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Details about Jeffrey Alexander Frankel

Homepage:http://scholar.harvard.edu/frankel
Postal address:Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University, 79 JFK Street Cambridge MA 02138-5801
Workplace:Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)
Center for International Development, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)
Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Jeffrey Alexander Frankel.

Last updated 2023-05-08. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pfr12


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Working Papers

2024

  1. The Dollar versus the Euro as International Reserve Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2023

  1. Dollar Rivals
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  2. Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University Downloads

2021

  1. The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)

2019

  1. Should the Fed Be Constrained?
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads

2018

  1. Introduction
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
  2. Rethinking the macroeconomics of resource-rich countries
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (7)

2017

  1. Does It Matter If Statistical Agencies Frame the Month’s CPI Reporton a 1-Month or 12-month Basis?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2016) Downloads
  2. How to Cope with Volatile Commodity Export Prices: Four Proposals
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2017) Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Systematic Managed Floating
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2017) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Systematic Managed Floating, Open Economies Review, Springer (2019) Downloads View citations (21) (2019)
    Chapter Systematic Managed Floating, World Scientific Book Chapters, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. (2021) Downloads (2021)
  4. The Currency-Plus-Commodity Basket: A Proposal for Exchange Rates in Oil-exporting Countries to Accommodate Trade Shocks Automatically
    Working Papers, Economic Research Forum Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2017) Downloads View citations (8)

2016

  1. Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2016) Downloads View citations (14)
  2. Globalization and Chinese Growth: Ends of Trends?
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (9)
  3. International Coordination
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2016) Downloads View citations (10)

2015

  1. Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Nominal GDP targeting for developing countries, Research in Economics, Elsevier (2017) Downloads View citations (9) (2017)
  2. The Euro Crisis: Where to From Here?
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article The euro crisis: Where to from here?, Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier (2015) Downloads View citations (13) (2015)
  3. The Plaza Accord, 30 Years Later
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2015) Downloads View citations (2)

2014

  1. Nominal GDP Targeting for Middle-Income Countries
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Nominal GDP Targeting for Middle-Income Countries, Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (2014) Downloads View citations (12) (2014)
  2. The Best of Rules and Discretion: A Case for Nominal GDP Targeting in India
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University Downloads View citations (2)

2013

  1. Effects of Speculation and Interest Rates in a "Carry Trade" Model of Commodity Prices
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (15)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2013) Downloads View citations (13)

    See also Journal Article Effects of speculation and interest rates in a “carry trade” model of commodity prices, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2014) Downloads View citations (53) (2014)
  2. National Security Warrants Slowing Domestic Oil Depletion, Not Accelerating It
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads
  3. Over-optimistic Official Forecasts and Fiscal Rules in the Eurozone
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (83)
    Also in Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar Downloads View citations (58)
    Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar Downloads View citations (58)

    See also Journal Article Over-optimistic official forecasts and fiscal rules in the eurozone, Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer (2013) Downloads View citations (86) (2013)
  4. The Future of the Currency Union
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (2)

2012

  1. Can Leading Indicators Assess Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (269)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (11)
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article Can leading indicators assess country vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008–09 global financial crisis, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2012) Downloads View citations (238) (2012)
  2. Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (41)
    See also Journal Article Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents, Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University (2012) Downloads View citations (41) (2012)
  3. Mauritius: African Success Story
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) Downloads View citations (18)
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (18)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (18)

    See also Chapter Mauritius: African Success Story, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2014) Downloads View citations (3) (2014)
  4. On Graduation from Fiscal Procyclicality
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (13)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) Downloads View citations (46)
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2012) Downloads View citations (13)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2012) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article On graduation from fiscal procyclicality, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2013) Downloads View citations (261) (2013)
  5. Over-Optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) Downloads View citations (11)
  6. Politically Feasible Emissions Targets to Attain 460 ppm CO2 Concentrations
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2011) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Politically Feasible Emissions Targets to Attain 460 ppm CO 2 Concentrations, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists (2012) Downloads View citations (7) (2012)
  7. Slow Pass-through Around the World: A New Import for Developing Countries?
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (72)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (191)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2005) Downloads View citations (201)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2005) Downloads View citations (96)

    See also Journal Article Slow Pass-through Around the World: A New Import for Developing Countries?, Open Economies Review, Springer (2012) Downloads View citations (84) (2012)
  8. Sustainable Cooperation in Global Climate Policy: Specific Formulas and Emission Targets
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2012) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article SUSTAINABLE COOPERATION IN GLOBAL CLIMATE POLICY: SPECIFIC FORMULAS AND EMISSION TARGETS, Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. (2014) Downloads (2014)
  9. The Natural Resource Curse: A Survey of Diagnoses and Some Prescriptions
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (168)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2012) Downloads View citations (159)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2012) Downloads View citations (151)
  10. What Small Countries Can Teach the World
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2012) Downloads View citations (3)
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2012) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article What Small Countries Can Teach the World, Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan (2012) Downloads View citations (3) (2012)

2011

  1. A Comparison of Product Price Targeting and Other Monetary Anchor Options for Commodity Exporters in Latin America
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (22)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (22)
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (22)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2011) Downloads View citations (23)

    See also Journal Article A Comparison Of Product Price Targeting And Other Monetary Anchor Options, For Commodity Exporters In Latin America, Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA (2011) Downloads View citations (23) (2011)
  2. A Lesson From the South for Fiscal Policy in the US and Other Advanced Countries
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads

    See also Journal Article A Lesson from the South for Fiscal Policy in the US and Other Advanced Countries, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2011) Downloads (2011)
  3. A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (65)
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads View citations (66)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2011) Downloads View citations (65)

    See also Journal Article A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: the Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile, Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads View citations (64) (2011)
    Chapter A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2013) Downloads View citations (11) (2013)
  4. A Solution to Overoptimistic Forecasts and Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (60)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (39)
  5. Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (88)
    Also in CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2009) Downloads View citations (24)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (5)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) Downloads View citations (25)
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?, Open Economies Review, Springer (2011) Downloads View citations (86) (2011)
  6. How Can Commodity Exporters Make Fiscal and Monetary Policy Less Procyclical?
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (36)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (30)
  7. Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: A Survey
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2011) Downloads View citations (12)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (19)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) Downloads View citations (66)
  8. Over-optimism in Forecasts by Official Budget Agencies and Its Implications
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (117)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2011) Downloads View citations (110)

    See also Journal Article Over-optimism in forecasts by official budget agencies and its implications, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (2011) Downloads View citations (111) (2011)
  9. Politically Feasible Emission Target Formulas to Attain 460 ppm CO2 Concentrations
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (5)
  10. Politically Feasible Emission Target Formulas to Attain 460 ppm CO[subscript 2] Concentrations
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (4)
  11. Sustainable Cooperation in Global Climate Policy: Specific Formulas and Emission Targets to Build on Copenhagen and Cancun
    Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2011) Downloads View citations (6)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) Downloads View citations (6)
  12. Sustainable Cooperation in Global Climate Policy: Specific Formulas and Emission Targets to Build on Copenhagen and Cancun Abstract: We offer a framework to assign quantitative allocations of emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs), across countries, one budget period at a time. Under the two-part plan: (i) China, India, and other developing countries accept targets at Business as Usual (BAU) in the coming budget period, the same period in which the US first agrees to cuts below BAU; and (ii) all countries are asked in the future to make further cuts in accordance with a common numerical formula to all. The formula is expressed as the sum of a Progressive Reductions Factor, a Latecomer Catch-up Factor, and a Gradual Equalization Factor. This paper builds on our previous work in many ways. First we update targets to reflect pledges made by governments after the Copenhagen Accord of December 2010 and confirmed at the Cancun meeting of December 2011. Second, the WITCH model, which we use to project economic and environmental effects of any given set of emission targets, has been refined and updated to reflect economic and technological developments. We include the possibility of emissions reduction from bio energy (BE), carbon capture and storage (CCS), and avoided deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+) which is an important component of pledges in several developing countries. Third, we use a Nash criterion for evaluating whether a country’s costs are too high to sustain cooperation
    Human Development Research Papers (2009 to present), Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Downloads

2010

  1. A Comparison of Monetary Anchor Options, Including Product Price Targeting, for Commodity-Exporters in Latin America
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (151)
  3. Determinants of Agricultural and Mineral Commodity Prices
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (106)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (106)

