NBER Working Papers

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18310: Immigration and Production Technology

Ethan Lewis

18309: Saving Teens: Using a Policy Discontinuity to Estimate the Effects of Medicaid Eligibility

Bruce Meyer and Laura Wherry

18308: The Validity of Consumption Data: Are the Consumer Expenditure Interview and Diary Surveys Informative?

C. Bee, Bruce Meyer and James Sullivan

18307: Open Borders

John Kennan

18306: The SO2 Allowance Trading System: The Ironic History of a Grand Policy Experiment

Richard Schmalensee and Robert Stavins

18305: Risks For the Long Run: Estimation with Time Aggregation

Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku and Amir Yaron

18304: An Empirical Analysis of the Fed's Term Auction Facility

Efraim Benmelech

18303: Banks, Sovereign Debt and the International Transmission of Business Cycles

Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello and Raoul Minetti

18302: Did the Americanization Movement Succeed? An Evaluation of the Effect of English-Only and Compulsory Schools Laws on Immigrants' Education

Adriana Lleras-Muney and Allison Shertzer

18301: The Choice of Discount Rate for Climate Change Policy Evaluation

Lawrence H. Goulder and Roberton Williams

18300: Risk and Returns to Education

Jeffrey Brown, Chichun Fang and Francisco Gomes

18299: Removing Financial Barriers to Organ and Bone Marrow Donation: The Effect of Leave and Tax Legislation in the U.S

Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis and Sarah Stith

18298: Have the Poor Always Been Less Likely to Migrate? Evidence From Inheritance Practices During the Age of Mass Migration

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Katherine Eriksson

18297: Private Equity and the Innovation Strategies of Entrepreneurial Firms: Empirical Evidence from the Small Business Innovation Research Program

Albert Link, Christopher Ruhm and Donald Siegel

18296: When the Levee Breaks: Black Migration and Economic Development in the American South

Richard Hornbeck and Suresh Naidu

18295: Convergence and Modernization Revisited

Robert Barro

18294: The Impact of Right to Carry Laws and the NRC Report: The Latest Lessons for the Empirical Evaluation of Law and Policy

Abhay Aneja, John Donohue and Alexandria Zhang

18293: Measuring Price Elasticities for Residential Water Demand with Limited Information

Henry Klaiber, V. Smith, Michael Kaminsky and Aaron Strong

18292: Lens or Prism? Patent Citations as a Measure of Knowledge Flows from Public Research

Michael Roach and Wesley M. Cohen

18291: Legislating Stock Prices

Lauren Cohen, Karl B. Diether and Christopher Malloy

18290: The Great Leveraging

Alan Taylor

18289: The Financial Sector in Burundi

Janvier D. Nkurunziza, Leonce Ndikumana and Prime Nyamoya

18288: International Trade and Institutional Change: Medieval Venice's Response to Globalization

Diego Puga and Daniel Trefler

18287: Defying Gravity: How Long Will Japanese Government Bond Prices Remain High?

Takeo Hoshi and Takatoshi Ito

18286: Does it Matter if Your Health Insurer is For-Profit? Effects of Ownership on Premiums, Insurance Coverage, and Medical Spending

Leemore Dafny and Subramaniam Ramanarayanan

18285: The Price Theory of Money, Prospero's Liquidity Trap, and Sudden Stop: Back to Basics and Back

Guillermo Calvo

18284: The Evolution of Endogenous Business Cycles

Roger Farmer

18283: Over-optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules

Jeffrey Frankel and Jesse Schreger

18282: Private Information and Insurance Rejections

Nathaniel Hendren

18281: The Trillion Dollar Conundrum: Complementarities and Health Information Technology

David Dranove, Christopher Forman, Avi Goldfarb and Shane Greenstein

18280: Fiscal Unions

Iván Werning and Emmanuel Farhi

18279: Am I my Brother's Keeper? Sibling Spillover Effects: The Case of Developmental Disabilities and Externalizing Behavior

Jason Fletcher, Nicole L. Hair and Barbara Wolfe

18278: Airports and Urban Growth: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Policy Experiment

