NBER Working Papers

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16161: America's settling down: How Better Jobs and Falling Immigration led to a Rise in Marriage, 1880 - 1930

Tomas Cvrcek

16160: Rational Choice and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Union Representation Elections

Henry S. Farber

16159: Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics

Philippe Bacchetta, Cédric Tille and Eric van Wincoop

16158: Spillovers from Climate Policy

Stephen Holland

16157: Transitional Dynamics of Dividend and Capital Gains Tax Cuts

Francois Gourio and Jianjun Miao

16156: Going Soft: How the Rise of Software Based Innovation Led to the Decline of Japan's IT Industry and the Resurgence of Silicon Valley

Ashish Arora, Lee Branstetter and Matej Drev

16155: Medicare Part D and the Financial Protection of the Elderly

Gary V. Engelhardt and Jonathan Gruber

16154: Business Cycles, Consumption and Risk-Sharing: How Different Is China?

Chadwick Curtis and Nelson Mark

16153: Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants

Ian Martin

16152: The Effect of Civilian Casualties in Afghanistan and Iraq

Luke N. Condra, Joseph H. Felter, Radha K. Iyengar and Jacob N. Shapiro

16151: Macroeconomic Conditions and the Puzzles of Credit Spreads and Capital Structure

Hui Chen

16150: Financial Conditions Indexes: A Fresh Look after the Financial Crisis

Jan Hatzius, Peter Hooper, Frederic Mishkin, Kermit Schoenholtz and Mark Watson

16149: Understanding Overeating and Obesity

Christopher Ruhm

16148: The Child and Adult Care Food Program: Who is Served and What are Their Nutritional Outcomes?

Rachel A. Gordon, Robert Kaestner, Sanders Korenman and Kristin Abner

16147: Limiting Emissions and Trade: Some Basic Ideas

Kala Krishna

16146: Maternal Health and the Baby Boom

Stefania Albanesi and Claudia Olivetti

16145: Managing Markets for Toxic Assets

Christopher House and Yusufcan Masatlioglu

16144: Evaluating the Efficiency and Equity of Federal Fiscal Equalization

David Albouy

16143: Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data

Ruediger Bachmann, Steffen Elstner and Eric Sims

16142: The Trade Performance of Asian Economies During and Following the 2008 Financial Crisis

Jing Wang and John Whalley

16141: From Russia with Love: The Impact of Relocated Firms on Incumbent Survival

Oliver Falck, Christina Guenther, Stephan Heblich and William Kerr

16140: Lotteries in Student Assignment: An Equivalence Result

Parag Pathak and Jay Sethuraman

16139: Health and Health Insurance Trajectories of Mexicans in the US

Neeraj Kaushal and Robert Kaestner

16138: Has ICT Polarized Skill Demand? Evidence from Eleven Countries over 25 years

Guy Michaels, Ashwini Natraj and John van Reenen

16137: Suburbanization, Demographic Change and the Consequences for School Finance

David Figlio and Deborah Fletcher

16136: GHG Targets as Insurance Against Catastrophic Climate Damages

Martin Weitzman

16135: Fertility in New York State in the Civil War Era

Michael Haines and Avery M. Guest

16134: The Construction of Life Tables for the American Indian Population at the Turn of the Twentieth Century

J. David Hacker and Michael Haines

16133: Inequality and Infant and Childhood Mortality in the United States in the Twentieth Century

Michael Haines

16132: Binge Drinking & Sex in High School

Jeffrey DeSimone

16131: Urban Policy Effects on Carbon Mitigation

Matthew Kahn

16130: Some Evidence on the Importance of Sticky Wages

Alessandro Barattieri, Susanto Basu and Peter Gottschalk

16129: Dividends, Share Repurchases, and Tax Clienteles: Evidence from the 2003 Reductions in Shareholder Taxes

Jennifer Blouin, Jana Raedy and Douglas Shackelford

16128: Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices

Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi

16127: A Score Based Approach to Wild Bootstrap Inference

Patrick Kline and Andres Santos

16126: Privatization and Nationalization Cycles

Roberto Chang, Constantino Hevia and Norman Loayza

16125: Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: A Survey

Jeffrey Frankel

16124: The Performance of Alternative Monetary Regimes

Laurence Ball

16123: Interactions between State and Federal Climate Change Policies

Lawrence H. Goulder and Robert Stavins

16122: Aggregate Risk and the Choice between Cash and Lines of Credit

Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida and Murillo Campello

16121: Monitoring and Enforcement of Climate Policy

Hilary Sigman

16120: Setting the Initial Time-Profile of Climate Policy: The Economics of Environmental Policy Phase-Ins

Roberton Williams

16119: Buy coal? Deposit markets prevent carbon leakage

Bard Harstad

16118: Do Prices Determine Vertical Integration?

Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger and Andrew Newman

16117: Climate Policy and Voluntary Initiatives: An Evaluation of the Connecticut Clean Energy Communities Program

Matthew Kotchen

16116: Upstream versus Downstream Implementation of Climate Policy

Erin Mansur

16115: HIV and Fertility Revisited

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Belgi Turan

16114: Evaluating the Slow Adoption of Energy Efficient Investments: Are Renters Less Likely to Have Energy Efficient Appliances?