    See also Chapter Determinants of Agricultural and Mineral Commodity Prices, RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia (2010) Downloads View citations (100) (2010)
  4. Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (53)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics (2010) Downloads View citations (49)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) Downloads View citations (6)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (51)

    See also Journal Article Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2010) Downloads View citations (53) (2010)
  5. The Natural Resource Curse: A Survey
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (388)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (372)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (371)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2010) Downloads View citations (355)

2009

  1. An Elaborated Global Climate Policy Architecture: Specific Formulas and Emission Targets for All Countries in All Decades
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (17)
  2. Environmental Effects of International Trade
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (41)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2009) Downloads View citations (41)
  3. Global Climate Policy Architecture and Political Feasibility: Specific Formulas and Emission Targets to Attain 460 ppm CO2 Concentrations
    Sustainable Development Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) Downloads View citations (10)
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2009) Downloads View citations (7)
  4. New Estimation of China's Exchange Rate Regime
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (52)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article NEW ESTIMATION OF CHINA'S EXCHANGE RATE REGIME, Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell (2009) Downloads View citations (47) (2009)
  5. On Global Currencies
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2009) Downloads
  6. The Estimated Trade Effects of the Euro: Why Are They Below Those From Historical Monetary Unions Among Smaller Countries?
    Europe in Question Discussion Paper Series of the London School of Economics (LEQs), London School of Economics / European Institute Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Chapter The Estimated Trade Effects of the Euro: Why Are They Below Those from Historical Monetary Unions among Smaller Countries?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) Downloads View citations (50) (2010)
  7. The Forward Market in Emerging Currencies: Less Biased Than in Major Currencies
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2009) Downloads View citations (7)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) Downloads View citations (34)

    See also Journal Article The forward market in emerging currencies: Less biased than in major currencies, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2010) Downloads View citations (122) (2010)
  8. The estimated effects of the euro on trade: why are they below historical effects of monetary unions among smaller countries?
    LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) Downloads View citations (39)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) Downloads View citations (38)

2008

  1. Estimation of De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes: Synthesis of The Techniques for Inferring Flexibility and Basket Weights
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (101)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) Downloads View citations (102)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2008) Downloads View citations (96)

    See also Journal Article Estimation of De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes: Synthesis of the Techniques for Inferring Flexibility and Basket Weights, IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan (2008) Downloads View citations (93) (2008)
  2. Global Environmental Policy and Global Trade Policy
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (29)
  3. Should Eastern European Countries Join the Euro? A Review and Update of Trade Estimates and Consideration of Endogenous OCA Criteria
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (12)
  4. Snake-Oil Tax Cuts
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (7)
  5. The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (52)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) Downloads View citations (49)
  6. Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (79)
    See also Journal Article Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2008) Downloads View citations (81) (2008)

2007

  1. Assessing China's Exchange Rate Regime
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (74)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (40)

    See also Journal Article Assessing China's exchange rate regime, Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po (2007) Downloads View citations (30) (2007)
  2. Debt and Interest Rates: The U.S. and the Euro Area
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) Downloads View citations (7)
  3. Does Openness to Trade Make Countries More Vulnerable to Sudden Stops, or Less? Using Gravity to Establish Causality
    Research Department Publications, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2004) Downloads View citations (155)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) Downloads View citations (148)

    See also Journal Article Does openness to trade make countries more vulnerable to sudden stops, or less? Using gravity to establish causality, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (177) (2008)
  4. Formulas for Quantitative Emission Targets
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (21)
  5. On the Rand: Determinants of the South African Exchange Rate
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (35)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2007) Downloads View citations (33)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2007) Downloads View citations (31)

    See also Journal Article ON THE RAND: DETERMINANTS OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN EXCHANGE RATE, South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa (2007) Downloads View citations (33) (2007)
  6. Responding to Financial Crises
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads
  7. South Africa: Macroeconomic Challenges after a Decade of Success
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2006) Downloads View citations (4)

2006

  1. Global Imbalances and Low Interest Rates: An Equilibrium Model vs. A Disequilibrium Reality
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (10)
  2. The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (159)
    See also Chapter The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) Downloads View citations (174) (2008)
  3. Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar As Leading International Reserve Currency?
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (89)
    Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, Working Paper Series, Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, UC Santa Cruz (2005) Downloads View citations (78)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2005) Downloads View citations (82)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2006) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Chapter Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) Downloads View citations (84) (2007)

2005

  1. Contractionary Currency Crashes In Developing Countries
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (142)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (150)
    CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2005) Downloads View citations (139)
  2. On the Renminbi: The Choice between Adjustment under a Fixed Exchange Rate and Adjustment under a Flexible Rate
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (82)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2004) Downloads View citations (55)

2004

  1. Kyoto and Geneva: Linkage of the Climate Change Regime and the Trade Regime
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Managing Macroeconomic Crises
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (64)
  3. Real Convergence and Euro Adoption in Central and Eastern Europe: Trade and Business Cycle Correlations as Endogenous Criteria for Joining EMU
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (28)

2003

  1. A Proposed Monetary Regime for Small Commodity-Exporters: Peg the Export Price ("PEP")
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (42)
    See also Journal Article A Proposed Monetary Regime for Small Commodity Exporters: Peg the Export Price (‘PEP’), International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2003) Downloads View citations (40) (2003)
  2. Experience of and Lessons from Exchange Rate Regime in Emerging Economies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (49)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2003) Downloads View citations (78)
  3. Is Trade Good or Bad for the Environment? Sorting Out the Causality
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002) Downloads View citations (52)

    See also Journal Article Is Trade Good or Bad for the Environment? Sorting Out the Causality, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2005) Downloads View citations (456) (2005)
  4. National Institutions and the Role of the IMF
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (5)
  5. The Environment and Globalization
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (34)
  6. The Euro Area and World Interest Rates
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (29)
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (29)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (29)

2002

  1. Global Transmission of Interest Rates: Monetary Independence and Currency Regime
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (42)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2000) Downloads View citations (19)

    See also Journal Article Global transmission of interest rates: monetary independence and currency regime, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2004) Downloads View citations (234) (2004)
  2. The Role of Industrial Country Policies in Emerging Market Crises
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government View citations (4)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001) Downloads View citations (41)

2001

  1. American Economic Policy in the 1990's
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads
  2. An Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article An Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (2002) Downloads View citations (642) (2002)
  3. Assessing the Efficiency Gains from Further Liberalization
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads View citations (3)

2000

  1. An Estimate of the Effect of Currency Unions on Trade and Output
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (72)
  2. Estimating the Effect of Currency Unions on Trade and Output
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (135)
  3. Globalization of the Economy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (35)
  4. Verifiability and the Vanishing Intermediate Exchange Rate Regime
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (63)
  5. Verifying exchange rate regimes
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article Verifying exchange rate regimes, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2001) Downloads View citations (70) (2001)

1999

  1. No Single Currency Regime is Right for All Countries or At All Times
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (505)

1998

  1. Country Funds and Asymmetric Information
    International Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (1998) Downloads View citations (5)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1997) View citations (11)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1997) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article Country Funds and Asymmetric Information, International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2000) Downloads View citations (47) (2000)
  2. Open Regionalism in a World of Continental Trade Blocs
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (64)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1995) Downloads View citations (18)

    See also Journal Article Open Regionalism in a World of Continental Trade Blocs, IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan (1998) Downloads View citations (64) (1998)

1997

  1. Economic Structure and the Decision to Adopt a Common Currency
    Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1996) Downloads View citations (34)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (35)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1996) Downloads View citations (32)
    Working Papers, Stockholm - International Economic Studies (1996) View citations (28)

1996

  1. ASEAN in a Regional Perspective
    Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (25)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (25)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1996) View citations (27)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1996) Downloads View citations (25)
  2. Country Fund Discounts, Asymmetric Information and the Mexican Crisis of 1994: Did Local Residents Turn Pessimistic Before International Investors?
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (80)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (40)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1996) Downloads View citations (70)
  3. Country fund discounts and the Mexican crisis of December 1994: did local residents turn pessimistic before international investors?
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Country fund discounts and the mexican crisis of December 1994: Did local residents turn pessimistic before international investors?, Open Economies Review, Springer (1996) Downloads View citations (82) (1996)
  4. Crisis, contagion, and country funds: effects on East Asia and Latin America
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (29)
    See also Journal Article Crisis, contagion, and country funds: effects on East Asia and Latin America, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1996) View citations (21) (1996)
  5. Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets: Empirical Indicators
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (570)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (566)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1996) Downloads View citations (445)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1996) Downloads View citations (571)
  6. Currency crashes in emerging markets: an empirical treatment
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (998)
    See also Journal Article Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (1996) Downloads View citations (1103) (1996)
  7. How Well do Foreign Exchange Markets Function: Might a Tobin Tax Help?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (45)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1995) View citations (13)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1995) Downloads View citations (15)
  8. On the SDR: Reserve Currencies and the Future of the International Monetary System
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (39)
  9. REcent Exchange Rate Experience and Proposals for Reform
    Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (17)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (17)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1996) Downloads View citations (18)

