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Simulation, Synthesis and Urban Public Decision-Making

Michael A. Goldberg
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Michael A. Goldberg: University of British Columbia

Management Science, 1973, vol. 20, issue 4-Part-II, 629-644

Abstract: The 1960's saw the introduction of simulation techniques into the area of urban and regional planning. The present paper describes a large-scale urban simulation effort currently underway in Vancouver, British Columbia. The project differs from similar work in a number of ways. Most notably, the current effort stresses the process of model-building, including the widespread public use and discussion of the work and its limitations. The paper emphasizes this process orientation, and illustrates the content of the models with a detailed description of the economic submodel. This submodel combines input-output analysis with a simulation model of final demands to yield consistent economic forecasts for the region. Capsule summaries of the other submodels are also presented. The paper concludes with a focus on questions of use and misuse of simulation models.

Date: 1973
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