamison and Lawrence Summers

22136: Animal Spirits in a Monetary Model

Roger Farmer and Konstantin Platonov

22135: The Theory of Unconventional Monetary Policy

Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk

22134: Rethinking Performance Evaluation

Campbell Harvey and Yan Liu

22133: On the Optimal Inflation Rate

Markus Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov

22132: Government Old-Age Support and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Old Age Assistance Program

Daniel Fetter and Lee Lockwood

22131: Clans, Guilds, and Markets: Apprenticeship Institutions and Growth in the Pre-Industrial Economy

David de la Croix, Matthias Doepke and Joel Mokyr

22130: The Production of Human Capital in Developed Countries: Evidence from 196 Randomized Field Experiments

Roland Fryer

22129: The Discounted Euler Equation: A Note

Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

22128: Market Reforms in the Time of Imbalance

Matteo Cacciatore, Romain Duval, Giuseppe Fiori and Fabio Ghironi

22127: Tax Benefits for College Attendance

Susan Dynarski and Judith Scott-Clayton

22126: Targeted or Universal Coverage? Assessing Heterogeneity in the Effects of Universal Childcare

Michael J. Kottelenberg and Steven Lehrer

22125: Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises

Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, Harold Cole and Zachary Stangebye

22124: Crowdsourcing City Government: Using Tournaments to Improve Inspection Accuracy

Edward Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Kominers and Michael Luca

22123: Viewpoint: The Human Capital Approach to Inference

W. Bentley Macleod

22122: Neoclassical Models in Macroeconomics

Gary Hansen and Lee Ohanian

22121: Can Iron-Fortified Salt Control Anemia? Evidence from Two Experiments in Rural Bihar

Abhijit Banerjee, Sharon Barnhardt and Esther Duflo

22120: Academics vs. Athletics: Career Concerns for NCAA Division I Coaches

Christopher Avery, Brian Cadman and Gavin Cassar

22119: International Shocks and Domestic Prices: How Large Are Strategic Complementarities?

Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki and Jozef Konings

22118: Beyond Job Lock: Impacts of Public Health Insurance on Occupational and Industrial Mobility

Ammar Farooq and Adriana Kugler

22117: Labor Market Institutions in the Gilded Age of American Economic History

Suresh Naidu and Noam Yuchtman

22116: The Risk Anomaly Tradeoff of Leverage

Malcolm Baker, Mathias F. Hoeyer and Jeffrey Wurgler

22115: Industry Familiarity and Trading: Evidence from the Personal Portfolios of Industry Insiders

Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru and Andrea Rossi

22114: Rethinking Deindustrialization

Andrew Bernard, Valerie Smeets and Frédéric Warzynski

22113: Field Experiments in Markets

Omar Al-Ubaydli and John List

22112: Interactions Between Family and School Environments: Evidence on Dynamic Complementarities?

Leonard Goff, Ofer Malamud, Cristian Pop-Eleches and Miguel Urquiola

22111: The Billion Prices Project: Using Online Prices for Measurement and Research

Alberto Cavallo and Roberto Rigobon

22110: The March of the Techies: Technology, Trade, and Job Polarization in France, 1994-2007

James Harrigan, Ariell Reshef and Farid Toubal

22109: Explicit vs. Statistical Preferential Treatment in Affirmative Action: Theory and Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools

Umut Dur, Parag Pathak and Tayfun Sönmez

22108: Refugees From Dust and Shrinking Land: Tracking the Dust Bowl Migrants

Jason Long and Henry Siu

22107: The Effect of Performance-Based Incentives on Educational Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Steven Levitt, John List and Sally Sadoff

22106: The Price Effects of Cross-Market Hospital Mergers

Leemore Dafny, Kate Ho and Robin Lee

22105: The Environmental Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies

Lucas Davis

22104: Can Tracking Raise the Test Scores of High-Ability Minority Students?

David Card and Laura Giuliano

22103: Learning from Potentially-Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina

Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

22102: The Labor Supply of Undocumented Immigrants

George Borjas

22101: Management Practices, Workforce Selection and Productivity

Stefan Bender, Nicholas Bloom, David Card, John van Reenen and Stefanie Wolter

22100: Money and Velocity During Financial Crises: From the Great Depression to the Great Recession

Richard G. Anderson, Michael Bordo and John Duca

22099: A Glimpse into the World of High Capacity Givers: Experimental Evidence from a University Capital Campaign

Tova Levin, Steven Levitt and John List

22098: Identification and Efficiency Bounds for the Average Match Function under Conditionally Exogenous Matching

Bryan Graham, Guido Imbens and Geert Ridder

22097: Optimal Currency Area: A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?

Joshua Aizenman

22096: Macroeconomic-Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities

Mikhail Chernov, Brett R. Dunn and Francis Longstaff

22095: The State of American Entrepreneurship: New Estimates of the Quality and Quantity of Entrepreneurship for 32 US States, 1988-2014

Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern

22094: Three-generation Mobility in the United States, 1850-1940: The Role of Maternal and Paternal Grandparents

Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman and Laura Salisbury

22093: Organized Crime, Violence, and Politics

Alberto Alesina, Salvatore Piccolo and Paolo Pinotti

22092: An Input-Output Model of the U.S. Economy with Pollution Externality

Nicholas Muller

22091: How Management Risk Affects Corporate Debt

Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang and Michael Weisbach

22090: Revenue and Incentive Effects of Basis Step-Up at Death: Lessons from the 2010 "Voluntary" Estate Tax Regime

Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian and James Poterba

22089: Why Does Fast Loan Growth Predict Poor Performance for Banks?