    See also Journal Article Recent Exchange-Rate Experience and Proposals for Reform, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1996) Downloads View citations (20) (1996)
  10. Regional Trading Arrangement: Natural or Super-Natural?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (29)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1996) Downloads View citations (26)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (58)

    See also Journal Article Regional Trading Arrangements: Natural or Supernatural, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1996) Downloads View citations (87) (1996)
  11. Regional Trading Arrangements
    Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (82)
  12. The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (126)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1996) Downloads View citations (138)

    See also Journal Article The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (1998) View citations (1296) (1998)
  13. The World Over the Next Twenty-five Years: Global Trade Liberalization, and the Relative Growth of Different Regions
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1996) View citations (3)
  14. Trade and Growth in East Asian Countries: Cause and Effect?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (61)
    Also in Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1995) View citations (8)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1995) View citations (8)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1995) Downloads View citations (8)
  15. Trade and Growth: An Empirical Investigation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (106)

1995

  1. A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion Within and Between Countries
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (74)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1995) Downloads View citations (76)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1995) View citations (84)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1995) Downloads View citations (70)

    See also Journal Article A panel project on purchasing power parity: Mean reversion within and between countries, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (1996) Downloads View citations (438) (1996)
  2. A Proposal to Introduce the ECU First in the East
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1995) View citations (1)
  3. A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (168)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1995) Downloads View citations (92)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994) Downloads View citations (46)
  4. European Integration and the Regionalization of World Trade and Currencies: The Economics and the Politics
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (31)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1995) Downloads View citations (24)
  5. Liberalized Portfolio Capital Inflows in Emerging Capital Markets: Sterilization, Expectations, and the Incompleteness of Interest Rate Convergence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)
  6. Liberalized Portfolio Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets: Sterilization, Expectations, and the Incompleteness of Interest Rate Convergence
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (21)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1995) View citations (25)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1995) View citations (20)

    See also Journal Article Liberalized Portfolio Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets: Sterilization, Expectations, and the Incompleteness of Interest Rate Convergence, International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1996) Downloads View citations (46) (1996)
  7. More survey data on exchange rate expectations: More currencies, more horizons, more tests
    International Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (4)
  8. The new regionalism and Asia: impact and options
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (8)
  9. The relative influence of US and Japan on real interest rates around the Pacific Rim
    International Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (3)
  10. Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the US or Japan?
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (80)
    See also Journal Article Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the USA or Japan?, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (1995) Downloads View citations (90) (1995)

1994

  1. A Two-Country Analysis of International Targeting of Nominal GNP
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1994) View citations (6)
  2. APEC and other regional economic arrangements in the Pacific
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
  3. Monetary Regime Choices for a Semi-Open Country
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1994) View citations (6)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1993) View citations (1)
  4. Sterilization of Money Inflows: Difficult (Calvo) or Easy (Reisen)?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (33)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads View citations (15)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (19)

    See also Journal Article Sterilization of money inflows: Difficult (Calvo) or Easy (Reisen)?, Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics (1997) Downloads View citations (8) (1997)
  5. The Internalization of Equity Markets: Introduction
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (4)
  6. The Internationalization of Equity Markets: Introduction
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (33)
  7. The welfare implications of continental trading blocs in a model with transport costs
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (6)
  8. Trading Blocs: The Natural, the Unnatural, and the Super-Natural
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (24)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1994) Downloads View citations (25)

1993

  1. Continental Trading Blocs: Are They Natural, or Super-Natural?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (53)
    See also Chapter Continental Trading Blocs: Are They Natural or Supernatural?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998) Downloads View citations (87) (1998)
  2. Emerging Currency Blocs
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (25)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (39)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993) Downloads View citations (134)
  3. Financial Links around the Pacific Rim: 1982-1992
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (19)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (6)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1993) View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Financial links around the Pacific Rim, 1982-1992, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1992) View citations (3) (1992)
  4. Foreign Exchange Policy, Monetary Policy and Capital Market Liberalization in Korea
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (10)
  5. Is Japan Creating a Yen Bloc in East Asia and the Pacific?
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (97)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1992) Downloads View citations (38)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1992) View citations (31)
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads View citations (102)

    See also Chapter Is Japan Creating a Yen Bloc in East Asia and the Pacific?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993) Downloads View citations (94) (1993)
  6. Is There a Currency Bloc in the Pacific?
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (22)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads View citations (29)

    See also Chapter Is there a Currency Bloc in the Pacific?, RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia (1993) Downloads View citations (26) (1993)
  7. Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for 25 Currencies
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (12)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads View citations (19)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1991) Downloads View citations (10)
  8. Recent Changes in the Financial Systems of Asian and Pacific Countries
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads

    See also Chapter Recent Changes in the Financial Systems of Asian and Pacific Countries, Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan (1995) (1995)
  9. The Constrained Asset Share Estimation (CASE) Method: Testing Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1990) View citations (2)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1990) Downloads View citations (1)
  10. The Internationalization of Equity Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Book The Internationalization of Equity Markets, NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994) View citations (50) (1994)
  11. Three Comments on Exchange Rate Stabilization and European Monetary Union
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (23)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (11)

1992

  1. Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Matter? Disentangling the Portfolio and Expectations Effects
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1992) Downloads View citations (8)
  2. Financial and Currency Integration in the European Monetary System: The Statistical Record
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (30)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1992) Downloads View citations (17)
  3. Liberalization of Korea's foreign exchange markets
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (6)
  4. The Evolving Japanese Financial System, and the Cost of Capital
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California-Berkeley, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1992) Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc: Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies
    Working Papers, University of Birmingham - International Financial Group View citations (62)
    Also in Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1992) View citations (18)

    See also Chapter Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc? Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994) Downloads View citations (237) (1994)

1991

  1. A Note on Internationally Coordinated Policy Packages Intended to Be Robust Under Model Uncertainty or Policy Cooperation Under Uncertainty: The Case for Some Disappointment
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1991)
  2. A Note on Internationally Coordinated Policy Packages Intended to be Robust Under Model Uncertainty
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  3. An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted From the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Research Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1991) View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted from the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1994) Downloads View citations (54) (1994)
  4. Are Option-Implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Convertability and the Czech Crown
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1991)
  6. Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests For a Cross- Section of 17 Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests for a Cross Section of 17 Currencies, Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell (1993) View citations (57) (1993)
  7. Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (1)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) Downloads View citations (55)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1991) Downloads View citations (5)
  8. On the dollar and the yen
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
  9. The European Monetary System: Credible at Last?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article The European Monetary System: Credible at Last?, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (1992) Downloads View citations (17) (1992)
  10. The Making of Exchange Rate Policy in the 1980s
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (2)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) Downloads View citations (3)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1991) Downloads View citations (2)
  11. The Obstacles to Macroeconomic Policy Coordination in the 1990s and an Analysis of International Nominal Targeting (INT)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1991) View citations (2)
  12. The Stabilizing Properties of a Nominal GNP Rule in an Open Economy
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1991) Downloads View citations (7)
  13. The cost of capital in Japan: a survey
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

1990

  1. And Now Won/Dollar Negotiations? Lessons From the Yen/Dollar Agreement of l984
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1990) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Matter? Disentangling the Portfolio an Expectations Effects for the Mark
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (24)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) Downloads View citations (20)
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1990) View citations (17)

    See also Journal Article Does foreign exchange intervention matter? disentangling the portfolio and expectations effects for the mark, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1991) View citations (2) (1991)
  3. International Nominal Targeting (INT): A Proposal for Overcoming Obstacles to Policy Coordination
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1990) View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article International nominal targeting (INT): a proposal for overcoming obstacles to policy coordination, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1990) View citations (1) (1990)
  4. Japanese Finance: A Survey
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) Downloads View citations (1)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1990) Downloads

