Letter to the Editor—Winning Probability in an Ambush Engagement

Takasi Kisi and Tadasi Hirose
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Takasi Kisi: Defense Academy, Yokosuka, Japan
Tadasi Hirose: Defense Academy, Yokosuka, Japan

Operations Research, 1966, vol. 14, issue 6, 1137-1138

Abstract: The combat model of Lanchester type given by S. J. Deitchman in investigating guerrilla-counterguerrilla warfare is reformulated in stochastic form. The situation is such that the guerrillas, having been preparing an ambush for the approaching regular force, start firing; they fire on the regulars, who are in full view, while the latter are forced to return fire blindly into the area supposedly occupied by the guerrillas. A formula for the winning probability is derived, and its simple approximating expression in terms of Poisson probabilities is also given.

Date: 1966
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:oropre:v:14:y:1966:i:6:p:1137-1138

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