Complexity-Augmented Triage: A Tool for Improving Patient Safety and Operational Efficiency

Soroush Saghafian (), Wallace J. Hopp (), Mark P. Van Oyen (), Jeffrey S. Desmond () and Steven L. Kronick ()
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Soroush Saghafian: Industrial Engineering, School of Computing, Informatics and Decision Systems Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85281
Wallace J. Hopp: Ross School of Business, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109
Mark P. Van Oyen: Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109
Jeffrey S. Desmond: Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109
Steven L. Kronick: Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109

Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2014, vol. 16, issue 3, 329-345

Abstract: Hospital emergency departments (EDs) typically use triage systems that classify and prioritize patients almost exclusively in terms of their need for timely care. Using a combination of analytic and simulation models, we demonstrate that adding an up-front estimate of patient complexity to conventional urgency-based classification can substantially improve both patient safety (by reducing the risk of adverse events) and operational efficiency (by shortening the average length of stay). Moreover, we find that EDs with high resource (physician and/or examination room) utilization, high heterogeneity in the treatment time between simple and complex patients, and a relatively equal number of simple and complex patients benefit most from complexity-augmented triage. Finally, we find that (1) although misclassification of a complex patient as simple is slightly more harmful than vice versa, complexity-augmented triage is relatively robust to misclassification error rates as high as 25%; (2) streaming patients based on complexity information and prioritizing them based on urgency is better than doing the reverse; and (3) separating simple and complex patients via streaming facilitates the application of lean methods that can further amplify the benefit of complexity-augmented triage.

Keywords: healthcare operations; emergency department; triage; priority queues; patient prioritization; Markov decision processes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

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