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Demographics and FDI: Lessons from China's One-Child Policy

John B. Donaldson, Christos Koulovatianos, Jian Li () and Rajnish Mehra

No 24256, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Following the introduction of the one-child policy in China, the capital-labor ratio of China increased relative to that of India, while FDI/GDP inflows to China vs India simultaneously declined. These observations are explained in the context of a simple neoclassical OLG paradigm. The adjustment mechanism works as follows: the reduction in the growth rate of the (urban) labor force due to the one-child policy increases the capital per worker inherited from the previous generation. The resulting increase in China’s domestic capital-labor ratio thus “crowds out” the need for FDI in China relative to India. Our paper is a contribution to the nascent literature exploring demographic transitions and their effects on FDI flows.

JEL-codes: E13 F11 F12 J11 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna, nep-lab, nep-mac and nep-tra
Note: DEV EFG ITI
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Related works:
Journal Article: Demographics and FDI: lessons from China’s one-child policy (2025) Downloads
Working Paper: Demographics and FDI: Lessons from China’s One-Child Policy (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Demographics and FDI: Lessons from China's one-child policy (2018) Downloads
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