NBER Working Papers

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29527: The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence from Bunching

Benjamin Collier, Cameron Ellis and Benjamin Keys

29526: Sources and Transmission of Country Risk

Tarek Hassan, Jesse Schreger, Markus Schwedeler and Ahmed Tahoun

29525: Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA

Jiwon Choi, Ilyana Kuziemko, Ebonya L. Washington and Gavin Wright

29524: Germs in the Family: The Short- and Long-Term Consequences of Intra-Household Disease Spread

N. Meltem Daysal, Hui Ding, Maya Rossin-Slater and Hannes Schwandt

29523: “Golden Ages”: A Tale of the Labor Markets in China and the United States

Hanming Fang and Xincheng Qiu

29522: Monopsony in the Labor Market: New Empirical Results and New Public Policies

Orley Ashenfelter, David Card, Henry S. Farber and Michael Ransom

29521: Cross-Product and Cross-Market Adjustments Within Multiproduct Firms: Evidence from Antidumping Actions

Xiaohua Bao, Bruce Blonigen and Zhi Yu

29520: Immigrant Labor and the Institutionalization of the U.S.-born Elderly

Kristin Butcher, Kelsey Moran and Tara Watson

29519: Finite- and Large-Sample Inference for Ranks using Multinomial Data with an Application to Ranking Political Parties

Sergei Bazylik, Magne Mogstad, Joseph P. Romano, Azeem Shaikh and Daniel Wilhelm

29518: Harvesting the Rain: The Adoption of Environmental Technologies in the Sahel

Jenny C. Aker and B. Kelsey Jack

29517: Mistakes in Future Consumption, High MPCs Now

Chen Lian

29516: Racial Discrimination and Housing Outcomes in the United States Rental Market

Peter Christensen, Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri and Christopher Timmins

29515: An Economic Model of Consensus on Distributed Ledgers

Hanna Halaburda, Zhiguo He and Jiasun Li

29514: Government Performance and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries during Covid-19

Michael Becher, Nicolas Longuet Marx, Vincent Pons, Sylvain Brouard, Martial Foucault, Vincenzo Galasso, Eric Kerrouche, Sandra León Alfonso and Daniel Stegmueller

29513: Is Human-Interaction-based Information Substitutable? Evidence from Lockdown

Jennie Bai and Massimo Massa

29512: Learning versus Unlearning: An Experiment on Retractions

Duarte Gonçalves, Jonathan Libgober and Jack Willis

29511: Empirical Perspectives on Auctions

Ali Hortacsu and Isabelle Perrigne

29510: Electricity Price Distributions in Future Renewables-Dominant Power Grids and Policy Implications

Dharik S. Mallapragada, Cristian Junge, Cathy Xun Wang, Johannes Pfeifenberger, Paul Joskow and Richard Schmalensee

29509: Headstrong Girls and Dependent Boys: Gender Differences in the Labor Market Returns to Child Behavior

Robert Kaestner and Ofer Malamud

29508: Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline

Ali Hortacsu, Olivia R. Natan, Hayden Parsley, Timothy Schwieg and Kevin Williams

29507: A Primer on Trade and Inequality

Dani Rodrik

29506: The Other Great Migration: Southern Whites and the New Right

Samuel Bazzi, Andreas Ferrara, Martin Fiszbein, Thomas P. Pearson and Patrick Testa

29505: Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

Rohan Kekre

29504: Technological Obsolescence

Song Ma

29503: Excess Deaths in the United States During the First Year of COVID-19

Christopher Ruhm

29502: Buyouts: A Primer

Tim Jenkinson, Hyeik Kim and Michael Weisbach

29501: Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk

Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Yue and Egon Zakrajšek

29500: Globalization and the Ladder of Development: Pushed to the Top or Held at the Bottom?

David Atkin, Arnaud Costinot and Masao Fukui

29499: Skewness and Time-Varying Second Moments in a Nonlinear Production Network: Theory and Evidence

Ian Dew-Becker, Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi and Andrea Vedolin

29498: International Evidence on Vaccines and the Mortality to Infections Ratio in the Pre-Omicron Era

Joshua Aizenman, Alex Cukierman, Yothin Jinjarak and Weining Xin

29497: Pandemic Schooling Mode and Student Test Scores: Evidence from US States

Clare Halloran, Rebecca Jack, James C. Okun and Emily Oster

29496: Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitriy Sergeyev

29495: Learning About the Long Run

Leland Farmer, Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

29494: Collateral Damage: The Impact of Shale Gas on Mortgage Lending

Yanyou Chen, James W. Roberts, Christopher D. Timmins and Ashley Vissing

29493: A Second Chance at Success: Can Grade Forgiveness Promote Academic Risk-Taking in College?

