The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: A Test of Some Recent Studies

Arnold Barnett
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Arnold Barnett: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts

Operations Research, 1981, vol. 29, issue 2, 346-370

Abstract: Three recent regression-based statistical studies on the deterrent effect of capital punishment are examined. Evidence is presented that their underlying mathematical models are subject to large systematic error of unknown cause and that, in consequence, one cannot have strong confidence in their conclusions. In addition these models are recalibrated under a modification of their assumptions about “random error” that is implied by our analysis.

Date: 1981
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