NBER Working Papers

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19135: The Wage Effects of Not-for-Profit and For-Profit Certifications: Better Data, Somewhat Different Results

Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein

19134: How Firms Respond to Business Cycles: The Role of Firm Age and Firm Size

Teresa Fort, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin and Javier Miranda

19133: Some Simple Economics of Crowdfunding

Ajay Agrawal, Christian Catalini and Avi Goldfarb

19132: Deposit Insurance and Orderly Liquidation without Commitment: Can we Sleep Well?

Russell Cooper and Hubert Kempf

19131: The Female Labor Force and Long-run Development: The American Experience in Comparative Perspective

Claudia Olivetti

19130: Do Lottery Payments Induce Savings Behavior: Evidence from the Lab

Emel Filiz-Ozbay, Jonathan Guryan, Kyle Hyndman, Melissa Kearney and Erkut Ozbay

19129: Banking, Liquidity and Bank Runs in an Infinite-Horizon Economy

Mark Gertler and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki

19128: Differential Fertility, Human Capital, and Development

Tom Vogl

19127: Ordeal Mechanisms In Targeting: Theory And Evidence From A Field Experiment In Indonesia

Vivi Alatas, Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Benjamin Olken, Ririn Purnamasari and Matthew Wai-Poi

19126: The Effect of Mergers in Search Market: Evidence from the Canadian Mortgage Industry

Jason Allen, Robert Clark and Jean-François Houde

19125: Credit Ratings and the Pricing of Sovereign Debt during the Euro Crisis

Joshua Aizenman, Mahir Binici and Michael Hutchison

19124: Selection and Economic Gains in the Great Migration of African Americans: New Evidence from Linked Census Data

William Collins and Marianne Wanamaker

19123: California Energy Efficiency: Lessons for the Rest of the World, or Not?

Arik Levinson

19122: What is European Integration Really About? A Political Guide for Economists

Enrico Spolaore

19121: Measuring Top Incomes Using Tax Record Data: A Cautionary Tale from Australia

Richard Burkhauser, Markus Hahn and Roger Wilkins

19120: Is a VC Partnership Greater than the Sum of its Partners?

Michael Ewens and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf

19119: Win Some Lose Some? Evidence from a Randomized Microcredit Program Placement Experiment by Compartamos Banco

Manuela Angelucci, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

19118: Spatial Equilibrium with Unemployment and Wage Bargaining: Theory and Estimation

Paul Beaudry, David Green and Benjamin Sand

19117: Finance and the Preservation of Wealth

Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny

19116: The Slowdown in the Economic Assimilation of Immigrants: Aging and Cohort Effects Revisited Again

George Borjas

19115: Recessions and Admissions to Substance Abuse Treatment

Jonathan H. Cantor, Brady Horn and Johanna Maclean

19114: Updating Beliefs with Ambiguous Evidence: Implications for Polarization

Roland Fryer, Philipp Harms and Matthew Jackson

19113: Information and Student Achievement: Evidence from a Cellular Phone Experiment

Roland Fryer

19112: The European Crisis in the Context of the History of Previous Financial Crises

Michael Bordo and Harold James

19111: Education, Birth Order, and Family Size

Jesper Bagger, Javier Birchenall, Hani Mansour and Sergio Urzua

19110: Levels and Trends in United States Income and Its Distribution A Crosswalk from Market Income Towards a Comprehensive Haig-Simons Income Approach

Philip Armour, Richard Burkhauser and Jeff Larrimore

19109: The Supply of Gender Stereotypes and Discriminatory Beliefs

Edward Glaeser and Yueran Ma

19108: Strategic Involuntary Teacher Transfers and Teacher Performance: Examining Equity and Efficiency

Jason A. Grissom, Susanna Loeb and Nathaniel Nakashima

19107: Mixed Method Evaluation of a Passive mHealth Sexual Information Texting Service in Uganda

Julian C. Jamison, Dean Karlan and Pia Raffler

19106: Long-Run Price Elasticities of Demand for Credit: Evidence from a Countrywide Field Experiment in Mexico

Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

19105: Do Stimulant Medications Improve Educational and Behavioral Outcomes for Children with ADHD?

