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An Experimental Analysis of Network Planning

William R. King and Paul A. Lukas
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William R. King: University of Pittsburgh
Paul A. Lukas: Consultant, Republic of Indonesia

Management Science, 1973, vol. 19, issue 12, 1423-1432

Abstract: This study (1) tests some basic hypotheses related to the use of historical estimating behavioral information in network planning, and (2) makes comparative evaluations of a number of network planning techniques. Since a number of previous studies have evaluated similar hypotheses and techniques to a limited degree using data from real-world projects, this study utilizes a laboratory experiment as a means of generating data which have a richer potential for analysis. Although the results are not conclusive, the study further suggests the potential value of using historical estimating behavior as a basis for "adjusting" the single time estimates made by an individual or group and/or using a single-estimate simulation approach rather than using a multiple estimate approaches such as PERT.

Date: 1973
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