Credit Card Entrepreneurs

Ufuk Akcigit, Raman Singh Chhina, Seyit Cilasun (), Javier Miranda and Nicolas Serrano-Velarde

No 33618, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Beginning in January 2021, over less than two years, credit card usage by small U.S. businesses nearly doubled, interest payments rose by 60%, and delinquencies reached 2.8%. In this paper, we utilize near real-time QuickBooks data from over 1.6 million small businesses and a targeted survey to highlight the critical role that credit card financing plays in small business activity. We find, first, monthly credit card payments were up to three times higher than loan payments during this time. Second, we use targeted surveys of these small businesses to establish credit cards as a key financing source in response to firm-level shocks, such as uncertain cash flows and overdue invoices. Third, we highlight the critical role of credit cards as a key financial transmission mechanism. Following the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes in early 2022, banks cut credit card supply, leading to a 15.75% drop in balances and a 10% decline in revenue growth, as well as a 1.5% decrease in employment growth among U.S. small businesses. These higher rates also rendered interest payments unsustainable for many, contributing to half of the observed increase in delinquencies. Lastly, a simple heterogeneous firm model with a cash-in-hand constraint illustrates the significant macroeconomic impact of credit card financing on small business activity.

JEL-codes: G3 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-03
Note: CF EFG
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Working Paper: Credit Card Entrepreneurs (2025)
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