Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?

Jeffrey Frankel

No 15419, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: By putting together a relatively large data set on bilateral remittances of emigrants, this paper is able to shed light on the important hypothesis of smoothing. The smoothing hypothesis is that remittances are countercyclical with respect to income in the worker's country of origin (the recipient of the remittance), while procyclical with respect to income in the migrant's host country (the sender of the remittance). The econometric results confirm the hypothesis. This affirmation of smoothing is important for two reasons. First, it suggests that remittances should be placed on the list of criteria for an optimum currency area. Second, it sheds light on plans by governments in some developing countries to harness remittances for their own use, in that government spending in these countries generally fails the test of countercyclicality that remittances pass.

JEL-codes: F24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig
Note: IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)

Published as Jeffrey Frankel, 2011. "Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-16, February.

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Related works:
Journal Article: Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical? (2011)
Working Paper: Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical? (2011)
Working Paper: Are Bilateral Remittances Countercylical? (2010)
Working Paper: Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical? (2010)
Working Paper: Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical? (2009)
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