NBER Working Papers

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18861: What do we Really Know about Food Security?

Carlo Cafiero

18860: Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence From The Stock Market

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

18859: What Are We Weighting For?

Gary Solon, Steven Haider and Jeffrey Wooldridge

18858: Physical Activity and Health

Gregory Colman and Dhaval Dave

18857: Banks' Exposure to Interest Rate Risk and The Transmission of Monetary Policy

Augustin Landier, David Sraer and David Thesmar

18856: Aging and Pension Reform: Extending the Retirement Age and Human Capital Formation

Edgar Vogel, Alexander Ludwig and Axel Börsch-Supan

18855: Empirical Research on Sovereign Debt and Default

Michael Tomz and Mark Wright

18854: Patent Rights, Product Market Reforms, and Innovation

Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt and Susanne Prantl

18853: How do Hospitals Respond to Negative Financial Shocks? The Impact of the 2008 Stock Market Crash

David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite and Christopher Ody

18852: The 1920s American Real Estate Boom and the Downturn of the Great Depression: Evidence from City Cross Sections

Michael Brocker and Christopher Hanes

18851: Domestic Institutions as a Source of Comparative Advantage

Nathan Nunn and Daniel Trefler

18850: A Dynamic Model of Subprime Mortgage Default: Estimation and Policy Implications

Patrick Bajari, Chenghuan Sean Chu, Denis Nekipelov and Minjung Park

18849: The Welfare Impact of Indirect Pigouvian Taxation: Evidence from Transportation

Christopher Knittel and Ryan Sandler

18848: Does Sorting Students Improve Scores? An Analysis of Class Composition

Courtney A. Collins and Li Gan

18847: Group Lending with Heterogeneous Types

Li Gan, Manuel Hernandez and Yanyan Liu

18846: The Effects of Poor Neonatal Health on Children's Cognitive Development

David Figlio, Jonathan Guryan, Krzysztof Karbownik and Jeffrey Roth

18845: 'Those Who Know Most': Insider Trading in 18th c. Amsterdam

Peter Koudijs

18844: Conditional Risk Premia in Currency Markets and Other Asset Classes

Martin Lettau, Matteo Maggiori and Michael Weber

18843: Asset Quality Misrepresentation by Financial Intermediaries: Evidence from RMBS Market

Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru and James Witkin

18842: Incomplete Contracts and the Internal Organization of Firms

Philippe Aghion, Nicholas Bloom and John van Reenen

18841: Firm Size Distortions and the Productivity Distribution: Evidence from France

Luis Garicano, Claire Lelarge and John van Reenen

18840: Do Acquisitions Relieve Target Firms' Financial Constraints?

Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang and Michael Weisbach

18839: Nation-Building and Education

Alberto Alesina, Paola Giuliano and Bryony Reich

18838: Bounding the Effects of Social Experiments: Accounting for Attrition in Administrative Data

Jeffrey Grogger

18837: Fire-sale FDI or Business as Usual?

Ron Alquist, Rahul Mukherjee and Linda Tesar

18836: Growth Options and Firm Valuation

Holger Kraft, Eduardo S. Schwartz and Farina Weiss

18835: Generalized Social Marginal Welfare Weights for Optimal Tax Theory

Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva

18834: Lawyers as Agents of the Devil in a Prisoner's Dilemma Game: Evidence from Long Run Play

Orley Ashenfelter, David Bloom and Gordon Dahl

18833: Estimating the Impact of Means-tested Subsidies under Treatment Externalities with Application to Anti-Malarial Bednets

Debopam Bhattacharya, Pascaline Dupas and Shin Kanaya

18832: Career Progression, Economic Downturns, and Skills

Jerome Adda, Christian Dustmann, Costas Meghir and Jean-Marc Robin

18831: The boats that did not sail: Asset Price Volatility and Market Efficiency in a Natural Experiment

Peter Koudijs

18830: Effects of Pharmaceutical Promotion: A Review and Assessment

Dhaval Dave

18829: International Prices and Exchange Rates

Ariel Burstein and Gita Gopinath

18828: Not Just the Great Contraction: Friedman and Schwartz's A Monetary History of the United States 1867 to 1960

Michael Bordo and Hugh Rockoff

18827: Immigrant Group Size and Political Mobilization: Evidence from European Migration to the United States

Allison Shertzer

18826: Aggregate Demand, Idle Time, and Unemployment

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

18825: A Nation Of Gamblers: Real Estate Speculation And American History

Edward Glaeser

18824: What Do We Learn From Schumpeterian Growth Theory?