1989

  1. A MODEST PROPOSAL FOR INTERNATIONAL NOMINAL TARGETING (INT)
    Working Papers, Harvard - J.F. Kennedy School of Government View citations (2)
  2. Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Research Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1989) View citations (3)
  3. INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MOBILITY AND EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
    Working Papers, Harvard - J.F. Kennedy School of Government
    See also Journal Article International capital mobility and exchange rate volatility, Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (1988) Downloads View citations (5) (1988)
  4. Obstacles to Coordination, and a Consideration of Two Proposals to Overcome Them
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Quantifying International Capital Mobility in the 1980s
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (73)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1989) Downloads View citations (25)

    See also Chapter Quantifying International Capital Mobility in the 1980s, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1991) Downloads View citations (67) (1991)

1988

  1. Factors Determining the Flow of Capital From Japan to the United States
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (2)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1988) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Forward Discount Bias: Is It an Exchange Risk Premium?
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1988) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Forward Discount Bias: Is it an Exchange Risk Premium?, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1989) Downloads View citations (362) (1989)
  3. Obstacles to International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (28)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads View citations (3)
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1987) View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article Obstacles to International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination*, Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press (1988) Downloads View citations (25) (1988)
  4. Recent Estimates of Time-Variation in the Conditional Variance and in the Exchange Risk Premium
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (22)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) Downloads View citations (15)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1988) Downloads View citations (23)

    See also Journal Article Recent estimates of time-variation in the conditional variance and in the exchange risk premium, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (1988) Downloads View citations (24) (1988)
  5. The Flexible Exchange Rate System: Experience and Alternatives
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (20)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) Downloads View citations (31)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1988) Downloads View citations (18)

    See also Chapter The Flexible Exchange Rate System: Experience and Alternatives, International Economic Association Series, Palgrave Macmillan (1988) View citations (19) (1988)

1987

  1. Are Exchange Rates Excessively Variable
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (66)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads View citations (62)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) Downloads View citations (62)

    See also Chapter Are Exchange Rates Excessively Variable?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) Downloads View citations (62) (1987)
  2. Credibility, the Optimal Speed of Trade Liberalization, Real Interest Rates, and the Latin American Debt
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (3)
  3. International Capital Flows and Domestic Economic Policies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1987) View citations (3)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Chapter International Capital Flows and Domestic Economic Policies, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) Downloads View citations (5) (1988)
  4. International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination When Policy-Makers Disagree on the Model
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (3)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads View citations (1)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) Downloads View citations (6)
  5. Monetary and Portfolio Balance Models of Exchange Rate Determination
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (20)
  6. Political vs. Currency Premia in International Real Estate Differentials: A Study of Forward Rates for 24 Countries
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (3)
  7. Political vs. Currency Premia in International Real Interest Differentials: A Study of Forward Rates for 24 Countries
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1987) View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article Political vs. currency premia in international real interest differentials: A study of forward rates for 24 countries, European Economic Review, Elsevier (1988) Downloads View citations (64) (1988)
  8. Regression vs. Volatility Tests of the Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (4)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article Regression vs. volatility tests of the efficiency of foreign exchange markets, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (1987) Downloads View citations (3) (1987)
  9. Short-term and Long-Term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (58)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1986) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article Short-term and long-term expectations of the yen/dollar exchange rate: Evidence from survey data, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier (1987) Downloads View citations (65) (1987)
  10. The Impact of U.S. Economic Policies on a Commodity-Exporting Debtor: The Case of Thailand
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (1)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads View citations (1)
  11. The Sources of Disagreement Among International Macro Models, and Implications for Policy Coordination
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) Downloads View citations (4)
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1987) Downloads
  12. exchange rate determination, asset market approach
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads

1986

  1. Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (8)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1986) Downloads View citations (6)
  2. International Capital Mobility in Developing Countries vs. Industrial Countries: What do Saving-Investment Correlations Tell Us?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (14)
  3. Interpreting Tests of Forward Discount Bias Using Survey Data on Exchange Rate Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (19)
  4. The Desirability of a Currency Depreciation, Given a Contractionary Monetary Policy and Concave Supply Relationships
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley Downloads
  5. The Desirability of a Currency Depreciation, Given a Contradictory Monetary Policy and the Concave Supply Relationships
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads
  6. The Dollar as Speculative Bubble: A Tale of Fundamentalists and Chartists
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (45)
  7. Three Essays Using Survey Data on Exchange Rate Expectations
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1986) Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Using Survey Data to Explain Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley
    Also in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (1986) Downloads View citations (3)
  9. Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1987) Downloads View citations (495) (1987)

1985

  1. International Capital Mobility and Crowding Out in the U.S. Economy: Imperfect Integration of Financial Markets or of Goods Markets?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (67)
    See also Journal Article International capital mobility and crowding-out in the U.S. economy: imperfect integration of financial markets or of goods markets?, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1985) View citations (56) (1985)
  2. The Implications of Mean-Variance Optimization for Four Questions in International Macroeconomics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article The implications of mean-variance optimization for four questions in international macroeconomics, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (1986) Downloads View citations (24) (1986)
  3. Using Survey Data to Test Some Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (229)

1983

  1. A Relationship Between Regression Tests and Volatility Tests of Market ncy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  2. A Test of Portfolio Crowding-Out and Related Issues in Finance
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Are Asset Demand Functions Determined by CAPM?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Research Program in Finance Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1983) View citations (3)
  4. Commodity Prices, Overshooting, Money Surprises, and Fed Credibility
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  5. The Desirability of a Dollar Appreciation, Given a Contractionary U.S. Monetary Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)

1982

  1. Do Asset-Demand Functions Optimize over the Mean and Variance of Real Returns? A Six-Currency Test
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Do asset-demand functions optimize over the mean and variance of real returns? A six-currency test, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (1984) Downloads View citations (76) (1984)
  2. Why Money Announcements Move Interest Rates: An Answer from the Foreign Exchange Market
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article Why money announcements move interest rates: an answer from the foreign exchange market, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1982) View citations (9) (1982)

1981

  1. Estimation of portfolio-balance functions that are mean-variance optimizing: the mark and the dollar
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Estimation of portfolio-balance functions that are mean-variance optimizing: The mark and the dollar, European Economic Review, Elsevier (1983) Downloads View citations (9) (1983)

1979

  1. A technique for extracting a measure of expected inflation from the interest rate term structure
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads
    See also Journal Article A Technique for Extracting a Measure of Expected Inflation from the Interest Rate Term Structure, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1982) Downloads View citations (18) (1982)
  2. A test of the existence of the risk premium in the foreign exchange market vs. the hypothesis of perfect substitutability
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2019

  1. Systematic Managed Floating
    Open Economies Review, 2019, 30, (2), 255-295 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Chapter Systematic Managed Floating, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2021, 160-221 (2021) Downloads (2021)
    Working Paper Systematic Managed Floating, NBER Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)

2017

  1. Nominal GDP targeting for developing countries
    Research in Economics, 2017, 71, (3), 491-506 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries, NBER Working Papers (2015) Downloads View citations (7) (2015)

2015

  1. China Is Not yet Number One
    Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, 2015, 10, (1), 1-6 Downloads
  2. The euro crisis: Where to from here?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2015, 37, (3), 428-444 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper The Euro Crisis: Where to From Here?, Working Paper Series (2015) Downloads View citations (13) (2015)

2014

  1. Effects of speculation and interest rates in a “carry trade” model of commodity prices
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2014, 42, (C), 88-112 Downloads View citations (53)
    See also Working Paper Effects of Speculation and Interest Rates in a "Carry Trade" Model of Commodity Prices, NBER Working Papers (2013) Downloads View citations (15) (2013)
  2. Nominal GDP Targeting for Middle-Income Countries
    Central Bank Review, 2014, 14, (3), 1-14 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Nominal GDP Targeting for Middle-Income Countries, Working Paper Series (2014) Downloads View citations (12) (2014)
  3. SUSTAINABLE COOPERATION IN GLOBAL CLIMATE POLICY: SPECIFIC FORMULAS AND EMISSION TARGETS
    Climate Change Economics (CCE), 2014, 05, (03), 1-34 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Sustainable Cooperation in Global Climate Policy: Specific Formulas and Emission Targets, Working Paper Series (2012) Downloads View citations (6) (2012)

