NBER Working Papers

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29662: Minimum Wages, Efficiency and Welfare

David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff and Simon Mongey

29661: Health Insurance for Whom? The ‘Spill-up’ Effects of Children’s Health Insurance on Mothers

Daniel S. Grossman, Daniel Tello-Trillo and Barton Willage

29660: Schools, Job Flexibility, and Married Women's Labor Supply

Benjamin Hansen, Joseph J. Sabia and Jessamyn Schaller

29659: Effects of Daily School and Care Disruptions During the COVID-19 Pandemic on Child Mental Health

Anna Gassman-Pines, Elizabeth Ananat, John Fitz-Henley and Jane Leer

29658: The Variability and Volatility of Sleep: An ARCHetypal Behavior

Daniel Hamermesh and Gerard Pfann

29657: Inequalities in the Times of a Pandemic

Stefanie Stantcheva

29656: Robustness Measures for Welfare Analysis

Zi Yang Kang and Shoshana Vasserman

29655: A New Era of Midnight Mergers: Antitrust Risk and Investor Disclosures

John Barrios and Thomas G. Wollmann

29654: Caught In The Middle: The Bias Against Startup Innovation With Technical And Commercial Challenges

Ashish Arora, Andrea Fosfuri and Thomas Roende

29653: Planning for the “Expected Unexpected”: Work and Retirement in the U.S. After the COVID-19 Pandemic Shock

Richard Freeman

29652: What Leads to Measurement Errors? Evidence from Reports of Program Participation in Three Surveys

Pablo Celhay, Bruce Meyer and Nikolas Mittag

29651: Inclusive Monetary Policy: How Tight Labor Markets Facilitate Broad-Based Employment Growth

Nittai Bergman, Benjamin Born, David A. Matsa and Michael Weber

29650: How Distortive are Turnover Taxes? Evidence from Replacing Turnover Tax with VAT

Jing Xing, Katarzyna Bilicka, Xipei Hou and Sepideh Raei

29649: A Cross-Country Comparison of Old-Age Financial Readiness in Asian Countries versus the United States: The Case of Japan and the Republic of Korea

Isaac Ehrlich and Yong Yin

29648: Household Spending Responses to the Economic Impact Payments of 2020: Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey

Jonathan Parker, Jake Schild, Laura Erhard and David Johnson

29647: The Moral Preferences of Investors: Experimental Evidence

Jean-François Bonnefon, Augustin Landier, Parinitha R. Sastry and David Thesmar

29646: Large Firms, Consumer Heterogeneity and the Rising Share of Profits

Robert Feenstra, Luca Macedoni and Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

29645: Urban Mobility and the Experienced Isolation of Students

Cody Cook, Lindsey Currier and Edward Glaeser

29644: Technology and Resilience

Diego Comin, Marcio Cruz, Xavier Cirera, Kyung Min Lee and Jesica Torres

29643: Agrarian Origins of Individualism and Collectivism

Martin Fiszbein, Yeonha Jung and Dietrich Vollrath

29642: How Do Top Acquirers Compare in Technology Mergers? New Evidence from an S&P Taxonomy

Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese and Liad Wagman

29641: The Impact of U.S. School Closures on Labor Market Outcomes during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Kairon Shayne D. Garcia and Benjamin Cowan

29640: The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic

Michael Weber, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion

29639: Limited Supply and Lagging Enrollment: Production Technologies and Enrollment Changes at Community Colleges during the Pandemic

Diane Schanzenbach and Sarah Turner

29638: Financial Intermediaries and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from a High-Frequency Identification

Pablo Ottonello and Wenting Song

29637: Bounds, Benefits, and Bad Air: Welfare Impacts of Pollution Alerts

Michael Anderson, Minwoo Hyun and Jaecheol Lee

29636: Information versus Investment

Stephen Terry, Toni Whited and Anastasia Zakolyukina

29635: On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates

Francis Diebold, Minchul Shin and Boyuan Zhang

29634: Cognitive Decline, Limited Awareness, Imperfect Agency, and Financial Well-being

John Ameriks, Andrew Caplin, Minjoon Lee, Matthew Shapiro and Christopher Tonetti

29633: Currency Carry Trade by Trucks: The Curious Case of China's Massive Imports from Itself

Xuepeng Liu, Heiwai Tang, Zhi Wang and Shang-Jin Wei

29632: Intermediation via Credit Chains

Zhiguo He and Jian Li

29631: Clubs and Networks in Economics Reviewing

Scott Carrell, David Figlio and Lester Lusher

29630: Nonprofits in Good Times and Bad Times

Christine L. Exley, Nils H. Lehr and Stephen Terry

29629: Global Innovation and Knowledge Diffusion

Nelson Lind and Natalia Ramondo

29628: Macroeconomic Research, Present and Past

Philip Glandon, Kenneth Kuttner, Sandeep Mazumder and Caleb Stroup

29627: Revealing Corruption: Firm and Worker Level Evidence from Brazil

Emanuele Colonnelli, Spyridon Lagaras, Jacopo Ponticelli, Mounu Prem and Margarita Tsoutsoura