Janet Currie, Mark Stabile and Lauren Jones

19104: Capital-Labor-Energy Substitution in Nested CES Production Functions for China

Keting Shen and John Whalley

19103: Wall Street vs. Main Street: An Evaluation of Probabilities

Robin L. Lumsdaine and Rogier J.D. Potter van Loon

19102: Juvenile Incarceration, Human Capital and Future Crime: Evidence from Randomly-Assigned Judges

Anna Aizer and Joseph J. Doyle, Jr.

19101: The Effect of Medicare Advantage on Hospital Admissions and Mortality

Christopher C. Afendulis, Michael E. Chernew and Daniel P. Kessler

19100: Grandpa and the Snapper: the Wellbeing of the Elderly who Live with Children

Angus Deaton and Arthur A. Stone

19099: The Cyclical Behavior of the Price-Cost Markup

Christopher Nekarda and Valerie Ramey

19098: Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation

Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk

19097: Industry Compensation Under Relocation Risk: A Firm-Level Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme

Ralf Martin, Mirabelle Muûls, Laure de Preux and Ulrich Wagner

19096: Do First Impressions Matter? Improvement in Early Career Teacher Effectiveness

Allison Atteberry, Susanna Loeb and James Wyckoff

19095: Flights to Safety

Lieven Baele, Geert Bekaert, Koen Inghelbrecht and Min Wei

19094: (Q,S,s) Pricing Rules

Kenneth Burdett and Guido Menzio

19093: Big Banks and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence of Granularity

Franziska Bremus, Claudia Buch, Katheryn Russ and Monika Schnitzer

19092: How Pro-Poor Growth Affects the Demand for Energy

Paul Gertler, Orie Shelef, Catherine Wolfram and Alan Fuchs

19091: Capital Controls, Global Liquidity Traps and the International Policy Trilemma

Michael Devereux and James Yetman

19090: Implications of an Economic Theory of Conflict: Hindu-Muslim Violence in India

Anirban Mitra and Debraj Ray

19089: The Importance (or not) of Patents to UK Firms

Bronwyn Hall, Christian Helmers, Mark Rogers and Vania Sena

19088: How Public Pension affects Elderly Labor Supply and Well-being: Evidence from India

Neeraj Kaushal

19087: Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change

Maximilian Auffhammer, Solomon M. Hsiang, Wolfram Schlenker and Adam Sobel

19086: Optimal Capital Versus Labor Taxation with Innovation-Led Growth

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit and Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde

19085: Reference-Dependence and Labor-Market Fluctuations

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

19084: Assessing Macroprudential Policies: Case of Korea

Valentina Bruno and Hyun Song Shin

19083: Immigrant Assimilation into U.S. Prisons, 1900-1930

Carolyn Moehling and Anne Piehl

19082: Effects of the Price of Charitable Giving: Evidence from an Online Crowdfunding Platform

Jonathan Meer

19081: Tax Shelters or Efficient Tax Planning? A Theory of The Firm Perspective On the Economic Substance Doctrine

T. Christopher Borek, Angelo Frattarelli and Oliver Hart

19080: Partisan Bias in Factual Beliefs about Politics

John G. Bullock, Alan S. Gerber, Seth J. Hill and Gregory A. Huber

19079: Does High Home-Ownership Impair the Labor Market?

David Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald

19078: CEO Pay and Firm Size: an Update after the Crisis

Xavier Gabaix, Augustin Landier and Julien Sauvagnat

19077: Intergenerational Long Term Effects of Preschool - Structural Estimates from a Discrete Dynamic Programming Model

James Heckman and Lakshmi K. Raut

19076: Competition for Attention

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

19075: The Top 1 Percent in International and Historical Perspective

Facundo Alvaredo, Anthony Atkinson, Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez

19074: Dynamic Models of R&D, Innovation and Productivity: Panel Data Evidence for Dutch and French Manufacturing

Wladimir Raymond, Jacques Mairesse, Pierre Mohnen and Franz Palm

19073: The R&D Tax Credit in France: Assessment and Ex-Ante Evaluation of the 2008 Reform

Benoît Mulkay and Jacques Mairesse

19072: Financial Globalization, Financial Crises, and the External Portfolio Structure of Emerging Markets

Enrique Mendoza and Katherine Smith

19071: Effects of Social Security Policies on Benefit Claiming, Retirement and Saving

