A "Parallel Approach" Path to Estimating Collision Risk During Simultaneous Landings

Arnold Barnett
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Arnold Barnett: Operations Research Center, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139-4307

Management Science, 1999, vol. 45, issue 3, 382-394

Abstract: Airport capacity could increase if, even during inclement weather, independent landings could occur on parallel runways only about half a mile apart. A key question about such operations is whether the collision risk they entail is acceptably low. Pursuing that issue, we explore a method for estimating the chance that a plane on final approach during instrument flight conditions will "blunder" in a way that could imperil nearby aircraft. We argue that the method could yield an attractive combination of high estimation accuracy and relatively low cost.

Keywords: transportation; air; airports; collision risk; aviation safety; statistics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:45:y:1999:i:3:p:382-394

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