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Causality and Econometrics

James Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto

No 29787, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper examines the econometric causal model for policy analysis developed by the seminal ideas of Ragnar Frisch and Trygve Haavelmo. We compare the econometric causal model with two popular causal frameworks: Neyman-Holland causal model and the do-calculus. The Neyman-Holland causal model is based on the language of potential outcomes and was largely developed by statisticians. The do-calculus, developed by Judea Pearl and co-authors, relies on Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and is a popular causal framework in computer science. We make the case that economists who uncritically use these approximating frameworks often discard the substantial benefits of the econometric causal model to the detriment of more informative economic policy analyses. We illustrate the versatility and capabilities of the econometric framework using causal models that are frequently studied by economists.

JEL-codes: C10 C18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-hpe
Note: TWP
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published as James J. Heckman, 2008. "Econometric Causality," International Statistical Review, vol 76(1), pages 1-27.

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