An Analysis of Baseball Batting Order by Monte Carlo Simulation

R. Allan Freeze
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R. Allan Freeze: University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Operations Research, 1974, vol. 22, issue 4, 728-735

Abstract: A Monte Carlo simulation of over 200,000 baseball games, using a programmed embodiment of the main features of the Sports Illustrated baseball game, shows that batting order exerts only a small influence on the outcomes of baseball games. The effect of using the best batting order rather than the worst is less than three extra wins per 162-game season. The traditional lineup, wherein a team's strongest batters hit in the third through fifth positions, is superior to a lineup in which batters are arranged in decreasing order of productivity.

Date: 1974
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