Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions

Christiane Baumeister, Dimitris Korobilis and Thomas K. Lee

No 27001, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper evaluates alternative indicators of global economic activity and other market fundamentals in terms of their usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum consumption. We find that world industrial production is one of the most useful indicators that has been proposed in the literature. However, by combining measures from a number of different sources we can do even better. Our analysis results in a new index of global economic conditions and new measures for assessing future tightness of energy demand and expected oil price pressures.

JEL-codes: C11 C32 C52 Q41 Q47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-04
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Published as Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2022. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol 104(4), pages 828-844.

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Related works:
Journal Article: Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions (2022)
Working Paper: Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions (2020)
Working Paper: Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions (2020)
Working Paper: Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions (2020)
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