Bruce Blonigen and Anca Cristea

18277: Heterogeneity in High Math Achievement Across Schools: Evidence from the American Mathematics Competitions

Glenn Ellison and Ashley Swanson

18276: Homework in Monetary Economics: Inflation, Home Production, and the Production of Homes

S. Boragan Aruoba, Morris Davis and Randall Wright

18275: National Institutions and Subnational Development in Africa

Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

18274: Time to Ship During Financial Crises

Nicolas Berman, José De Sousa, Philippe Martin and Thierry Mayer

18273: The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gee Hee Hong

18272: New Multi-City Estimates of the Changes in Home Values, 1920-1940

Price Fishback and Trevor Kollmann

18271: What Was New About the New Deal?

Price Fishback and John Joseph Wallis

18270: Did Capital Requirements and Fair Value Accounting Spark Fire Sales in Distressed Mortgage-Backed Securities?

Craig B. Merrill, Taylor D. Nadauld, René Stulz and Shane Sherlund

18269: A New Look at Second Liens

Donghoon Lee, Christopher Mayer and Joseph Tracy

18268: Letter Grading Government Efficiency

Alberto Chong, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shleifer

18267: Defensive Investments and the Demand for Air Quality: Evidence from the NOx Budget Program and Ozone Reductions

Olivier Deschenes, Michael Greenstone and Joseph Shapiro

18266: Endogenous Skill Acquisition and Export Manufacturing in Mexico

David Atkin

18265: Mismatch Unemployment

Aysegul Sahin, Joseph Song, Giorgio Topa and Giovanni Violante

18264: Economic Effects of Runs on Early 'Shadow Banks': Trust Companies and the Impact of the Panic of 1907

Carola Frydman, Eric Hilt and Lily Y. Zhou

18263: As Certain as Debt and Taxes: Estimating the Tax Sensitivity of Leverage from Exogenous State Tax Changes

Florian Heider and Alexander Ljungqvist

18262: Risk and Return in Environmental Economics

Robert Pindyck

18261: Social Support Substitution and the Earnings Rebound: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity in Disability Insurance Reform

Lex Borghans, Anne Gielen and Erzo Luttmer

18260: The Connection between Imported Intermediate Inputs and Exports: Evidence from Chinese Firms

Ling Feng, Zhiyuan Li and Deborah Swenson

18259: The Anatomy of French Production Hierarchies

Lorenzo Caliendo, Ferdinando Monte and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

18258: Estimating Second Order Probability Beliefs from Subjective Survival Data

Peter Hudomiet and Robert Willis

18257: Cycles of Distrust: An Economic Model

Daron Acemoglu and Alexander Wolitzky

18256: FX Counterparty Risk and Trading Activity in Currency Forward and Futures Markets

Richard M. Levich

18255: Does Seeing the Doctor More Often Keep You Out of the Hospital?

Robert Kaestner and Anthony T. Lo Sasso

18254: The Role of Federal and State Dependent Coverage Eligibility Policies on the Health Insurance Status of Young Adults

Joel C. Cantor, Alan C. Monheit, Derek DeLia and Kristen Lloyd

18253: Estimating the Effects of Friendship Networks on Health Behaviors of Adolescents

Jason Fletcher and Stephen Ross

18252: Log Odds and Ends

Edward Norton

18251: Market Liquidity -- Theory and Empirical Evidence

Dimitri Vayanos and Jiang Wang

18250: Clusters, Convergence, and Economic Performance

Mercedes Delgado, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern

18249: The Determinants of National Competitiveness

Mercedes Delgado, Christian Ketels, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern

18248: Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice: Evidence from Commodity Price Shocks

Justine Hastings and Jesse Shapiro

18247: Econometric Analysis of Present Value Models When the Discount Factor Is near One

Kenneth West

18246: Carry-Along Trade

Andrew Bernard, Emily Blanchard, Ilke Van Beveren and Hylke Vandenbussche

18245: Really Uncertain Business Cycles

Nicholas Bloom, Max Floetotto, Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta-Eksten and Stephen Terry

