Weather, Climate, and Migration in the United States

Jamie T. Mullins and Prashant Bharadwaj

No 28614, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Do people move as a result of temperature shocks? Documenting weather as a push factor for migration is crucial for informing policy related to climate change and adaptation. This paper studies the impacts of high-temperature days on out-migration from counties in the US. We find that outmigration responds to long-term variation in temperatures, but not to the short-term temperature variations that are commonly leveraged in the literature. We provide evidence consistent with the idea that the effect of long-term variation in temperature is driven by changes in expectations regarding future conditions, and specifically climate change.

JEL-codes: Q0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env and nep-mig
Note: EEE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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