NBER Working Papers

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10525: The German Public Pension System: How it Was, How it Will Be

Axel Boersch-Supan and Christina B. Wilke

10524: A Small Corner of Intertemporal Public Finance - New Developments in Monetary Economics: 2 Ghosts, 2 Eccentricities, A Fallacy, A Mirage and A Mythos

Willem Buiter

10523: Firm Dynamics, Investment, and Debt Portfolio: Balance Sheet Effects of the Mexican Crisis of 1994

Sangeeta Pratap and Carlos Urrutia

10522: The Effect of Adolescent Experience on Labor Market Outcomes: The Case of Height

Nicola Persico, Andrew Postlewaite and Dan Silverman

10521: How Fast Do Personal Computers Depreciate? Concepts and New Estimates

Mark Doms, Wendy E. Dunn, Stephen Oliner and Daniel Sichel

10520: On the Empirics of Sudden Stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects

Guillermo Calvo, Alejandro Izquierdo and Luis Fernando Mejía

10519: Fear of Sudden Stops: Lessons from Australia and Chile

Ricardo Caballero, Kevin Cowan and Jonathan Kearns

10518: Speculative Growth: Hints from the US Economy

Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Mohamad L. Hammour

10517: Exchange Rate Volatility and the Credit Channel in Emerging Markets: A Vertical Perspective

Ricardo Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy

10516: HIV Breakthroughs and Risk Sexual Behavior

Dana Goldman, Darius Lakdawalla and Neeraj Sood

10515: A Portrait of the Artist as a Very Young or Very Old Innovator: Creativity at the Extremes of the Life Cycle

David Galenson

10514: Measuring Self-Control

John Ameriks, Andrew Caplin, John Leahy and Tom Tyler

10513: The Impact of Education on Fertility and Child Mortality: Do Fathers Really Matter Less Than Mothers?

Lucia Breierova and Esther Duflo

10512: The Role of Immigration in Dealing with the Developed World's Demographic Transition

Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch and Laurence Kotlikoff

10511: The Role of Public Health Improvements in Health Advances: The 20th Century United States

David Cutler and Grant Miller

10510: Trust and Bribery: The Role of the Quid Pro Quo and the Link with Crime

Jennifer Hunt

10509: Tax Effects on Work Activity, Industry Mix and Shadow Economy Size: Evidence from Rich-Country Comparisons

Steven Davis and Magnus Henrekson

10508: Obesity as a Barrier to the Transition from Welfare to Work

John Cawley and Sheldon Danziger

10507: The Path to the Top: Changes in the Attributes and Careers of Corporate Executives, 1980-2001

Peter Cappelli and Monika Hamori

10506: Simple Estimators for the Parameters of Discrete Dynamic Games (with Entry/Exit Samples)

Ariel Pakes, Michael Ostrovsky and Steven Berry

10505: How Much Does Household Collateral Constrain Regional Risk Sharing?

Hanno Lustig and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

10504: Prediction Markets

Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz

10503: Land of Addicts? An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Behavior

Xiaohong Chen and Sydney Ludvigson

10502: Do Domestic Investors Have an Edge? The Trading Experience of Foreign Investors in Korea

Hyuk Choe, Bong-Chan Kho and René Stulz

10501: Market Structure and Productivity: A Concrete Example

Chad Syverson

10500: Optimal Unemployment Insurance When Income Effects are Large

Raj Chetty

10499: Money, Sex, and Happiness: An Empirical Study

David Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald

10498: Intrahousehold Resource Allocation in Cote d'Ivoire: Social Norms, Separate Accounts and Consumption Choices

Esther Duflo and Christopher Udry

10497: Global Imbalances and the Lessons of Bretton Woods

Barry Eichengreen

10496: Endogenous Financial and Trade Openness

Joshua Aizenman and Ilan Noy

10495: Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy

William Brock and Steven Durlauf

10494: Are Perks Purely Managerial Excess?