Xuan Jiang, Kelly Chen, Zeynep K. Hansen and Scott Lowe

29492: The Responsiveness of Medicaid Spending to the Federal Subsidy

M. Kate Bundorf and Daniel P. Kessler

29491: Ambulance Taxis: The Impact of Regulation and Litigation on Health Care Fraud

Paul Eliason, Riley J. League, Jetson Leder-Luis, Ryan McDevitt and James W. Roberts

29490: Empirical Investigation of a Sufficient Statistic for Monetary Shocks

Fernando E. Alvarez, Andrea Ferrara, Erwan Gautier, Hervé Le Bihan and Francesco Lippi

29489: Central Bank Digital Currencies and The Emerging Markets: The Currency Substitution Challenge

Sebastian Edwards

29488: Imported or Home Grown? The 1992-3 EMS Crisis

Barry Eichengreen and Alain Naef

29487: Environmental Justice and Coasian Bargaining: The Role of Race and Income in Lease Negotiations for Shale Gas

Christopher Timmins and Ashley Vissing

29486: Support for Paid Family Leave among Small Employers Increases during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Ann P. Bartel, Maya Rossin-Slater, Christopher Ruhm, Meredith Slopen and Jane Waldfogel

29485: Capital Investment and Labor Demand

E Curtis, Daniel Garrett, Eric C. Ohrn, Kevin A. Roberts and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

29484: Converging to Convergence

Michael Kremer, Jack Willis and Yang You

29483: Deindustrialization and Industry Polarization

Michael Sposi, Kei-Mu Yi and Jing Zhang

29482: Racial Discrimination and the Social Contract: Evidence from U.S. Army Enlistment during WWII

Nancy Qian and Marco Tabellini

29481: “If you compete with us, we shan't marry you” The (Mary Paley and) Alfred Marshall Lecture

Rohini Pande and Helena Roy

29480: Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space

Matthew Delventhal, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Nezih Guner

29479: Labor Market Dynamics When Ideas are Harder to Find

Adrien Bilal, Niklas Engbom, Simon Mongey and Giovanni Violante

29478: Pollution Trends and US Environmental Policy: Lessons from the Last Half Century

Joseph Shapiro

29477: Who Benefits from Online Gig Economy Platforms?

Christopher T. Stanton and Catherine Thomas

29476: The Prudential Use of Capital Controls and Foreign Currency Reserves

Javier Bianchi and Guido Lorenzoni

29475: Modeling to Inform Economy-Wide Pandemic Policy: Bringing Epidemiologists and Economists Together

Michael Darden, David Dowdy, Lauren Gardner, Barton Hamilton, Karen Kopecky, Melissa Marx, Nicholas Papageorge, Daniel Polsky, Kimberly Powers, Elizabeth Stuart and Matthew Zahn

29474: Economic Interests, Worldviews, and Identities: Theory and Evidence on Ideational Politics

Elliott Ash, Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

29473: Optimal Bank Reserve Remuneration and Capital Control Policy

Chun-Che Chi, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

29472: "When Anything Can Happen”: Anticipated Adversity and Postsecondary Decision-Making

Stefanie DeLuca, Nicholas Papageorge, Joseph L. Boselovic, Seth Gershenson, Andrew Gray, Kiara M. Nerenberg, Jasmine Sausedo and Allison Young

29471: The Impact of Provider Payments on Health Care Utilization of Low-Income Individuals: Evidence from Medicare and Medicaid

Marika Cabral, Colleen Carey and Sarah Miller

29470: Were Federal COVID Relief Funds for Schools Enough?

Nora Gordon and Sarah J. Reber

29469: Cooperation in the Commons: Community-based Rangeland Management in Namibia

D. Layne Coppock, Lucas Crowley, Susan L. Durham, Dylan Groves, Julian C. Jamison, Dean Karlan, Brien E. Norton and R. Douglas Ramsey

29468: The Hot Hand in the NBA 3-Point Contest: The Importance of Location, Location, Location

Robert M. Lantis and Erik Nesson

29467: Intermediation and Voluntary Exposure to Counterparty Risk

Maryam Farboodi

29466: AI-tocracy

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

29465: Office-Based Mental Healthcare and Juvenile Arrests

Monica Deza, Thanh Lu and Johanna Maclean

29464: Trade Competition and the Decline in Union Organizing: Evidence from Certification Elections

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Matthew S. Johnson and Nagisa Tadjfar

29463: A Simple Model of Social Distancing and Vaccination

Christopher Avery

29462: Depression and Shopping Behavior

Katherine Meckel and Bradley Shapiro

29461: Firm-Level Upgrading in Developing Countries

Eric Verhoogen

29460: Salary History and Employer Demand: Evidence from a Two-Sided Audit

Amanda Agan, Bo Cowgill and Laura Gee

29459: Some Children Left Behind: Variation in the Effects of an Educational Intervention

