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From the Editors

L. Robin Keller (), Manel Baucells (), John C. Butler (), Philippe Delquié (), Jason R. W. Merrick (), Gregory S. Parnell () and Ahti Salo ()
Additional contact information
L. Robin Keller: University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California 92697-3125
John C. Butler: University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712-1175
Philippe Delquié: INSEAD, F-77300 Fontainebleau, France
Jason R. W. Merrick: Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284
Gregory S. Parnell: United States Military Academy, West Point, New York 10996
Ahti Salo: Helsinki University of Technology, Espoo 02015 HUT, Finland

Decision Analysis, 2008, vol. 5, issue 4, 173-176

Abstract: For this final issue of the year, our first two articles are on assessment of probabilities. First, Joel B. Predd, Daniel N. Osherson, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, and H. Vincent Poor present a method for “Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoherent and Abstaining Experts.” In our second article, Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu, and Ryan Haggerty present the results of their experiment in “A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values.” Next, a new method for searching among a huge set of alternatives using preference information is presented in “An Interactive Search Method Based on User Preferences,” by Asim Roy, Patrick Mackin, Jyrki Wallenius, James Corner, Mark Keith, Gregory Schymik, and Hina Arora. In our final article, Niyazi Onur Bakır describes how to use decision analysis to compare antiterrorism measures in “A Decision Tree Model for Evaluating Countermeasures to Secure Cargo at United States Southwestern Ports of Entry.” A call for papers on auctions for a special issue in memory of Michael Rothkopf is announced in this issue. The annual thank you to reviewers ends the issue.

Keywords: alternatives; screening out; applications; terrorism; applications; security; applications; transportation; continuous distributions; decision analysis; decision trees; dirty bomb; forecasts; combining; fractile estimation; influence diagrams; interactive search; math programming; multiattribute performance targets; multiple criteria decision making; probability; elicitation; probability; group; incoherence; utility functions; construction; utility functions; multiattribute; utility-preference; applications; utility-preference; multiattribute; vague preferences; editorial (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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