29626: Debt as Safe Asset

Markus Brunnermeier, Sebastian A. Merkel and Yuliy Sannikov

29625: Using Bid Rotation and Incumbency to Detect Collusion: A Regression Discontinuity Approach

Kei Kawai, Jun Nakabayashi, Juan Ortner and Sylvain Chassang

29624: The Political Economy of Anti-Bribery Enforcement

Lauren Cohen and Bo Li

29623: Worker Beliefs About Outside Options

Simon Jäger, Christopher Roth, Nina Roussille and Benjamin Schoefer

29622: The Marginal Cost of Mortality Risk Reduction: Evidence from Housing Markets

Kelly Bishop, Nicolai Kuminoff, Sophie Mathes and Alvin Murphy

29621: Mandated vs. Voluntary Adaptation to Natural Disasters: The Case of U.S. Wildfires

Patrick Baylis and Judson Boomhower

29620: Estimating the Effects of Milk Inspections on Infant and Child Mortality, 1880-1910

D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, Michael McKelligott and Daniel Rees

29619: Fiscal Policy in a Networked Economy

Joel P. Flynn, Christina Patterson and John Sturm

29618: Vertical Differentiation in Frictional Product Markets

James Albrecht, Guido Menzio and Susan Vroman

29617: The Price of Nails since 1695: A Window into Economic Change

Daniel Sichel

29616: Causal Inference from Hypothetical Evaluations

B. Douglas Bernheim, Daniel Björkegren, Jeffrey Naecker and Michael Pollmann

29615: Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets

Mitali Das, Gita Gopinath and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

29614: Interest Received by Banks during the Financial Crisis: LIBOR vs Hypothetical SOFR Loans

Urban Jermann

29613: Physician Group Influences on Treatment Intensity and Health: Evidence from Physician Switchers

Joseph J. Doyle and Becky Staiger

29612: Trade, Human Capital, and Income Risk

Liuchun Deng, Pravin Krishna, Mine Senses and Jens Stegmaier

29611: International Trade and Innovation

Ufuk Akcigit and Marc Melitz

29610: Blackouts: The role of India's Wholesale Electricity Market

Akshaya Jha, Louis Preonas and Fiona Burlig

29609: Measuring U.S. Core Inflation: The Stress Test of COVID-19

Laurence Ball, Daniel Leigh, Prachi Mishra and Antonio Spilimbergo

29608: Race and the Mismeasure of School Quality

Joshua Angrist, Peter Hull, Parag Pathak and Christopher Walters

29607: Innovation Networks and R&D Allocation

Ernest Liu and Song Ma

29606: Zombie Lending and Policy Traps

Viral Acharya, Simone Lenzu and Olivier Wang

29605: College Majors and Skills: Evidence from the Universe of Online Job Ads

Steven W. Hemelt, Brad Hershbein, Shawn M. Martin and Kevin Stange

29604: What Drives Variation in Investor Portfolios? Estimating the Roles of Beliefs and Risk Preferences

Mark L. Egan, Alexander MacKay and Hanbin Yang

29603: Currency Wars, Trade Wars, and Global Demand

Olivier Jeanne

29602: Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises

Frédéric Boissay, Fabrice Collard, Jordi Galí and Cristina Manea

29601: Precautionary Liquidity and Worker Decisions in French Employee Saving Plans

Marie Brière, James Poterba and Ariane Szafarz

29600: From Immediate Acceptance to Deferred Acceptance: Effects on School Admissions and Achievement in England

Camille Terrier, Parag Pathak and Kevin Ren

29599: Does Physician-Hospital Vertical Integration Signal Care-Coordination? Evidence from Mover-Stayer Analyses of Commercially Insured Enrollees

William Encinosa, Avi Dor and PhuongGiang Nguyen

29598: Labor Reallocation and Remote Work During COVID-19: Real-time Evidence from GitHub

Grant R. McDermott and Benjamin Hansen

29597: Inequality in India Declined During COVID

Arpit Gupta, Anup Malani and Bartosz Woda

29596: Behavioral Responses to Supply-Side Drug Policy During the Opioid Epidemic

Simone Balestra, Helge Liebert, Nicole Maestas and Tisamarie B. Sherry

29595: Racial Inequality in Unemployment Insurance Receipt and Take-Up

Elira Kuka and Bryan Stuart

29594: International Evidence of Strengthening Taxes and Spending For Sustainable Development

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Hien Nguyen and Donghyun Park

29593: The Impact of the COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution on Mental Health Outcomes

Virat Agrawal, Jonathan H. Cantor, Neeraj Sood and Christopher Whaley

29592: Spatial Equilibria: The Case of Two Regions

Konstantin Kucheryavyy, Gary Lyn and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

29591: Do Well Managed Firms Make Better Forecasts?