Ruediger Fahlenbrach, Robert Prilmeier and René Stulz

22088: Efficient Local Government Service Provision: The Role of Privatization and Public Sector Unions

Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew Kahn and Shanjun Li

22087: The Design of Trade Agreements

Kyle Bagwell and Robert Staiger

22086: Empirical Tools and Competition Analysis: Past Progress and Current Problems

Ariel Pakes

22085: Population Policy: Abortion and Modern Contraception are Substitutes

Grant Miller and Christine Valente

22084: Detecting Potential Overbilling in Medicare Reimbursement via Hours Worked

Hanming Fang and Qing Gong

22083: Disruptive Change in the Taxi Business: The Case of Uber

Judd Cramer and Alan Krueger

22082: Copyright Enforcement: Evidence from Two Field Experiments

Hong Luo and Julie Mortimer

22081: The "Real" Explanation of the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle

Nicholas Ford and Charles Horioka

22080: Tax Policy Toward Low-Income Families

Hilary Hoynes and Jesse Rothstein

22079: To ‘Vape’ or Smoke? A Discrete Choice Experiment Among U.S. Adult Smokers

Joachim Marti, John Buckell, Johanna Maclean and Jody L. Sindelar

22078: Family Inequality: Diverging Patterns in Marriage, Cohabitation, and Childbearing

Shelly Lundberg, Robert Pollak and Jenna Stearns

22077: Racial Sorting and the Emergence of Segregation in American Cities

Allison Shertzer and Randall Walsh

22076: Mirrlees meets Diamond-Mirrlees

Florian Scheuer and Iván Werning

22075: Global Energy Outlook 2015

Richard Newell, Yifei Qian and Daniel Raimi

22074: Network Contagion and Interbank Amplification during the Great Depression

Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson

22073: National Policy for Regional Development: Historical Evidence from Appalachian Highways

Taylor Jaworski and Carl Kitchens

22072: Bargaining over Babies: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications

Matthias Doepke and Fabian Kindermann

22071: Reducing Partisanship in Judicial Elections Can Improve Judge Quality: Evidence from U.S. State Supreme Courts

Elliott Ash and W. Bentley Macleod

22070: The Purpose of Trade Agreements

Gene Grossman

22069: Gains from Trade with Flexible Extensive Margin Adjustment

Chang-Tai Hsieh, Nicholas Li, Ralph Ossa and Mu-Jeung Yang

22068: Families in Macroeconomics

Matthias Doepke and Michele Tertilt

22067: Competitive Price Targeting with Smartphone Coupons

Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Zheng Fang, Nathan Fong and Xueming Luo

22066: International Comparative Household Finance

Cristian Badarinza, John Campbell and Tarun Ramadorai

22065: Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble

Patrick Bayer, Kyle Mangum and James W. Roberts

22064: Too-Big-To-Fail Before the Fed

Gary Gorton and Ellis Tallman

22063: Sufficient Statistics for Imperfect Externality-Correcting Policies

Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher Knittel, James Sallee and Arthur A. van Benthem

22062: Quantitative Models of Commercial Policy

Ralph Ossa

22061: Decentralized Governance and the Quality of School Leadership

Derek Laing, Steven Rivkin, Jeffrey Schiman and Jason Ward

22060: Some Theoretical Connections Among Wealth, Income, Sustainability, and Accounting

Martin Weitzman

22059: Fiscal and Financial Crises

Michael Bordo and Christopher Meissner

22058: The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks

Dario Caldara, Cristina Fuentes-Albero, Simon Gilchrist and Egon Zakrajšek

22057: University Innovation and the Professor's Privilege

Hans Hvide and Benjamin Jones

22056: A Market Based Solution for Fire Sales and Other Pecuniary Externalities

Weerachart Kilenthong and Robert Townsend

22055: The Limits of Propaganda: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela

Brian Knight and Ana Tribin

22054: Teacher Applicant Hiring and Teacher Performance: Evidence from DC Public Schools

Brian Jacob, Jonah E. Rockoff, Eric S. Taylor, Benjamin Lindy and Rachel Rosen

22053: Liquidity Requirements, Liquidity Choice and Financial Stability

Douglas Diamond and Anil Kashyap

22052: Effects of Welfare Reform on Women's Voting Participation

Dhaval Dave, Hope Corman and Nancy Reichman

22051: Economic Conditions, Illicit Drug Use, and Substance Use Disorders in the United States

Christopher Carpenter, Chandler McClellan and Daniel Rees

22050: The Market for Financial Adviser Misconduct

Mark Egan, Gregor Matvos and Amit Seru

22049: The Long Run Effects of Labor Migration on Human Capital Formation in Communities of Origin

Taryn Dinkelman and Martine Mariotti

22048: Can Fixed-Term Contracts Put Low Skilled Youth on a Better Career Path? Evidence from Spain

J. Ignacio García-Pérez, Judit Vall Castello and Ioana Marinescu

22047: The Social Value of Financial Expertise

Pablo Kurlat

22046: Globalization and Political Structure

Gino Gancia, Giacomo Ponzetto and Jaume Ventura

22045: Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates

Stefano Giglio and Bryan Kelly

22044: Safe Asset Scarcity and Aggregate Demand

Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

22043: Estimating Social Preferences and Gift Exchange at Work

Stefano DellaVigna, John List, Ulrike Malmendier and Gautam Rao

22042: The Long-Run Effects of Disruptive Peers

Scott Carrell, Mark Hoekstra and Elira Kuka