NBER Working Papers

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19102: Juvenile Incarceration, Human Capital and Future Crime: Evidence from Randomly-Assigned Judges

Anna Aizer and Joseph J. Doyle, Jr.

19101: The Effect of Medicare Advantage on Hospital Admissions and Mortality

Christopher C. Afendulis, Michael E. Chernew and Daniel P. Kessler

19100: Grandpa and the Snapper: the Wellbeing of the Elderly who Live with Children

Angus Deaton and Arthur A. Stone

19099: The Cyclical Behavior of the Price-Cost Markup

Christopher Nekarda and Valerie Ramey

19098: Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation

Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk

19097: Industry Compensation Under Relocation Risk: A Firm-Level Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme

Ralf Martin, Mirabelle Muûls, Laure de Preux and Ulrich Wagner

19096: Do First Impressions Matter? Improvement in Early Career Teacher Effectiveness

Allison Atteberry, Susanna Loeb and James Wyckoff

19095: Flights to Safety

Lieven Baele, Geert Bekaert, Koen Inghelbrecht and Min Wei

19094: (Q,S,s) Pricing Rules

Kenneth Burdett and Guido Menzio

19093: Big Banks and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence of Granularity

Franziska Bremus, Claudia Buch, Katheryn Russ and Monika Schnitzer

19092: How Pro-Poor Growth Affects the Demand for Energy

Paul Gertler, Orie Shelef, Catherine Wolfram and Alan Fuchs

19091: Capital Controls, Global Liquidity Traps and the International Policy Trilemma

Michael Devereux and James Yetman

19090: Implications of an Economic Theory of Conflict: Hindu-Muslim Violence in India

Anirban Mitra and Debraj Ray

19089: The Importance (or not) of Patents to UK Firms

Bronwyn Hall, Christian Helmers, Mark Rogers and Vania Sena

19088: How Public Pension affects Elderly Labor Supply and Well-being: Evidence from India

Neeraj Kaushal

19087: Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change

Maximilian Auffhammer, Solomon M. Hsiang, Wolfram Schlenker and Adam Sobel

19086: Optimal Capital Versus Labor Taxation with Innovation-Led Growth

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit and Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde

19085: Reference-Dependence and Labor-Market Fluctuations

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

19084: Assessing Macroprudential Policies: Case of Korea

Valentina Bruno and Hyun Song Shin

19083: Immigrant Assimilation into U.S. Prisons, 1900-1930

Carolyn Moehling and Anne Piehl

19082: Effects of the Price of Charitable Giving: Evidence from an Online Crowdfunding Platform

Jonathan Meer

19081: Tax Shelters or Efficient Tax Planning? A Theory of The Firm Perspective On the Economic Substance Doctrine

T. Christopher Borek, Angelo Frattarelli and Oliver Hart

19080: Partisan Bias in Factual Beliefs about Politics

John G. Bullock, Alan S. Gerber, Seth J. Hill and Gregory A. Huber

19079: Does High Home-Ownership Impair the Labor Market?

David Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald

19078: CEO Pay and Firm Size: an Update after the Crisis

Xavier Gabaix, Augustin Landier and Julien Sauvagnat

19077: Intergenerational Long Term Effects of Preschool - Structural Estimates from a Discrete Dynamic Programming Model

James Heckman and Lakshmi K. Raut

19076: Competition for Attention

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

19075: The Top 1 Percent in International and Historical Perspective

Facundo Alvaredo, Anthony Atkinson, Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez

19074: Dynamic Models of R&D, Innovation and Productivity: Panel Data Evidence for Dutch and French Manufacturing

Wladimir Raymond, Jacques Mairesse, Pierre Mohnen and Franz Palm

19073: The R&D Tax Credit in France: Assessment and Ex-Ante Evaluation of the 2008 Reform

Benoît Mulkay and Jacques Mairesse

19072: Financial Globalization, Financial Crises, and the External Portfolio Structure of Emerging Markets

Enrique Mendoza and Katherine Smith

19071: Effects of Social Security Policies on Benefit Claiming, Retirement and Saving

Alan Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier

19070: The Spillover Effects of Medicare Managed Care: Medicare Advantage and Hospital Utilization

