The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices

Jeffrey Frankel

No 12713, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Commodity prices are back. This paper looks at connections between monetary policy, and agricultural and mineral commodities. We begin with the monetary influences on commodity prices, first for a large country such as the United States, then smaller countries. The claim is that low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices. The theory is an analogy with Dornbusch overshooting. The relationship between real interest rates and real commodity prices is also supported empirically. One channel through which this effect is accomplished is a negative effect of interest rates on the desire to carry commodity inventories. The paper concludes with a consideration of implications for monetary policy.

JEL-codes: E4 E5 F3 Q0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Note: ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (160)

Published as The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices , Jeffrey A. Frankel. in Asset Prices and Monetary Policy , Campbell. 2008

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.nber.org/papers/w12713.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Chapter: The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices (2008)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12713

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.nber.org/papers/w12713

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().