Alan Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier

19070: The Spillover Effects of Medicare Managed Care: Medicare Advantage and Hospital Utilization

Katherine Baicker, Michael Chernew and Jacob Robbins

19069: Borrowing High vs. Borrowing Higher: Sources and Consequences of Dispersion in Individual Borrowing Costs

Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman

19068: 'Lucas' In The Laboratory

Elena Asparouhova, Peter Bossaerts, Nilanjan Roy and William Zame

19067: Saving and the Long Shadow of Macroeconomic Shocks

Joshua Aizenman and Ilan Noy

19066: Why Do People Volunteer? An Experimental Analysis of Preferences for Time Donations

Alexander Brown, Jonathan Meer and J. Forrest Williams

19065: Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files

Nicole M. Aulerich, Scott Irwin and Philip Garcia

19064: Optimal Provision of Loans and Insurance Against Unemployment From A Lifetime Perspective

Joseph Stiglitz and Jungyoll Yun

19063: Framing Lifetime Income

Jeffrey Brown, Jeffrey Kling, Sendhil Mullainathan and Marian V. Wrobel

19062: The Great Recession: A Self-Fulfilling Global Panic

Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop

19061: Wage Effects of Unionization and Occupational Licensing Coverage in the United States

Maury Gittleman and Morris M. Kleiner

19060: Experimental Evidence on the Effects of Home Computers on Academic Achievement among Schoolchildren

Robert Fairlie and Jonathan Robinson

19059: Product and labor market imperfections and scale economies: Micro-evidence on France, Japan and the Netherlands

Sabien Dobbelaere, Kozo Kiyota and Jacques Mairesse

19058: Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?

Mark L. Egan, Casey Mulligan and Tomas Philipson

19057: Foreign Trade and Investment: Firm-Level Perspectives

Elhanan Helpman

19056: Risk Premia in Crude Oil Futures Prices

James Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu

19055: Vehicle Scrappage and Gasoline Policy

Mark R. Jacobsen and Arthur A. van Benthem

19054: Unobservable Selection and Coefficient Stability: Theory and Validation

Emily Oster

19053: Making College Worth It: A Review of Research on the Returns to Higher Education

Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic

19052: Technology Diffusion: Measurement, Causes and Consequences

Diego Comin and Martí Mestieri

19051: Loan officer Incentives and the Limits of Hard Information

Tobias Berg, Manju Puri and Jorg Rocholl

19050: Do Depositors Monitor Banks?

Rajkamal Iyer, Manju Puri and Nicholas Ryan

19049: High School Graduation in the Context of Changing Elementary and Secondary Education Policy and Income Inequality: The Last Half Century

Nora Gordon

19048: Do Extended Unemployment Benefits Lengthen Unemployment Spells? Evidence from Recent Cycles in the U.S. Labor Market

Henry S. Farber and Robert Valletta

19047: Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun's law

Menzie Chinn, Laurent Ferrara and Valérie Mignon

19046: Using Performance Incentives to Improve Medical Care Productivity and Health Outcomes

Paul Gertler and Christel Vermeersch

19045: Racial Residential Segregation in American Cities

Leah Boustan

19044: A Microeconomic Framework for Evaluating Energy Efficiency Rebound And Some Implications

Severin Borenstein

19043: Two-Armed Restless Bandits with Imperfect Information: Stochastic Control and Indexability

Roland Fryer and Philipp Harms

19042: Aggregation and The Estimated Effects of Local Economic Conditions on Health

Jason Lindo

19041: Urbanization in the United States, 1800-2000

Leah Boustan, Devin Michelle Bunten and Owen Hearey

19040: The Origins and Persistence of Black-White Differences in Women's Labor Force Participation

Leah Boustan and William Collins

19039: The "Greatest" Carry Trade Ever? Understanding Eurozone Bank Risks

Viral Acharya and Sascha Steffen

19038: Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity

Valentina Bruno and Hyun Song Shin

19037: Bubble Troubles? Rational Storage, Mean Reversion and Runs in Commodity Prices

Eugenio Bobenrieth, Juan R. A. Bobenrieth and Brian Wright

19036: Is Smoking Behavior Culturally Determined? Evidence from British Immigrants

Rebekka Christopoulou and Dean R. Lillard