2013

  1. On graduation from fiscal procyclicality
    Journal of Development Economics, 2013, 100, (1), 32-47 Downloads View citations (261)
    See also Working Paper On Graduation from Fiscal Procyclicality, Working Paper Series (2012) Downloads View citations (13) (2012)
  2. Over-optimistic official forecasts and fiscal rules in the eurozone
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2013, 149, (2), 247-272 Downloads View citations (86)
    See also Working Paper Over-optimistic Official Forecasts and Fiscal Rules in the Eurozone, Scholarly Articles (2013) Downloads View citations (83) (2013)

2012

  1. Can leading indicators assess country vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008–09 global financial crisis
    Journal of International Economics, 2012, 87, (2), 216-231 Downloads View citations (238)
    See also Working Paper Can Leading Indicators Assess Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis, Scholarly Articles (2012) Downloads View citations (269) (2012)
  2. Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents
    Journal of Economic Integration, 2012, 27, 329-365 Downloads View citations (41)
    See also Working Paper Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents, Scholarly Articles (2012) Downloads View citations (41) (2012)
  3. Introduction
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2012, 8, (1), 1 - 7 Downloads
  4. Politically Feasible Emissions Targets to Attain 460 ppm CO 2 Concentrations
    Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2012, 6, (1), 86-109 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Politically Feasible Emissions Targets to Attain 460 ppm CO2 Concentrations, Scholarly Articles (2012) Downloads View citations (8) (2012)
  5. Slow Pass-through Around the World: A New Import for Developing Countries?
    Open Economies Review, 2012, 23, (2), 213-251 Downloads View citations (84)
    See also Working Paper Slow Pass-through Around the World: A New Import for Developing Countries?, Scholarly Articles (2012) Downloads View citations (72) (2012)
  6. What Small Countries Can Teach the World
    Business Economics, 2012, 47, (2), 97-103 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper What Small Countries Can Teach the World, Working Paper Series (2012) Downloads View citations (3) (2012)

2011

  1. A Comparison Of Product Price Targeting And Other Monetary Anchor Options, For Commodity Exporters In Latin America
    Economía Journal, 2011, Volume 12 Number 1, (Fall 2011), 1-70 Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper A Comparison of Product Price Targeting and Other Monetary Anchor Options for Commodity Exporters in Latin America, Scholarly Articles (2011) Downloads View citations (22) (2011)
  2. A Lesson from the South for Fiscal Policy in the US and Other Advanced Countries
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2011, 53, (3), 407-430 Downloads
    See also Working Paper A Lesson From the South for Fiscal Policy in the US and Other Advanced Countries, Scholarly Articles (2011) Downloads (2011)
  3. A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: the Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile
    Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2011, 14, (2), 39-78 Downloads View citations (64)
    See also Chapter A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, 2013, 17, 323-391 (2013) Downloads View citations (11) (2013)
    Working Paper A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile, NBER Working Papers (2011) Downloads View citations (65) (2011)
  4. Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?
    Open Economies Review, 2011, 22, (1), 1-16 Downloads View citations (86)
    See also Working Paper Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?, Scholarly Articles (2011) Downloads View citations (88) (2011)
  5. Comment
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2011, 7, (1), 351 - 356 Downloads
  6. Over-optimism in forecasts by official budget agencies and its implications
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2011, 27, (4), 536-562 Downloads View citations (111)
    See also Working Paper Over-optimism in Forecasts by Official Budget Agencies and Its Implications, NBER Working Papers (2011) Downloads View citations (117) (2011)

2010

  1. Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes
    American Economic Review, 2010, 100, (2), 568-72 Downloads View citations (53)
    See also Working Paper Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes, Scholarly Articles (2010) Downloads View citations (53) (2010)
  2. The forward market in emerging currencies: Less biased than in major currencies
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2010, 29, (3), 585-598 Downloads View citations (122)
    See also Working Paper The Forward Market in Emerging Currencies: Less Biased Than in Major Currencies, Working Paper Series (2009) Downloads View citations (8) (2009)

2009

  1. Comment
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2009, 5, (1), 279 - 284 Downloads
  2. Introduction
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2009, 5, (1), 1 - 6 Downloads
  3. NEW ESTIMATION OF CHINA'S EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
    Pacific Economic Review, 2009, 14, (3), 346-360 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper New Estimation of China's Exchange Rate Regime, NBER Working Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (52) (2009)

2008

  1. Does openness to trade make countries more vulnerable to sudden stops, or less? Using gravity to establish causality
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2008, 27, (8), 1430-1452 Downloads View citations (177)
    See also Working Paper Does Openness to Trade Make Countries More Vulnerable to Sudden Stops, or Less? Using Gravity to Establish Causality, Research Department Publications (2007) Downloads View citations (14) (2007)
  2. Estimation of De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes: Synthesis of the Techniques for Inferring Flexibility and Basket Weights
    IMF Staff Papers, 2008, 55, (3), 384-416 Downloads View citations (93)
    See also Working Paper Estimation of De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes: Synthesis of The Techniques for Inferring Flexibility and Basket Weights, Working Paper Series (2008) Downloads View citations (101) (2008)
  3. Fiscal and monetary policy in a commodity‐based economy1
    The Economics of Transition, 2008, 16, (4), 679-713 Downloads View citations (13)
  4. South Africa: Macroeconomic challenges after a decade of success1
    The Economics of Transition, 2008, 16, (4), 639-677 Downloads View citations (23)
  5. Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar
    International Finance, 2008, 11, (1), 49-73 Downloads View citations (81)
    See also Working Paper Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar, Scholarly Articles (2008) Downloads View citations (79) (2008)
  6. Zašto će evro postati rival dolaru
    Panoeconomicus, 2008, 55, (3), 255-278 Downloads

2007

  1. Assessing China's exchange rate regime
    (Working with the IMF to strengthen exchange rate surveillance)
    Economic Policy, 2007, 22, (51), 576-627 Downloads View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper Assessing China's Exchange Rate Regime, NBER Working Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (74) (2007)
  2. ON THE RAND: DETERMINANTS OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN EXCHANGE RATE
    South African Journal of Economics, 2007, 75, (3), 425-441 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper On the Rand: Determinants of the South African Exchange Rate, NBER Working Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (35) (2007)
  3. Responding to Crises
    Cato Journal, 2007, 27, (2), 165-178 Downloads
  4. The Simple Geometry of Transmission and Stabilization in Closed and Open Economies [with Comments]
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2007, 2007, (1), 65 - 129 Downloads View citations (1)

2006

  1. Could the twin deficits jeopardize US hegemony?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2006, 28, (6), 653-663 Downloads View citations (14)
  2. On the Yuan: The Choice between Adjustment under a Fixed Exchange Rate and Adjustment under a Flexible Rate
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2006, 52, (2), 246-275 Downloads View citations (98)

2005

  1. Introduction
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2005, 2005, (1), 1 - 7 Downloads
  2. Is Trade Good or Bad for the Environment? Sorting Out the Causality
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2005, 87, (1), 85-91 Downloads View citations (456)
    See also Working Paper Is Trade Good or Bad for the Environment? Sorting Out the Causality, Working Paper Series (2003) Downloads View citations (9) (2003)
  3. Mundell-Fleming Lecture: Contractionary Currency Crashes in Developing Countries
    IMF Staff Papers, 2005, 52, (2), 149-192 Downloads View citations (104)
  4. On the renminbi
    CESifo Forum, 2005, 6, (03), 16-21 Downloads View citations (83)
  5. Peg the export price index: A proposed monetary regime for small countries
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2005, 27, (4), 495-508 Downloads View citations (29)
  6. Preface
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2005, 3, (5), 967-967 Downloads
    Also in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2003, 1, (5), iii-iii (2003) Downloads

2004

  1. Global transmission of interest rates: monetary independence and currency regime
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2004, 23, (5), 701-733 Downloads View citations (234)
    See also Working Paper Global Transmission of Interest Rates: Monetary Independence and Currency Regime, NBER Working Papers (2002) Downloads View citations (42) (2002)
  2. Is Poland the Next Spain? [with Comments]
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2004, 2004, (1), 459 - 533 Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. A Proposed Monetary Regime for Small Commodity Exporters: Peg the Export Price (‘PEP’)
    International Finance, 2003, 6, (1), 61-88 Downloads View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper A Proposed Monetary Regime for Small Commodity-Exporters: Peg the Export Price ("PEP"), Working Paper Series (2003) Downloads View citations (42) (2003)
  2. What an Economic Adviser Can Do When He Disagrees with the President
    Challenge, 2003, 46, (3), 29-52 Downloads View citations (10)