Raghuram Rajan and Julie Wulf

10493: The Economic Aftermath of the 1960s Riots: Evidence from Property Values

William Collins and Robert Margo

10492: Moving Up or Moving Out? Anti-Sweatshop Activists and Labor Market Outcomes

Ann Harrison and Jason Scorse

10491: The Tying of Lending and Equity Underwriting

Steven Drucker and Manju Puri

10490: On the (Ir)Relevence of Distribution and Labor Supply Distortion of Government Policy

Louis Kaplow

10489: The Role of Information in Medical Markets: An Analysis of Publicly Reported Outcomes in Cardiac Surgery

David Cutler, Robert Huckman and Mary Beth Landrum

10488: The Take Up of Social Benefits

Janet Currie

10487: Do Welfare Asset Limits Affect Household Saving? Evidence from Welfare Reform

Erik Hurst and James Ziliak

10486: Plan Design and 401(k) Savings Outcomes

James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

10485: Social Capital

Steven Durlauf and Marcel Fafchamps

10484: Finders Keepers: Forfeiture Laws, Policing Incentives, and Local Budgets

Katherine Baicker and Mireille Jacobson

10483: A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction

Amit Goval and Ivo Welch

10482: Assessing the Economic Gains from Telecom Competition

Richard N. Clarke, Kevin Hassett, Zoya Ivanova and Laurence Kotlikoff

10481: Institutions as the Fundamental Cause of Long-Run Growth

Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson

10480: Trade Costs

James Anderson and Eric van Wincoop

10479: Bank Chartering and Political Corruption in Antebellum New York: Free Banking as Reform

Howard Bodenhorn

10478: Education, Work, and Crime: A Human Capital Approach

Lance Lochner

10477: How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?

Thomas Hertel, David Hummels, Maros Ivanic and Roman Keeney

10476: Can Portfolio Rebalancing Explain the Dynamics of Equity Returns, Equity Flows, and Exchange Rates?

Harald Hau and Helene Rey

10475: Bank Supervision, Regulation, and Instability During the Great Depression

Kris James Mitchener

10474: R&D Sourcing, Joint Ventures and Innovation: A Multiple Indicators Approach

James Adams and Mircea Marcu

10473: Retail Electricity Competition

Paul Joskow and Jean Tirole

10472: Reliability and Competitive Electricity Markets

Paul Joskow and Jean Tirole

10471: Corporate Tax Avoidance and High Powered Incentives

Mihir A. Desai and Dhammika Dharmapala

10470: Who Benefits from the Education Saving Incentives? Income, Educational Expectations, and the Value of the 529 and Coverdell

Susan Dynarski

10469: Earnings Inequality and the Business Cycle

Gadi Barlevy and Daniel Tsiddon

10468: Soft Information, Hard Sell: The Role of Soft Information in the Pricing of Intellectual Property

William Goetzmann, Vicente Pons-Sanz and S. Abraham Ravid

10467: Specialization and Regulation: The Rise of Professionals and the Emergence of Occupational Licensing Regulation

Marc Law and Sukkoo Kim

10466: Social Security and the Evolution of Elderly Poverty

Gary V. Engelhardt and Jonathan Gruber

10465: Factor Substitution and Unobserved Factor Quality in Nursing Homes

John Cawley, David C. Grabowski and Richard A. Hirth

10464: Death Spiral or Euthanasia? The Demise of Generous Group Health Insurance Coverage

Mark V. Pauly, Olivia Mitchell and Yuhui Zeng

10463: A Simple Model of Optimal Hate Crime Legislation

Li Gan, Roberton Williams and Thomas Wiseman

10462: A Test for Anchoring and Yea-Saying in Experimental Consumption Data

Arthur van Soest and Michael Hurd

10461: Models for Anchoring and Acquiescence Bias in Consumption Data

Arthur van Soest and Michael Hurd

10460: What Determines Corruption? International Evidence from Micro Data

Naci Mocan

10459: Child Care Subsidy Receipt, Employment, and Child Care Choices of Single Mothers

