A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments

Robert F. Bordley
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Robert F. Bordley: General Motors Research Labs, Warren, Michigan

Management Science, 1982, vol. 28, issue 10, 1137-1148

Abstract: This paper presents an axiomatic approach to the problem of aggregating expert assessments of an event's probability into some group probability assessment. A multiplicative formula is derived.

Keywords: probability; games/group decisions; multiattribute utility theory (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1982
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:28:y:1982:i:10:p:1137-1148

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