2002

  1. A Proposal to Anchor Monetary Policy by the Price of the Export Commodity
    Journal of Economic Integration, 2002, 17, 417-448 View citations (28)
  2. An Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002, 117, (2), 437-466 Downloads View citations (642)
    See also Working Paper An Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income, Working Paper Series (2001) Downloads View citations (10) (2001)

2001

  1. Verifying exchange rate regimes
    Journal of Development Economics, 2001, 66, (2), 351-386 Downloads View citations (70)
    See also Working Paper Verifying exchange rate regimes, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2000) Downloads View citations (15) (2000)

2000

  1. Country Funds and Asymmetric Information
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2000, 5, (3), 177-95 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper Country Funds and Asymmetric Information, International Finance (1998) Downloads View citations (10) (1998)

1999

  1. Does Trade Cause Growth?
    American Economic Review, 1999, 89, (3), 379-399 Downloads View citations (2560)

1998

  1. Open Regionalism in a World of Continental Trade Blocs
    IMF Staff Papers, 1998, 45, (3), 440-453 Downloads View citations (64)
    See also Working Paper Open Regionalism in a World of Continental Trade Blocs, IMF Working Papers (1998) Downloads View citations (64) (1998)
  2. The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria
    Economic Journal, 1998, 108, (449), 1009-25 View citations (1296)
    See also Working Paper The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria, CEPR Discussion Papers (1996) Downloads View citations (126) (1996)

1997

  1. Editorial note
    European Economic Review, 1997, 41, (6), iii-iii Downloads
  2. Is EMU more justifiable ex post than ex ante?
    European Economic Review, 1997, 41, (3-5), 753-760 Downloads View citations (259)
  3. Sterilization of money inflows: Difficult (Calvo) or Easy (Reisen)?
    Estudios de Economia, 1997, 24, (2 Year 1997), 263-285 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Sterilization of Money Inflows: Difficult (Calvo) or Easy (Reisen)?, IMF Working Papers (1994) Downloads View citations (33) (1994)

1996

  1. A panel project on purchasing power parity: Mean reversion within and between countries
    Journal of International Economics, 1996, 40, (1-2), 209-224 Downloads View citations (438)
    See also Working Paper A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion Within and Between Countries, NBER Working Papers (1995) Downloads View citations (74) (1995)
  2. Can regional blocs be a stepping stone to global free trade? a political economy analysis
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 1996, 5, (4), 339-347 Downloads View citations (16)
  3. Country fund discounts and the mexican crisis of December 1994: Did local residents turn pessimistic before international investors?
    Open Economies Review, 1996, 7, (1), 511-534 Downloads View citations (82)
    See also Working Paper Country fund discounts and the Mexican crisis of December 1994: did local residents turn pessimistic before international investors?, International Finance Discussion Papers (1996) Downloads View citations (19) (1996)
  4. Crisis, contagion, and country funds: effects on East Asia and Latin America
    Proceedings, 1996, 232-266 View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper Crisis, contagion, and country funds: effects on East Asia and Latin America, Pacific Basin Working Paper Series (1996) View citations (29) (1996)
  5. Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment
    Journal of International Economics, 1996, 41, (3-4), 351-366 Downloads View citations (1103)
    See also Working Paper Currency crashes in emerging markets: an empirical treatment, International Finance Discussion Papers (1996) Downloads View citations (998) (1996)
  6. Editorial note
    European Economic Review, 1996, 40, (2), iii-iii Downloads
  7. Liberalized Portfolio Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets: Sterilization, Expectations, and the Incompleteness of Interest Rate Convergence
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 1996, 1, (1), 1-23 Downloads View citations (46)
    See also Working Paper Liberalized Portfolio Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets: Sterilization, Expectations, and the Incompleteness of Interest Rate Convergence, Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers (1995) Downloads View citations (21) (1995)
  8. Recent Exchange-Rate Experience and Proposals for Reform
    American Economic Review, 1996, 86, (2), 153-58 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper REcent Exchange Rate Experience and Proposals for Reform, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series (1996) Downloads View citations (17) (1996)
  9. Regional Trading Arrangements: Natural or Supernatural
    American Economic Review, 1996, 86, (2), 52-56 Downloads View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper Regional Trading Arrangement: Natural or Super-Natural?, NBER Working Papers (1996) Downloads View citations (29) (1996)

1995

  1. Economic regionalism: Evidence from two 20th century episodes
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 1995, 6, (2), 89-106 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Editorial note
    European Economic Review, 1995, 39, (5), 959-959 Downloads
  3. Tests of conditional mean-variance efficiency of the U.S. stock market
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 1995, 2, (1), 3-18 Downloads View citations (10)
  4. The Stabilizing Properties of a Nominal GNP Rule
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1995, 27, (2), 318-34 Downloads View citations (43)
  5. Trading blocs and the Americas: The natural, the unnatural, and the super-natural
    Journal of Development Economics, 1995, 47, (1), 61-95 Downloads View citations (348)
  6. Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the USA or Japan?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1995, 14, (6), 801-821 Downloads View citations (90)
    See also Working Paper Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the US or Japan?, Pacific Basin Working Paper Series (1995) View citations (80) (1995)

1994

  1. A "Greater China" trade Bloc?
    China Economic Review, 1994, 5, (2), 179-190 Downloads View citations (17)
  2. An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted from the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1994, 109, (2), 517-530 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted From the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length, NBER Working Papers (1991) Downloads View citations (7) (1991)
  3. La politique du dollar de Clinton et l'efficacité de l'intervention sur les taux de change
    Revue d'Économie Financière, 1994, 4, (1), 125-135 Downloads
  4. Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for Twenty-five Currencies
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1994, 26, (4), 759-70 Downloads View citations (69)

1993

  1. A Pacific economic bloc: is there such an animal?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1993, (nov12) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Does Foreign-Exchange Intervention Matter? The Portfolio Effect
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (5), 1356-69 Downloads View citations (352)
  3. Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests for a Cross Section of 17 Currencies
    Review of International Economics, 1993, 1, (2), 136-44 View citations (57)
    See also Working Paper Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests For a Cross- Section of 17 Currencies, NBER Working Papers (1991) Downloads View citations (10) (1991)

1992

  1. Financial links around the Pacific Rim, 1982-1992
    Proceedings, 1992, (Sep) View citations (3)
    Also in Proceedings, 1992, 17-47 (1992) View citations (4)

    See also Working Paper Financial Links around the Pacific Rim: 1982-1992, Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers (1993) Downloads View citations (19) (1993)
  2. International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination When Policymakers Do Not Agree on the True Model: Reply
    American Economic Review, 1992, 82, (4), 1052-56 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Measuring International Capital Mobility: A Review
    American Economic Review, 1992, 82, (2), 197-202 Downloads View citations (211)
  4. The European Monetary System: Credible at Last?
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1992, 44, (4), 791-816 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper The European Monetary System: Credible at Last?, NBER Working Papers (1991) Downloads View citations (21) (1991)

1991

  1. Does foreign exchange intervention matter? disentangling the portfolio and expectations effects for the mark
    Proceedings, 1991, (Nov) View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Matter? Disentangling the Portfolio an Expectations Effects for the Mark, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (1990) Downloads View citations (24) (1990)
  2. The Japanese Cost of Finance: A Survey
    Financial Management, 1991, 20, (1) View citations (3)

1990

  1. Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market
    American Economic Review, 1990, 80, (2), 181-85 Downloads View citations (296)
  2. International Nominal Targeting (INT): A Proposal for Monetary Policy Coordination in the 1990s
    The World Economy, 1990, 13, (2), 263-273 Downloads
  3. International nominal targeting (INT): a proposal for overcoming obstacles to policy coordination
    Proceedings, 1990, (Nov) View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper International Nominal Targeting (INT): A Proposal for Overcoming Obstacles to Policy Coordination, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (1990) Downloads View citations (1) (1990)