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit and Peter Howitt

18823: The Impact of Cartelization, Money, and Productivity Shocks on the International Great Depression

Harold Cole and Lee Ohanian

18822: In the Name of the Son (and the Daughter): Intergenerational Mobility in the United States, 1850-1930

Claudia Olivetti and M. Daniele Paserman

18821: Did Housing Policies Cause the Postwar Boom in Homeownership?

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

18820: Estimating the Effect of Salience in Wholesale and Retail Car Markets

Meghan R. Busse, Nicola Lacetera, Devin Pope, Jorge Silva-Risso and Justin R. Sydnor

18819: Market Potential and the Rise of US Productivity Leadership

Dan Liu and Christopher Meissner

18818: Home Computers and Child Outcomes: Short-Term Impacts from a Randomized Experiment in Peru

Diether Beuermann, Julian Cristia, Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo, Santiago Cueto and Ofer Malamud

18817: Heterogeneous Economic Returns to Postsecondary Degrees: Evidence from Chile

Loreto Reyes, Jorge Rodríguez and Sergio Urzua

18816: Fluctuations in Weekly Hours and Total Hours Worked Over the Past 90 Years and the Importance of Changes in Federal Policy Toward Job Sharing

Todd Neumann, Jason Taylor and Price Fishback

18815: The Effect of Police on Crime: New Evidence from U.S. Cities, 1960-2010

Aaron Chalfin and Justin McCrary

18814: Capital Flows, Credit Booms, and Financial Crises in the Classical Gold Standard Era

Christopher Meissner

18813: Married to Intolerance: Attitudes towards Intermarriage in Germany, 1900-2006

Nico Voigtländer and Hans-Joachim Voth

18812: Estimating Benefits from University-Level Diversity

Barbara Wolfe and Jason Fletcher

18811: Understanding Long-run Price Dispersion

Mario Crucini and Hakan Yilmazkuday

18810: Do Parental Involvement Laws Deter Risky Teen Sex?

Silvie Colman, Thomas Dee and Ted Joyce

18809: Choice of Country by the Foreign Born for PhD and Postdoctoral Study: A Sixteen-Country Perspective

Paula Stephan, Chiara Franzoni and Giuseppe Scellato

18808: The Link Between Fundamentals and Proximate Factors in Development

Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue

18807: Gravity, Scale and Exchange Rates

James Anderson, Mykyta Vesselovsky and Yoto Yotov

18806: Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles

Jordi Galí

18805: The Demand for Cigarettes as Derived from the Demand for Weight Control

John Cawley and Stephanie von Hinke

18804: Information and Quality when Motivation is Intrinsic: Evidence from Surgeon Report Cards

Jonathan Kolstad

18803: An Economic Analysis of Black-White Disparities in NYPD's Stop and Frisk Program

Decio Coviello and Nicola Persico

18802: Distinctively Black Names in the American Past

Lisa Cook, Trevon Logan and John Parman

18801: Market-based Emissions Regulation When Damages Vary Across Sources: What Are the Gains from Differentiation?

Meredith Fowlie and Nicholas Muller

18800: Optimal Public Debt Management and Liquidity Provision

George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard, Harris Dellas and Behzad Diba

18799: University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California

Peter Arcidiacono, Esteban Aucejo and V. Joseph Hotz

18798: Does Elite Capture Matter? Local Elites and Targeted Welfare Programs in Indonesia

Vivi Alatas, Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Benjamin Olken, Ririn Purnamasari and Matthew Wai-Poi

18797: Fiscal Stability of High-Debt Nations under Volatile Economic Conditions

Robert Hall

18796: The Interwar Housing Cycle in the Light of 2001-2011: A Comparative Historical Approach

Alexander Field

18795: Behind the Scenes: Sources of Complementarity in R&D

Marco Ceccagnoli, Matthew Higgins and Vincenzo Palermo

18794: Environmental Macroeconomics: Environmental Policy, Business Cycles, and Directed Technical Change

