Model Formulation: What Experts Think About and When

Thomas R. Willemain
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Thomas R. Willemain: Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, New York

Operations Research, 1995, vol. 43, issue 6, 916-932

Abstract: Model formulation is a critical craft skill that deserves more attention from OR practitioners and educators. As a step toward understanding how experts formulate OR models, I conducted an experiment in which twelve skilled analysts generated think-aloud protocols while working model formulation exercises 60 minutes long. The coded transcripts tracked the modelers' attention to five topics corresponding to stages in the usual OR paradigm: problem context and model structure, realization, assessment, and implementation. Analysis of the transcripts yielded these conclusions: topics other than structure attracted a significant proportion of modelers' attention; modelers frequently switched their attention among the topics; the switching was usually an alternation between structure and the other topics, especially assessment; on average, the modelers progressed through the topics in the given order; there was limited support for the notion of modeler-specific and problem-specific effects influencing the attention given to each topic; and there was support for the idea of individual modeling styles.

Keywords: philosophy of modeling; model formulation; professional; OR/MS education and implementation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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