1989

  1. Empirical modeling of exchange rate dynamics: Francis Diebold, Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems no. 303 (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1988) pp. 143, $19.40
    Journal of International Economics, 1989, 27, (1-2), 185-189 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Forward Discount Bias: Is it an Exchange Risk Premium?
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1989, 104, (1), 139-161 Downloads View citations (362)
    See also Working Paper Forward Discount Bias: Is It an Exchange Risk Premium?, Economics Working Papers (1988) Downloads View citations (1) (1988)

1988

  1. International Capital Mobility: What Do Saving-Investment Correlations Tell Us? Reply to Miller
    IMF Staff Papers, 1988, 35, (2), 397-398 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination When Policymakers Do Not Agree on the True Model
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (3), 318-40 Downloads View citations (102)
  3. International capital mobility and exchange rate volatility
    Conference Series ; [Proceedings], 1988, 32, 162-194 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MOBILITY AND EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY, Working Papers (1989) (1989)
  4. International nominal targeting: a proposal for policy coordination
    Conference Series ; [Proceedings], 1988, 32, 234-239 Downloads
  5. Obstacles to International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination*
    Journal of Public Policy, 1988, 8, (3-4), 353-374 Downloads View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper Obstacles to International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination, NBER Working Papers (1988) Downloads View citations (28) (1988)
  6. Political vs. currency premia in international real interest differentials: A study of forward rates for 24 countries
    European Economic Review, 1988, 32, (5), 1083-1114 Downloads View citations (64)
    See also Working Paper Political vs. Currency Premia in International Real Interest Differentials: A Study of Forward Rates for 24 Countries, NBER Working Papers (1987) Downloads View citations (18) (1987)
  7. Recent estimates of time-variation in the conditional variance and in the exchange risk premium
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1988, 7, (1), 115-125 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Recent Estimates of Time-Variation in the Conditional Variance and in the Exchange Risk Premium, Economics Working Papers (1988) View citations (22) (1988)

1987

  1. Expectations and Commodity Price Dynamics: The Overshooting Model: Reply
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1987, 69, (4), 856 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. International Capital Mobility: What Do Saving-Investment Correlations Tell Us?
    IMF Staff Papers, 1987, 34, (3), 503-530 Downloads View citations (222)
  3. Regression vs. volatility tests of the efficiency of foreign exchange markets
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1987, 6, (1), 49-56 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Regression vs. Volatility Tests of the Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets, Economics Working Papers (1987) View citations (4) (1987)
  4. Short-term and long-term expectations of the yen/dollar exchange rate: Evidence from survey data
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 1987, 1, (3), 249-274 Downloads View citations (65)
    See also Working Paper Short-term and Long-Term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data, NBER Working Papers (1987) Downloads View citations (58) (1987)
  5. Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations
    American Economic Review, 1987, 77, (1), 133-53 Downloads View citations (495)
    See also Working Paper Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (1986) Downloads View citations (3) (1986)
  6. no chargePaul Boothe, Kevin Clinton, Agathe Cote and David Longworth, International Asset Substitutability: Theory and Evidence for Canada, The Bank of Canada, Oxford (1985), p. iii+132
    Journal of International Economics, 1987, 22, (3-4), 385-387 Downloads

1986

  1. Expectations and Commodity Price Dynamics: The Overshooting Model
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1986, 68, (2), 344-348 Downloads View citations (181)
  2. Overshooting Agricultural Commodity Markets and Public Policy: Discussion
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1986, 68, (2), 418-419 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. The implications of mean-variance optimization for four questions in international macroeconomics
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1986, 5, (1, Supplement), S53-S75 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper The Implications of Mean-Variance Optimization for Four Questions in International Macroeconomics, NBER Working Papers (1985) Downloads View citations (17) (1985)

1985

  1. 'Monetary targets, real exchange rates and macroeconomic stability' by Alessandro Penati
    European Economic Review, 1985, 28, (1-2), 151-152 Downloads
  2. Commodity Prices, Money Surprises and Fed Credibility
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1985, 17, (4), 425-38 Downloads View citations (96)
  3. International capital mobility and crowding-out in the U.S. economy: imperfect integration of financial markets or of goods markets?
    Proceedings, 1985, 33-74 View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper International Capital Mobility and Crowding Out in the U.S. Economy: Imperfect Integration of Financial Markets or of Goods Markets?, NBER Working Papers (1985) Downloads View citations (67) (1985)
  4. Portfolio Crowding-Out, Empirically Estimated
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (Supplement), 1041-1065 Downloads View citations (24)
  5. The Dazzling Dollar
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1985, 16, (1), 199-217 Downloads View citations (49)

1984

  1. Commodity Prices and Money: Lessons from International Finance
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1984, 66, (5), 560-566 Downloads View citations (61)
  2. Do asset-demand functions optimize over the mean and variance of real returns? A six-currency test
    Journal of International Economics, 1984, 17, (3-4), 309-323 Downloads View citations (76)
    See also Working Paper Do Asset-Demand Functions Optimize over the Mean and Variance of Real Returns? A Six-Currency Test, NBER Working Papers (1982) Downloads View citations (3) (1982)
  3. The Theory of Trade in Middle Products: An Extension
    American Economic Review, 1984, 74, (3), 485-87 Downloads View citations (7)
  4. The secular inflation term in open-economy Phillips curves
    European Economic Review, 1984, 24, (2), 161-164 Downloads View citations (2)

1983

  1. Estimation of portfolio-balance functions that are mean-variance optimizing: The mark and the dollar
    European Economic Review, 1983, 23, (3), 315-327 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Estimation of portfolio-balance functions that are mean-variance optimizing: the mark and the dollar, International Finance Discussion Papers (1981) Downloads View citations (1) (1981)
  2. The effect of excessively elastic expectations on exchange-rate volatility in the Dornbusch overshooting model
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1983, 2, (1), 39-46 Downloads

1982

  1. A Technique for Extracting a Measure of Expected Inflation from the Interest Rate Term Structure
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, 64, (1), 135-42 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper A technique for extracting a measure of expected inflation from the interest rate term structure, International Finance Discussion Papers (1979) Downloads (1979)
  2. In search of the exchange risk premium: A six-currency test assuming mean-variance optimization
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1982, 1, (1), 255-274 Downloads View citations (103)
  3. The 1807–1809 Embargo Against Great Britain
    The Journal of Economic History, 1982, 42, (2), 291-308 Downloads View citations (19)
  4. The Mystery of the Multiplying Marks: A Modification of the Monetary Model
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, 64, (3), 515-19 Downloads View citations (23)
  5. Why money announcements move interest rates: an answer from the foreign exchange market
    Proceedings, 1982, (6), 1-36 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Why Money Announcements Move Interest Rates: An Answer from the Foreign Exchange Market, NBER Working Papers (1982) Downloads View citations (14) (1982)

1981

  1. On the Mark: Reply [On the Mark: A Theory of Floating Exchange Rates Based on Real Interest Differential]
    American Economic Review, 1981, 71, (5), 1075-82 Downloads View citations (3)

1979

  1. On the Mark: A Theory of Floating Exchange Rates Based on Real Interest Differentials
    American Economic Review, 1979, 69, (4), 610-22 Downloads View citations (499)
  2. The diversifiability of exchange risk
    Journal of International Economics, 1979, 9, (3), 379-393 Downloads View citations (36)

1975

  1. The Bluejeans Effect
    The American Economist, 1975, 19, (1), 60-60 Downloads

Books

2018

  1. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2017
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2015

  1. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)

2012

  1. Global Financial Crisis
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (97)
  2. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)

2009

  1. Eight Reasons We Are Given Not to Worry About the U.S. Deficits
    World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group Downloads View citations (1)
  2. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2008
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (117)

2007

  1. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (14)

2006

  1. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2004
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (20)

2003

  1. Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (111)

2002

  1. International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2001
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
  2. Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (292)

1998

  1. The Regionalization of the World Economy
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (355)

1997

  1. Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System
    Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics Downloads View citations (680)

1996

  1. The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (162)

1995

  1. Financial Markets and Monetary Policy, vol 1
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (17)
  2. International Seminar on Macroeconomics 1994
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

1994

  1. The Internationalization of Equity Markets
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (50)
    See also Working Paper The Internationalization of Equity Markets, NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993) Downloads View citations (31) (1993)

1993

  1. On Exchange Rates, vol 1
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (222)
  2. Regionalism and Rivalry: Japan and the United States in Pacific Asia
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (73)