Erdal Tekin

10458: A Model of Housing in the Presence of Adjustment Costs: A Structural Interpretation of Habit Persistence

Marjorie Flavin and Shinobu Nakagawa

10457: The Shape of Production Function and the Direction of Technical Change

Charles Jones

10456: What Prompts Japan to Intervene in the Forex Market? A New Approach to a Reaction Function

Takatoshi Ito and Tomoyoshi Yabu

10455: On the Efficacy of Reforms: Policy Tinkering, Institutional Change, and Entrepreneurship

Murat Iyigun and Dani Rodrik

10454: Consumption-Wealth Comovement of the Wrong Sign

James Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte Madrian and Andrew Metrick

10453: R-Squared Around the World: New Theory and New Tests

Li Jin and Stewart C. Myers

10452: Does Prekindergarten Improve School Preparation and Performance?

Katherine A. Magnuson, Christopher Ruhm and Jane Waldfogel

10451: Constitutions, Corporations, and Corruption: American States and Constitutional Change

John Joseph Wallis

10450: Estimating Dynamic Models of Imperfect Competition

Patrick Bajari, C. Lanier Benkard and Jonathan Levin

10449: Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler

10448: High-Frequency Contagion Between the Exchange Rates and Stock Prices

Yuko Hashimoto and Takatoshi Ito

10447: A Jackknife Estimator for Tracking Error Variance of Optimal Portfolios Constructed Using Estimated Inputs1

Gopal K. Basak, Ravi Jagannathan and Tongshu Ma

10446: Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach

Simon Gilchrist and John Williams

10445: Access to Care, Provider Choice and Racial Disparities

Anna Aizer, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Mark Stabile

10444: Social Security and Trust Fund Management

Takashi Oshio

10443: The Optimal Design of Unemployment Insurance and Employment Protection. A First Pass

Olivier Blanchard and Jean Tirole

10442: Factor Prices and Factor Substitution in U.S. Firms' Manufacturing Affiliates Abroad

Maria Borga and Robert Lipsey

10441: Financial-Sector FDI and Host Countries: New and Old Lessons

Linda Goldberg

10440: Fiscal Shenanigans, Targeted Federal Health Care Funds, and Patient Mortality

Katherine Baicker and Doug Staiger

10439: Political Pressure Deflection

James Anderson and Maurizio Zanardi

10438: Which Countries Have State Religions?

Robert Barro and Rachel M. McCleary

10437: Managed Care Discounting: Evidence from the MarketScan Database

Avi Dor, Siran M. Koroukian and Michael Grossman

10436: Information Diffusion Effects in Individual Investors' Common Stock Purchases: Covet Thy Neighbors' Investment Choices

Zoran Ivkovich and Scott Weisbenner

10435: Child Mental Health and Human Capital Accumulation: The Case of ADHD

Janet Currie and Mark Stabile

10434: Short Interest and Stock Returns

Paul Asquith, Parag Pathak and Jay R. Ritter

10433: Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Measurement

William Nordhaus

10432: Hierarchies, Specialization, and the Utilization of Knowledge: Theory and Evidence from the Legal Services Industry

Luis Garicano and Thomas N. Hubbard

10431: The Yield Curve, Recessions and the Credibility of the Monetary Regime: Long Run Evidence 1875-1997

Michael Bordo and Joseph Haubrich

10430: Fiscal Policy in the Aftermath of 9/11

Martin Eichenbaum and Jonas Fisher

10429: Competition in Imperfect Markets: Does it Help California's Medicaid Mothers?

Anna Aizer, Janet Currie and Enrico Moretti

10428: Quantile Regression under Misspecification, with an Application to the U.S. Wage Structure

Joshua Angrist, Victor Chernozhukov and Ivan Fernandez-Val

10427: Hedonic Price Indexes for Personal Computer Operating Systems and Productivity Suites

Alan White, Jaison Abel, Ernst R. Berndt and Cory W. Monroe

10426: International Trade and Cultural Identity

Eckhard Janeba