Lucas Davis

16113: Twins or Strangers? Differences and Similarities between Industrial and Academic Science

Henry Sauermann and Paula Stephan

16112: Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects of Medicaid Expansions on Take-up and Crowd-out

John Ham, I. Serkan Ozbeklik and Lara Shore-Sheppard

16111: Climate Policy and Labor Markets

Olivier Deschenes

16110: Building Bridges Between Structural and Program Evaluation Approaches to Evaluating Policy

James Heckman

16109: Belts and Suspenders: Interactions Among Climate Policy Regulations

Arik Levinson

16108: U.S. War Costs: Two Parts Temporary, One Part Permanent

Ryan Edwards

16107: The Political Economy of the Subprime Mortgage Credit Expansion

Atif Mian, Amir Sufi and Francesco Trebbi

16106: US Trade and Wages: The Misleading Implications of Conventional Trade Theory

Lawrence Edwards and Robert Lawrence

16105: Do Developed and Developing Countries Compete Head to Head in High-tech?

Lawrence Edwards and Robert Lawrence

16104: Markets for Anthropogenic Carbon Within the Larger Carbon Cycle

Severin Borenstein

16103: International Business Cycle Synchronization in Historical Perspective

Michael Bordo and Thomas F. Helbling

16102: Do Consumer Price Subsidies Really Improve Nutrition?

Robert T. Jensen and Nolan H. Miller

16101: Distributional Impacts in a Comprehensive Climate Policy Package

Gilbert Metcalf, Aparna Mathur and Kevin Hassett

16100: How Can Policy Encourage Economically Sensible Climate Adaptation?

V. Smith

16099: Incorporating Employee Heterogeneity into Default Rules for Retirement Plan Selection

Gopi Goda and Colleen Flaherty Manchester

16098: Nominal Rigidities and Retail Price Dispersion in Canada over the Twentieth Century

Ross Hickey and David Jacks

16097: Income Inequality, the Median Voter, and the Support for Public Education

Sean Corcoran and William Evans

16096: Assessing the Incidence and Efficiency of a Prominent Place Based Policy

Matias Busso, Jesse Gregory and Patrick Kline

16095: Optimal Monetary Stabilization Policy

Michael Woodford

16094: The Dynamics of Optimal Risk Sharing

Patrick Bolton and Christopher Harris

16093: The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Johannes Wieland

16092: Monetary Theory from a Chinese Historical Perspective

Zheng Xueyi, Yaguang Zhang and John Whalley

16091: Overborrowing, Financial Crises and 'Macro-prudential' Taxes

Javier Bianchi and Enrique Mendoza

16090: The Potential Global and Developing Country Impacts of Alternative Emission Cuts and Accompanying Mechanisms for the Post Copenhagen Process

Huifang Tian and John Whalley

16089: Is it Live or is it Internet? Experimental Estimates of the Effects of Online Instruction on Student Learning

David Figlio, Mark Rush and Lu Yin

16088: Trends in World Inequality in Life Span Since 1970

Ryan Edwards

16087: Understanding Policy in the Great Recession: Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic

John Cochrane

16086: States in Fiscal Distress

Robert P. Inman

16085: Competing for Attention in Financial Markets

Bruce Ian Carlin, Shaun William Davies and Andrew Miles Iannaccone

16084: Are Free Trade Agreements Contagious?

Richard Baldwin and Dany Jaimovich

16083: Social Structure and Development: A Legacy of the Holocaust in Russia

Daron Acemoglu, Tarek Hassan and James Robinson

16082: Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings

Daron Acemoglu and David Autor

16081: Do Sticky Prices Increase Real Exchange Rate Volatility at the Sector Level?

Mario Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani and Takayuki Tsuruga

16080: Adverse Selection, Reputation and Sudden Collapses in Secondary Loan Markets

Varadarajan Chari, Ali Shourideh and Ariel Zetlin-Jones

16079: Do Global Banks Spread Global Imbalances? The Case of Asset-Backed Commercial Paper During the Financial Crisis of 2007-09

Viral Acharya and Philipp Schnabl

16078: Scaling the Digital Divide: Home Computer Technology and Student Achievement

Jacob Vigdor and Helen Ladd

16077: The Effect of Hospital Nurse Staffing on Patient Health Outcomes: Evidence from California's Minimum Staffing Regulation

Andrew Cook, Martin Gaynor, Melvin Stephens and Lowell Taylor

16076: Income and the Utilization of Long-Term Care Services: Evidence from the Social Security Benefit Notch

Gopi Goda, Ezra Golberstein and David C. Grabowski

16075: Measuring Business Cycles by Saving for a Rainy Day

Mario Crucini and Mototsugu Shintani

16074: DSGE Models for Monetary Policy Analysis

Lawrence Christiano, Mathias Trabandt and Karl Walentin

16073: Composition of Wealth, Conditioning Information, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Nikolai Roussanov

16072: Effects of Welfare Reform on Illicit Drug Use of Adult Women

Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave, Nancy E. Reichman and Dhiman Das

16071: Business Cycles With A Common Trend in Neutral and Investment-Specific Productivity

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

16070: School accountability and teacher mobility

Li Feng, David Figlio and Tim Sass

16069: Evaluating the Effects of Large Scale Health Interventions in Developing Countries: The Zambian Malaria Initiative

Nava Ashraf, Günther Fink and David Weil

16068: Neglected Risks, Financial Innovation, and Financial Fragility

Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny

16067: Oil, Automobiles, and the U.S. Economy: How Much have Things Really Changed?

Valerie Ramey and Daniel J. Vine

16066: Recessions, Reeling Markets, and Retiree Well-Being

Courtney Coile and Phillip Levine

16065: In Search of Real Rigidities

Gita Gopinath and Oleg Itskhoki

16064: The GED

James Heckman, John Humphries and Nicholas S. Mader

16063: Risk Aversion and Wealth: Evidence from Person-to-Person Lending Portfolios

Daniel Paravisini, Veronica Rappoport and Enrichetta Ravina

16062: Field Experiments in Labor Economics

John List and Imran Rasul