1990

  1. Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Work?
    Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics Downloads View citations (63)

Edited books

2009

  1. The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press View citations (5)

2007

  1. Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press View citations (1)
  2. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005, vol 1
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (7)

2006

  1. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2004, vol 1
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (3)

2002

  1. Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press View citations (150)

1997

  1. The Regionalization of the World Economy
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press View citations (46)

1995

  1. The Internationalization of Equity Markets
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press View citations (3)

1994

  1. Regionalism and Rivalry
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press View citations (3)

Chapters

2021

  1. Systematic Managed Floating
    Chapter 5 in THE ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM Insights for Central Banking, 2021, pp 160-221 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Systematic Managed Floating, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)
    Journal Article Systematic Managed Floating, Springer (2019) Downloads View citations (21) (2019)

2020

  1. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2020, 2020

2019

  1. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, 2019

2017

  1. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2017"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2017, 2017

2016

  1. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2015"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2015, 2016
  2. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2016"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2016, 2016

2014

  1. A Lesson from the South for Fiscal Policy in the US and Other Advanced Countries1
    Palgrave Macmillan
  2. Mauritius: African Success Story
    A chapter in African Successes, Volume IV: Sustainable Growth, 2014, pp 295-342 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Mauritius: African Success Story, Center for International Development at Harvard University (2012) Downloads View citations (7) (2012)

2013

  1. A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile
    Chapter 9 in Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Performance, 2013, vol. 17, pp 323-391 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: the Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads View citations (64) (2011)
    Working Paper A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) Downloads View citations (65) (2011)

2011

  1. Abstracts
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, 2011 Downloads
  2. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, 2011, pp 1-7 Downloads

2010

  1. Comment on "China's Current Account and Exchange Rate"
    A chapter in China's Growing Role in World Trade, 2010, pp 271-277 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Comment on "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, 2010, pp 351-355 Downloads
  3. Determinants of Agricultural and Mineral Commodity Prices
    A chapter in Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, 2010 Downloads View citations (100)
    See also Working Paper Determinants of Agricultural and Mineral Commodity Prices, Harvard Kennedy School of Government (2010) Downloads View citations (106) (2010)
  4. Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets
    Chapter 25 in Handbook of Monetary Economics, 2010, vol. 3, pp 1439-1520 Downloads View citations (76)
  5. The Estimated Trade Effects of the Euro: Why Are They Below Those from Historical Monetary Unions among Smaller Countries?
    A chapter in Europe and the Euro, 2010, pp 169-212 Downloads View citations (50)
    See also Working Paper The Estimated Trade Effects of the Euro: Why Are They Below Those From Historical Monetary Unions Among Smaller Countries?, London School of Economics / European Institute (2009) Downloads View citations (4) (2009)

2009

  1. Comment on "Plant Size Distribution and Cross-Country Income Differences"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2008, 2009, pp 279-283 Downloads
  2. Comment on "The Simple Geometry of Transmission and Stabilization in Closed and Open Economies"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2007, 2009, pp 119-129 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2008"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2008, 2009, pp 1-5 Downloads View citations (3)

2008

  1. The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices
    A chapter in Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, 2008, pp 291-333 Downloads View citations (174)
    See also Working Paper The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) Downloads View citations (159) (2006)

2007

  1. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005, 2007, pp 1-7 Downloads
  2. Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?
    A chapter in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, 2007, pp 283-338 Downloads View citations (84)
    See also Working Paper Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar As Leading International Reserve Currency?, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2006) Downloads View citations (14) (2006)

2006

  1. Introduction to "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2004"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2004, 2006, pp 1-16 Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. Industrial Country Policies
    A chapter in Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies, 2003, pp 155-296 Downloads View citations (3)

2002

  1. Economic Policy in Japan and East Asia
    Chapter 9 in Monetary Stability and Economic Growth, 2002 Downloads
  2. Introduction to "Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets"
    A chapter in Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, 2002, pp 1-20 Downloads View citations (24)

2000

  1. Panel Presentation: The Asian Model, the Miracle, the Crisis, and the Fund
    A chapter in Currency Crises, 2000, pp 327-337 Downloads

1998

  1. Continental Trading Blocs: Are They Natural or Supernatural?
    A chapter in The Regionalization of the World Economy, 1998, pp 91-120 Downloads View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper Continental Trading Blocs: Are They Natural, or Super-Natural?, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993) Downloads View citations (53) (1993)
  2. Introduction to "Regionalization of the World Economy, The"
    A chapter in The Regionalization of the World Economy, 1998, pp 1-6 Downloads View citations (66)
  3. Regionalization of World Trade and Currencies: Economics and Politics
    A chapter in The Regionalization of the World Economy, 1998, pp 189-226 Downloads View citations (68)

1997

  1. Open versus Closed Trade Blocs
    A chapter in Regionalism versus Multilateral Trade Arrangements, 1997, pp 119-140 Downloads View citations (13)

1996

  1. Introduction to "The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets"
    A chapter in The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets, 1996, pp 1-18 Downloads View citations (12)

1995

  1. Empirical research on nominal exchange rates
    Chapter 33 in Handbook of International Economics, 1995, vol. 3, pp 1689-1729 Downloads View citations (362)
  2. Recent Changes in the Financial Systems of Asian and Pacific Countries
    Palgrave Macmillan
    See also Working Paper Recent Changes in the Financial Systems of Asian and Pacific Countries, University of California at Berkeley (1993) (1993)

1994

  1. Exchange Rate Policy
    A chapter in American Economic Policy in the 1980s, 1994, pp 293-366 Downloads View citations (40)
  2. Introduction to "The Internationalization of Equity Markets "
    A chapter in The Internationalization of Equity Markets, 1994, pp 1-20 Downloads View citations (13)
  3. Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc? Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies
    A chapter in Macroeconomic Linkage: Savings, Exchange Rates, and Capital Flows, 1994, pp 295-333 Downloads View citations (237)
    See also Working Paper Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc: Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies, University of Birmingham - International Financial Group (1992) View citations (62) (1992)

1993

  1. Introduction to "Regionalism and Rivalry: Japan and the United States in Pacific Asia"
    A chapter in Regionalism and Rivalry: Japan and the United States in Pacific Asia, 1993, pp 1-18 Downloads View citations (20)
  2. Is Japan Creating a Yen Bloc in East Asia and the Pacific?
    A chapter in Regionalism and Rivalry: Japan and the United States in Pacific Asia, 1993, pp 53-88 Downloads View citations (94)
    See also Working Paper Is Japan Creating a Yen Bloc in East Asia and the Pacific?, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (97) (1993)
  3. Is there a Currency Bloc in the Pacific?
    A chapter in The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments, 1993 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper Is There a Currency Bloc in the Pacific?, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations (22) (1993)

1991

  1. Japanese Finance in the 1980s: A Survey
    A chapter in Trade with Japan: Has the Door Opened Wider?, 1991, pp 225-270 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Quantifying International Capital Mobility in the 1980s
    A chapter in National Saving and Economic Performance, 1991, pp 227-270 Downloads View citations (67)
    See also Working Paper Quantifying International Capital Mobility in the 1980s, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) Downloads View citations (73) (1989)

1990

  1. Obstacles to Coordination, and a Consideration of Two Proposals to Overcome Them: International Nominal Targeting (INT) and the Hosomi Fund
    A chapter in International Policy Coordination and Exchange Rate Fluctuations, 1990, pp 109-158 Downloads View citations (2)

1988

  1. International Capital Flows and Domestic Economic Policies
    A chapter in The United States in the World Economy, 1988, pp 559-658 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper International Capital Flows and Domestic Economic Policies, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) Downloads View citations (6) (1987)
  2. The Flexible Exchange Rate System: Experience and Alternatives
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper The Flexible Exchange Rate System: Experience and Alternatives, University of California at Berkeley (1988) View citations (20) (1988)

1987

  1. Are Exchange Rates Excessively Variable?
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Volume 2, 1987, pp 117-162 Downloads View citations (62)
    See also Working Paper Are Exchange Rates Excessively Variable, University of California at Berkeley (1987) View citations (66) (1987)

1984

  1. Tests of Monetary and Portfolio Balance Models of Exchange Rate Determination
    A chapter in Exchange Rate Theory and Practice, 1984, pp 239-260 Downloads View citations (42)
 
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