Katherine Baicker, Michael Chernew and Jacob Robbins

19069: Borrowing High vs. Borrowing Higher: Sources and Consequences of Dispersion in Individual Borrowing Costs

Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman

19068: 'Lucas' In The Laboratory

Elena Asparouhova, Peter Bossaerts, Nilanjan Roy and William Zame

19067: Saving and the Long Shadow of Macroeconomic Shocks

Joshua Aizenman and Ilan Noy

19066: Why Do People Volunteer? An Experimental Analysis of Preferences for Time Donations

Alexander Brown, Jonathan Meer and J. Forrest Williams

19065: Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files

Nicole M. Aulerich, Scott Irwin and Philip Garcia

19064: Optimal Provision of Loans and Insurance Against Unemployment From A Lifetime Perspective

Joseph Stiglitz and Jungyoll Yun

19063: Framing Lifetime Income

Jeffrey Brown, Jeffrey Kling, Sendhil Mullainathan and Marian V. Wrobel

19062: The Great Recession: A Self-Fulfilling Global Panic

Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop

19061: Wage Effects of Unionization and Occupational Licensing Coverage in the United States

Maury Gittleman and Morris M. Kleiner

19060: Experimental Evidence on the Effects of Home Computers on Academic Achievement among Schoolchildren

Robert Fairlie and Jonathan Robinson

19059: Product and labor market imperfections and scale economies: Micro-evidence on France, Japan and the Netherlands

Sabien Dobbelaere, Kozo Kiyota and Jacques Mairesse

19058: Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?

Mark L. Egan, Casey Mulligan and Tomas Philipson

19057: Foreign Trade and Investment: Firm-Level Perspectives

Elhanan Helpman

19056: Risk Premia in Crude Oil Futures Prices

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

19055: Vehicle Scrappage and Gasoline Policy

Mark R. Jacobsen and Arthur A. van Benthem

19054: Unobservable Selection and Coefficient Stability: Theory and Validation

Emily Oster

19053: Making College Worth It: A Review of Research on the Returns to Higher Education

Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic

19052: Technology Diffusion: Measurement, Causes and Consequences

Diego Comin and Martí Mestieri

19051: Loan officer Incentives and the Limits of Hard Information

Tobias Berg, Manju Puri and Jorg Rocholl

19050: Do Depositors Monitor Banks?

Rajkamal Iyer, Manju Puri and Nicholas Ryan

19049: High School Graduation in the Context of Changing Elementary and Secondary Education Policy and Income Inequality: The Last Half Century

Nora Gordon

19048: Do Extended Unemployment Benefits Lengthen Unemployment Spells? Evidence from Recent Cycles in the U.S. Labor Market

Henry S. Farber and Robert Valletta

19047: Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun's law

Menzie Chinn, Laurent Ferrara and Valérie Mignon

19046: Using Performance Incentives to Improve Medical Care Productivity and Health Outcomes

Paul Gertler and Christel Vermeersch

19045: Racial Residential Segregation in American Cities

Leah Boustan

19044: A Microeconomic Framework for Evaluating Energy Efficiency Rebound And Some Implications

Severin Borenstein

19043: Two-Armed Restless Bandits with Imperfect Information: Stochastic Control and Indexability

Roland Fryer and Philipp Harms

19042: Aggregation and The Estimated Effects of Local Economic Conditions on Health

Jason Lindo

19041: Urbanization in the United States, 1800-2000

Leah Boustan, Devin Michelle Bunten and Owen Hearey

19040: The Origins and Persistence of Black-White Differences in Women's Labor Force Participation

Leah Boustan and William Collins

19039: The "Greatest" Carry Trade Ever? Understanding Eurozone Bank Risks

Viral Acharya and Sascha Steffen

19038: Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity

Valentina Bruno and Hyun Song Shin

19037: Bubble Troubles? Rational Storage, Mean Reversion and Runs in Commodity Prices

Eugenio Bobenrieth, Juan R. A. Bobenrieth and Brian Wright

19036: Is Smoking Behavior Culturally Determined? Evidence from British Immigrants

Rebekka Christopoulou and Dean R. Lillard

19035: The Data Revolution and Economic Analysis

Liran Einav and Jonathan Levin

19034: Nonlinear Programming Method for Dynamic Programming

Yongyang Cai, Kenneth Judd, Thomas Lontzek, Valentina Michelangeli and Che-Lin Su

19033: Exporting and Plant-Level Efficiency Gains: It's in the Measure

Alvaro Garcia-Marin and Nico Voigtländer

19032: Exchanging Delayed Social Security Benefits for Lump Sums: Could This Incentivize Longer Work Careers?