Nicholas Bloom, Takafumi Kawakubo, Charlotte Meng, Paul Mizen, Rebecca Riley, Tatsuro Senga and John van Reenen

29590: The COVID-19 Pandemic Disrupted Both School Bullying and Cyberbullying

Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Joshua Goodman, Jennifer G. Green and Melissa Holt

29589: Forced Displacement and Human Capital: Evidence from Separated Siblings

Giorgio Chiovelli, Stelios Michalopoulos, Elias Papaioannou and Sandra Sequeira

29588: Information, Intermediaries, and International Migration

Samuel Bazzi, Lisa Cameron, Simone Schaner and Firman Witoelar

29587: Taking the Pulse of Nations: a Biometric Measure of Well-being

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

29586: Inattention and Inequity in School Matching

Stefan Bucher and Andrew Caplin

29585: The Rise, Fall and Stabilization of U.S. Inflation: Shifting Regimes and Evolving Reputation

Robert King and Yang K. Lu

29584: Private but Misunderstood? Evidence on Measuring Intimate Partner Violence via Self-Interviewing in Rural Liberia and Malawi

David Sungho Park, Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, Jonathan Robinson and Alan Spearot

29583: Lobbying Physicians: Payments from Industry and Hospital Procurement of Medical Devices

Alon Bergman, Matthew Grennan and Ashley Swanson

29582: Sufficient Statistics for Nonlinear Tax Systems with General Across-Income Heterogeneity

Antoine Ferey, Benjamin Lockwood and Dmitry Taubinsky

29581: Absenteeism, Productivity, and Relational Contracts Inside the Firm

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Jean-François Gauthier, Anant Nyshadham and Jorge A. Tamayo

29580: Organizational and Economic Obstacles to Automation: A Cautionary Tale from AT&T in the Twentieth Century

James Feigenbaum and Daniel Gross

29579: Information Frictions and Skill Signaling in the Youth Labor Market

Sara B. Heller and Judd B. Kessler

29578: Does Digital Trade Change the Purpose of a Trade Agreement?

Robert Staiger

29577: Cognitive Uncertainty in Intertemporal Choice

Benjamin Enke and Thomas Graeber

29576: Effect of Health Insurance in India: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Anup Malani, Phoebe Holtzman, Kosuke Imai, Cynthia Kinnan, Morgen Miller, Shailender Swaminathan, Alessandra Voena, Bartosz Woda and Gabriella Conti

29575: Did Pandemic Unemployment Benefits Reduce Employment? Evidence from Early State-Level Expirations in June 2021

Harry Holzer, Robert Hubbard and Michael Strain

29574: Peltzman Revisited: Quantifying 21st Century Opportunity Costs of FDA Regulation

Casey Mulligan

29573: Is Digital Credit Filling a Hole or Digging a Hole? Evidence from Malawi

Valentina Brailovskaya, Pascaline Dupas and Jonathan Robinson

29572: Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks Using the Central Bank's Information Set

Ruediger Bachmann, Isabel Gödl-Hanisch and Eric Sims

29571: Time Use and Gender in Africa in Times of Structural Transformation

Taryn Dinkelman and L. Rachel Ngai

29570: Labor Productivity Growth and Industrialization in Africa

Margaret McMillan and Albert Zeufack

29569: Using Neural Networks to Predict Micro-Spatial Economic Growth

Arman Khachiyan, Anthony Thomas, Huye Zhou, Gordon Hanson, Alex Cloninger, Tajana Rosing and Amit Khandelwal

29568: STEM Employment Resiliency During Recessions: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

James Davis, Holden A. Diethorn, Gerald Marschke and Andrew J. Wang

29567: Changing Income Risk across the US Skill Distribution: Evidence from a Generalized Kalman Filter

J. Carter Braxton, Kyle Herkenhoff, Jonathan Rothbaum and Lawrence Schmidt

29566: Randomization for Causality, Ethnography for Mechanisms: Illiquid Savings for Liquor in an Autarkic Society

Ricardo Godoy, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

29565: Job Training Through Turmoil

Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Adriana Kugler and Mikko I. Silliman

29564: When (and Why) Providers Do Not Respond to Changes in Reimbursement Rates

Marcus Dillender, Lu G. Jinks and Anthony T. Lo Sasso

29563: COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates and Vaccine Uptake

Alexander Karaivanov, Dongwoo Kim, Shih En Lu and Hitoshi Shigeoka