Note---An Application of Closed-Form Error Analysis to Fiscal Impact Models

David A. Gulley
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David A. Gulley: Columbia University

Management Science, 1982, vol. 28, issue 2, 213-217

Abstract: For a variety of reasons, predictive power is not always a useful criterion of model validity. One alternative is a closed-form analysis of error propogation, but often the exact functional form is too unwieldy to use. A similar analysis is performed here, using a Taylor series approximation to the impact-multiplier submodel of a fiscal impact model, developed for coal and oil shale assessment.

Keywords: forecasting; natural resources: energy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1982
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:28:y:1982:i:2:p:213-217

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