Illegal Immigration: The Trump Effect

Mark Hoekstra and Sandra Orozco-Aleman

No 28909, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Recent years have witnessed the emergence of increasingly provocative anti-immigrant politicians in both Europe and the United States. We examine whether the 2016 election of Donald Trump, who made illegal immigration and border enforcement a centerpiece of his campaign, reduced illegal immigration into the U.S. We exploit the fact the election result was widely unexpected and thus generated a large, overnight change in expected immigration policy and rhetoric. We compare migration flows before and after the election and find that while it reduced immigration among deported Mexicans and at least temporarily among Central Americans, it had no effect on the overall inflow of unauthorized Mexican workers.

JEL-codes: J15 J6 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int, nep-lab and nep-mig
Note: LE LS
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