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Fast Forecasting of Unstable Data Streams for On-Demand Service Platforms

Yu Jeffrey Hu (), Jeroen Rombouts () and Ines Wilms ()
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Yu Jeffrey Hu: Daniels School of Business, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana 47907
Jeroen Rombouts: Essec Business School, 95000 Cergy, France
Ines Wilms: Department of Quantitative Economics, Maastricht University, 6211 LK Maastricht, Netherlands

Information Systems Research, 2025, vol. 36, issue 1, 552-571

Abstract: On-demand service platforms face a challenging problem of forecasting a large collection of high-frequency regional demand data streams that exhibit instabilities. This paper develops a novel forecast framework that is fast and scalable and automatically assesses changing environments without human intervention. We empirically test our framework on a large-scale demand data set from a leading on-demand delivery platform in Europe and find strong performance gains from using our framework against several industry benchmarks across all geographical regions, loss functions, and both pre- and post-COVID periods. We translate forecast gains to economic impacts for this on-demand service platform by computing financial gains and reductions in computing costs.

Keywords: e-commerce; platform econometrics; streaming data; forecast breakdown (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/isre.2023.0130 (application/pdf)

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