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Trade and growth in East Asian countries: cause and effect?

Teresa Cyrus, Jeffrey Frankel and David Romer

No 95-03, Pacific Basin Working Paper Series from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Abstract: Estimates of growth equations have found a role for openness, particularly in explaining rapid growth among East Asian countries. But major concerns of simultaneous causality between growth and trade have been expressed. This study aims to deal with the endogeneity of trade by using as instrumental variables the exogenous determinants from the gravity model of bilateral trade, such as proximity to trading partners. Our preliminary finding is that the effect of openness on growth is even clearer when we correct for the endogeneity of openness than in standard OLS estimates. We conclude with estimates of how much has been contributed to East Asian growth by openness (both the exogenous or geographical component of openness and the residual or policy component).

Keywords: East Asia; Economic development; International trade; Gross domestic product (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Published in NBER Working Paper : 5732

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Working Paper: Trade and Growth in East Asian Countries: Cause and Effect? (1996) Downloads
Working Paper: Trade and Growth in East Asian Countries: Cause and Effect? (1995) Downloads
Working Paper: Trade and Growth in East Asian Countries: Cause and Effect? (1995)
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