Exposure to Cigarette Taxes as a Teenager and the Persistence of Smoking into Adulthood

Andrew Friedson, Moyan Li, Katherine Meckel, Daniel Rees and Daniel W. Sacks

No 29325, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Are teenage and adult smoking causally related? Recent anti-tobacco policy is predicated on the assumption that preventing teenagers from smoking will ensure that fewer adults smoke, but direct evidence in support of this assumption is scant. Using data from three nationally representative sources and cigarette taxes experienced as a teenager as an instrument, we document a strong, positive relationship between teenage and adult smoking: specifically, deterring 10 teenagers from smoking through raising cigarette taxes roughly translates into 5 or 6 fewer eventual adult smokers. We conclude that efforts to reduce teenage smoking can have important, long-lasting consequences on smoking participation and, presumably, health.

JEL-codes: H2 I1 I12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea and nep-pub
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Published as Andrew Friedson & Moyan Li & Katherine Meckel & Daniel I. Rees & Daniel W. Sacks, 2024. "Exposure to cigarette taxes as a teenager and the persistence of smoking into adulthood," Health Economics, vol 33(9), pages 1962-1988.

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