Evolution of Modern Business Cycle Models: Accounting for the Great Recession

Patrick Kehoe, Virgiliu Midrigan and Elena Pastorino

No 24741, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Modern business cycle theory focuses on the study of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models that generate aggregate fluctuations similar to those experienced by actual economies. We discuss how this theory has evolved from its roots in the early real business cycle models of the late 1970s through the turmoil of the Great Recession four decades later. We document the strikingly different pattern of comovements of macro aggregates during the Great Recession compared to other postwar recessions, especially the 1982 recession. We then show how two versions of the latest generation of real business cycle models can account, respectively, for the aggregate and the cross-regional fluctuations observed in the Great Recession in the United States.

JEL-codes: E13 E32 E52 E61 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-his and nep-mac
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Published as Patrick J. Kehoe & Virgiliu Midrigan & Elena Pastorino, 2018. "Evolution of Modern Business Cycle Models: Accounting for the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol 32(3), pages 141-166.

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Journal Article: Evolution of Modern Business Cycle Models: Accounting for the Great Recession (2018)
Working Paper: Evolution of Modern Business Cycle Models: Accounting for the Great Recession (2018)
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