Jingjing Chai, Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell and Ralph Rogalla

19031: Why Do College Going Interventions Work?

Scott Carrell and Bruce Sacerdote

19030: Liability Investment with Downside Risk

Andrew Ang, Bingxu Chen and Suresh Sundaresan

19029: Politics 2.0: The Multifaceted Effect of Broadband Internet on Political Participation

Filipe Campante, Ruben Durante and Francesco Sobbrio

19028: Isolated Capital Cities and Misgovernance: Theory and Evidence

Filipe Campante, Quoc-Anh Do and Bernardo Guimaraes

19027: Isolated Capital Cities, Accountability and Corruption: Evidence from US States

Filipe Campante and Quoc-Anh Do

19026: Putting the 'System' in the International Monetary System

Michael Bordo and Angela Redish

19025: Market Deregulation and Optimal Monetary Policy in a Monetary Union

Matteo Cacciatore, Giuseppe Fiori and Fabio Ghironi

19024: The 1991 Reforms, Indian Economic Growth, and Social Progress

Manmohan Agarwal and John Whalley

19023: Gender Identity and Relative Income within Households

Marianne Bertrand, Jessica Pan and Emir Kamenica

19022: Sustainable Shadow Banking

Guillermo Ordonez

19021: Sales Mechanisms in Online Markets: What Happened to Internet Auctions?

Liran Einav, Chiara Farronato, Jonathan Levin and Neel Sundaresan

19020: The Vulnerability of Minority Homeowners in the Housing Boom and Bust

Patrick Bayer, Fernando Ferreira and Stephen Ross

19019: Offshore jurisdictions (including Cyprus), corruption money laundering and Russian round-trip investment

Svetlana Ledyaeva, Päivi Karhunen and John Whalley

19018: Do Strict Capital Requirements Raise the Cost of Capital? Banking Regulation and the Low Risk Anomaly

Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler

19017: R-squared and the Economy

Randall Morck, Bernard Yeung and Wayne Yu

19016: How Financial Incentives Induce Disability Insurance Recipients to Return to Work

Andreas Kostøl and Magne Mogstad

19015: The Labor Wedge: MRS vs. MPN

Loukas Karabarbounis

19014: Preventing Youth Violence and Dropout: A Randomized Field Experiment

Sara Heller, Harold A. Pollack, Roseanna Ander and Jens Ludwig

19013: Clusters of Entrepreneurship and Innovation

Aaron Chatterji, Edward Glaeser and William Kerr

19012: Exploring Reallocation's Apparent Weak Contribution to Growth

Mitsukuni Nishida, Amil Petrin and Sašo Polanec

19011: Tests for Price Endogeneity in Differentiated Product Models

Kyoo il Kim and Amil Petrin

19010: If Technology Has Arrived Everywhere, Why has Income Diverged?

Diego Comin and Martí Mestieri

19009: Pledgability and Liquidity: A New Monetarist Model of Financial and Macroeconomic Activity

Venky Venkateswaran and Randall Wright

19008: Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars

George Hall and Thomas Sargent

19007: Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Welfare Reform

Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir and Jonathan Shaw

19006: China and India: Reforms and the Response: How Differently have the Economies Behaved

Manmohan Agarwal and John Whalley

19005: Economic Analysis of Risk and Uncertainty induced by Health Shocks: A Review and Extension

Tomas Philipson and George Zanjani

19004: State-run Banks, Money Growth, and the Real Economy

Randall Morck, M. Deniz Yavuz and Bernard Yeung

19003: Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility

Elizabeth Ananat, Anna Gassman-Pines and Christina M. Gibson-Davis