Julie Buhl-Wiggers, Jason Kerwin, Juan Munoz-Morales, Jeffrey Smith and Rebecca Thornton

29458: Does Social Media cause Polarization? Evidence from access to Twitter Echo Chambers during the 2019 Argentine Presidential Debate

Rafael Di Tella, Ramiro Gálvez and Ernesto Schargrodsky

29457: Scrambling for Dollars: International Liquidity, Banks and Exchange Rates

Javier Bianchi, Saki Bigio and Charles Engel

29456: Winner Takes All? Tech Clusters, Population Centers, and the Spatial Transformation of U.S. Invention

Brad Chattergoon and William Kerr

29455: Technology Transfer and Early Industrial Development: Evidence from the Sino-Soviet Alliance

Michela Giorcelli and Bo Li

29454: Measuring Firm Environmental Performance to Inform ESG Investing

Nicholas Muller

29453: Momentum, Reversals, and Investor Clientele

Andy C. W. Chui, Avanidhar Subrahmanyam and Sheridan Titman

29452: Which Beliefs? Behavior-Predictive Beliefs are Inconsistent with Information-Based Beliefs: Evidence from COVID-19

Ori Heffetz and Guy Ishai

29451: The Gender Gap in Preferences: Evidence from 45,397 Facebook Interests

Ángel Cuevas, Rubén Cuevas, Klaus Desmet and Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín

29450: The Intergenerational Transmission of Cognitive Skills: An Investigation of the Causal Impact of Families on Student Outcomes

Eric Hanushek, Babs Jacobs, Guido Schwerdt, Rolf Van der Velden, Stan Vermeulen and Simon Wiederhold

29449: The Anatomy of a Hospital System Merger: The Patient Did Not Respond Well to Treatment

Martin Gaynor, Adam Sacarny, Raffaella Sadun, Chad Syverson and Shruthi Venkatesh

29448: FinTech as a Financial Liberator

Greg Buchak, Jiayin Hu and Shang-Jin Wei

29447: Water Treatment and Child Mortality: Evidence from Kenya

Johannes Haushofer, Michael Kremer, Ricardo Maertens and Brandon Tan

29446: Does Employing Skilled Immigrants Enhance Competitive Performance? Evidence from European Football Clubs

Britta Glennon, Francisco Morales, Seth Carnahan and Exequiel Hernandez

29445: Sorting through Cheap Talk: Theory and Evidence from a Labor Market

John Horton, Ramesh Johari and Philipp Kircher

29444: Risks and global supply chains: What we know and what we need to know

Richard Baldwin and Rebecca Freeman

29443: Bad Lighting: Effects of Youth Indoor Tanning Prohibitions

Christopher Carpenter, Brandyn Churchill and Michelle M. Marcus

29442: A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy

Ruediger Bachmann, Benjamin Born, Olga Goldfayn-Frank, Georgi Kocharkov, Ralph Luetticke and Michael Weber

29441: Macroprudential Policies and The Covid-19 Pandemic: Risks and Challenges For Emerging Markets

Sebastian Edwards

29440: Estimating the Economic Value of Zoning Reform

Santosh Anagol, Fernando Ferreira and Jonah M. Rexer

29439: Medication of Postpartum Depression and Maternal Outcomes: Evidence from Geographic Variation in Dutch Prescribing

Janet Currie and Esmee Zwiers

29438: The Economics of Medical Procedure Innovation

David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Heard and Bingxiao Wu

29437: The International Price of Remote Work

Agostina Brinatti, Alberto Cavallo, Javier Cravino and Andres Drenik

29436: Women in Science. Lessons from the Baby Boom

Scott Daewon Kim and Petra Moser

29435: The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals

Ernest Aigner, Jacob Greenspon and Dani Rodrik

29434: The Debt Capacity of a Government

Bernard Dumas, Paul Ehling and Chunyu Yang

29433: The Geography of Retirement

Courtney Coile

29432: Nonlinearities and a Pecking Order in Cross-border Investment

Sara B. Holland, Sergei Sarkissian, Michael Schill and Francis E. Warnock

29431: "Potential Capital”, Working From Home, and Economic Resilience

Janice Eberly, Jonathan Haskel and Paul Mizen

29430: Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms' Subjective Beliefs

Ruediger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Stefan Lautenbacher and Martin Schneider

29429: Effects of COVID-19 Shutdowns on Domestic Violence in US Cities

Amalia Miller, Carmit Segal and Melissa Spencer

29428: Exchange Rates as Trade Frictions: Estimates and Implications for Policy

James Anderson and Praveen Saini