18244: Urban Public Finance

Edward Glaeser

18243: Market Size, Division of Labor, and Firm Productivity

Thomas Chaney and Ralph Ossa

18242: Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach

Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler

18241: Understanding Peer Effects in Financial Decisions: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Leonardo Bursztyn, Florian Ederer, Bruno Ferman and Noam Yuchtman

18240: Trade in Intermediate Inputs and Business Cycle Comovement

Robert Johnson

18239: Testing for Racial Prejudice in the Parole Board Release Process: Theory and Evidence

Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang

18238: The Effect of an Increase in Autism Prevalence on the Demand for Auxiliary Healthcare Workers: Evidence from California

Dhaval Dave and Jose Fernandez

18237: Enhancing the Efficacy of Teacher Incentives through Loss Aversion: A Field Experiment

Roland Fryer, Steven Levitt, John List and Sally Sadoff

18236: Back to the Future of Green Powered Economies

Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor

18235: Pharmaceutical Innovation and Longevity Growth in 30 Developing and High-income Countries, 2000-2009

Frank Lichtenberg

18234: Competition and Ideological Diversity: Historical Evidence from US Newspapers

Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse Shapiro and Michael Sinkinson

18233: Are Recessions Good for Your Health Behaviors? Impacts of the Economic Crisis in Iceland

Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir, Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan, Þórhildur Ólafsdóttir and Nancy E. Reichman

18232: Using Differences in Knowledge Across Neighborhoods to Uncover the Impacts of the EITC on Earnings

Raj Chetty, John Friedman and Emmanuel Saez

18231: The Long of It: Odds that Investor Sentiment Spuriously Predicts Anomaly Returns

Robert Stambaugh, Jianfeng Yu and Yu Yuan

18230: Tipping Points and Ambiguity in the Economics of Climate Change

Derek Lemoine and Christian Traeger

18229: Health and Work at Older Ages: Using Mortality to Assess the Capacity to Work across Countries

Kevin Milligan and David Wise

18228: Redistributive Taxation in the Roy Model

Casey Rothschild and Florian Scheuer

18227: Overseas Deployment, Combat Exposure, and Well-Being in the 2010 National Survey of Veterans

Ryan Edwards

18226: Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV and Reproductive Behavior in Zambia

Nicholas Wilson

18225: How Inflation Affects Macroeconomic Performance: An Agent-Based Computational Investigation

Quamrul Ashraf, Boris Gershman and Peter Howitt

18224: Pre-colonial Ethnic Institutions and Contemporary African Development

Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

18223: Pegs, Downward Wage Rigidity, and Unemployment: The Role of Financial Structure

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

18222: Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz

18221: The Spread of Manufacturing to the Poor Periphery 1870---2007

Agustín Bénétrix, Kevin O'Rourke and Jeffrey Williamson

18220: Matching Contributions and Savings Outcomes: A Behavioral Economics Perspective

Brigitte Madrian

18219: Optimal Holdings of International Reserves: Self-Insurance against Sudden Stop

Guillermo Calvo, Alejandro Izquierdo and Rudy Loo-Kung

18218: Unions in a Frictional Labor Market

Per Krusell and Leena Rudanko

18217: Inefficient Investment Waves

Zhiguo He and Péter Kondor

18216: Adolescent Depression and Adult Labor Market Outcomes

Jason Fletcher

18215: Determinacy, Learnability, Plausibility, and the Role of Money in New Keynesian Models

Bennett McCallum

18214: Facing the Climate Change Challenge in a Global Economy

Lee Branstetter and William Pizer

18213: Individual Price Adjustment along the Extensive Margin

Etienne Gagnon, David Lopez-Salido and Nicolas Vincent

18212: Projection Bias in the Car and Housing Markets

Meghan R. Busse, Devin Pope, Jaren Pope and Jorge Silva-Risso

18211: Target Revaluation after Failed Takeover Attempts – Cash versus Stock

Ulrike Malmendier, Marcus Opp and Farzad Saidi