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Monotone Forecasts

Çağrı Haksöz () and Sridhar Seshadri ()
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Çağrı Haksöz: Department of Information, Operations, and Management Sciences, Stern School of Business, New York University, New York, New York 10012

Operations Research, 2004, vol. 52, issue 3, 478-486

Abstract: In this paper we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the distribution of demand in the future to be stochastically increasing in the demand that has been observed in the past. We base our analysis on the multiperiod inventory model examined by Eppen and Iyer (1997). In the process of establishing the necessary and sufficient conditions we develop a new property called the sequential monotone likelihood ratio property.

Keywords: inventory/production; policies; probability; distribution comparisons; stochastic model applications; forecasting; applications (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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