From the Editors ---Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis

L. Robin Keller (), Ali Abbas (), J. Eric Bickel (), Vicki M. Bier (), David V. Budescu (), John C. Butler (), Philippe Delquié (), Kenneth C. Lichtendahl (), Jason R. W. Merrick (), Ahti Salo () and George Wu ()
Additional contact information
L. Robin Keller: University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California 92697
Ali Abbas: University of Illinois at Urbana--Champaign, Urbana, Illinois 61801
J. Eric Bickel: University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712
Vicki M. Bier: University of Wisconsin--Madison, Madison, Wisconsin 53706
David V. Budescu: Fordham University, Bronx, New York 10458
John C. Butler: University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712
Philippe Delquié: The George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl: University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia 22903
Jason R. W. Merrick: Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284
Ahti Salo: Aalto University, 00076 Aalto, Finland
George Wu: University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637

Decision Analysis, 2011, vol. 8, issue 4, 251-255

Abstract: This issue's “From the Editors” column is coauthored with all the associate editors, to emphasize their major role in the leadership of the journal. We first review this year's operations and thank our editorial board and referees. Our first article, by David J. Johnstone, Victor Richmond R. Jose, and Robert L. Winkler, presents “Tailored Scoring Rules for Probabilities,” which take into account the decision maker's specific situation. Next, in “Do Bayesians Learn Their Way Out of Ambiguity?,” Alexander Zimper addresses how people perceive ambiguous probabilities and how they update their perceptions. In our third article, Chen Wang and Vicki M. Bier examine “Target-Hardening Decisions Based on Uncertain Multiattribute Terrorist Utility.” The final article, by Stephen P. Chambal, Jeffery D. Weir, Yucel R. Kahraman, and Alex J. Gutman, is on “A Practical Procedure for Customizable One-Way Sensitivity Analysis in Additive Value Models.”

Keywords: decision analysis; additive value models; Bayes' method; Bayesian learning; Choquet expected utility theory; game theory; homeland security; incentives; multiattribute utility; multiattribute value; nonadditive probability measures; parametric analysis; probability forecasts; probability evaluation; scoring rules; sensitivity analysis; uncertainty; utility; value-focused thinking; editorial (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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