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Evaluating Market Segmentation Studies: The Properties of R 2

Donald G. Morrison
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Donald G. Morrison: Columbia University

Management Science, 1973, vol. 19, issue 11, 1213-1221

Abstract: Virtually all of the empirical studies on market segmentation can be characterized as unsuccessful in terms of R 2 . That is, the set of independent variables used have not explained much of the variance in purchasing behavior. R 2 's of 0.01 and 0,02 are not uncommon. In this article we show that R 2 is an inappropriate statistic to use in evaluating most of these studies. We show that good models with good sets of variables can yield low (and even zero!) R 2 's. In this context "good" variables are ones that explain the average purchasing behavior of a family. The previous studies on market segmentation should be re-evaluated in light of the results presented here.

Date: 1973
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