Garth Heutel and Carolyn Fischer

18793: Limited Partner Performance and the Maturing of the Private Equity Industry

Berk A. Sensoy, Yingdi Wang and Michael Weisbach

18792: Estate Taxation with Altruism Heterogeneity

Emmanuel Farhi and Iván Werning

18791: Birthdays, Schooling, and Crime: New Evidence on the Dropout-Crime Nexus

Philip J Cook and Songman Kang

18790: Theoretical Models of Inequality Transmission across Multiple Generations

Gary Solon

18789: National Banking's Role in U.S. Industrialization, 1850-1900

Matthew Jaremski

18788: Heterogeneous Workers and International Trade

Gene Grossman

18787: Aggregating Local Preferences to Guide Marginal Policy Adjustments

Daniel Benjamin, Ori Heffetz, Miles Kimball and Nichole Szembrot

18786: The Impact of Social Networks on Labour Market Outcomes: New Evidence from Cape Breton

Adnan Q. Khan and Steven Lehrer

18785: New Evidence on the Impacts of Access to and Attending Universal Childcare in Canada

Michael J. Kottelenberg and Steven Lehrer

18784: Untangling Searchable and Experiential Quality Responses to Counterfeits

Yi Qian, Qiang Gong and Yuxin Chen

18783: The Antitrust Analysis of Multi-Sided Platform Businesses

David Evans and Richard Schmalensee

18782: Education Policy and Intergenerational Transfers in Equilibrium

Brant Abbott, Giovanni Gallipoli, Costas Meghir and Giovanni Violante

18781: Commercial Building Electricity Consumption Dynamics: The Role of Structure Quality, Human Capital, and Contract Incentives

Matthew Kahn, Nils Kok and John Quigley

18780: Attracting Talent: Location Choices of Foreign-Born PhDs in the US

Jeffrey Grogger and Gordon Hanson

18779: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers

Olivier Blanchard and Daniel Leigh

18778: Profitability of Fertilizer: Experimental Evidence from Female Rice Farmers in Mali

Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan, Bram Thuysbaert and Christopher Udry

18777: Shopping Externalities and Self-Fulfilling Unemployment Fluctuations

Greg Kaplan and Guido Menzio

18776: Do Information Technologies Improve Teenagers’ Sexual Education? Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in Colombia

Alberto Chong, Marco Gonzalez-Navarro, Dean Karlan and Martín Valdivia

18775: Multinational Firms and the Structure of International Trade

Pol Antras and Stephen Yeaple

18774: A Production-Based Model for the Term Structure

Urban Jermann

18773: Effects of Bicycle Helmet Laws on Children's Injuries

Pinka Chatterji and Sara Markowitz

18772: Long-Term Neighborhood Effects on Low-Income Families: Evidence from Moving to Opportunity

Jens Ludwig, Greg Duncan, Lisa A. Gennetian, Lawrence Katz, Ronald C. Kessler, Jeffrey Kling and Lisa Sanbonmatsu

18771: The Future of International Liquidity and the Role of China

Alan Taylor

18770: Political Centralization in Pre-Colonial Africa

Philip Osafo-Kwaako and James Robinson

18769: Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data

Michael Owyang, Valerie Ramey and Sarah Zubairy

18768: A Mean-Variance Benchmark for Intertemporal Portfolio Theory

John Cochrane

18767: Evaluating Durable Public Good Provision using Housing Prices

Stephen Coate

18766: Uncertainty as Commitment

Jaromir Nosal and Guillermo Ordonez

18765: Climatic Fluctuations and the Diffusion of Agriculture

Quamrul Ashraf and Stelios Michalopoulos

18764: It Pays to Set the Menu: Mutual Fund Investment Options in 401(k) Plans

Veronika K. Pool, Clemens Sialm and Irina Stefanescu

18763: Do Labor Market Networks Have An Important Spatial Dimension?

Judith Hellerstein, Mark Kutzbach and David Neumark

18762: Is There Evidence of a Real Estate Collateral Channel Effect on Listed Firm Investment in China?

Jing Wu, Joseph Gyourko and Yongheng Deng