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Lagrangian Inference for Ranking Problems

Yue Liu (), Ethan X. Fang () and Junwei Lu ()
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Yue Liu: Department of Statistics, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts 02138
Ethan X. Fang: Department of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27705
Junwei Lu: Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts 02130

Operations Research, 2023, vol. 71, issue 1, 202-223

Abstract: We propose a novel combinatorial inference framework to conduct general uncertainty quantification in ranking problems. We consider the widely adopted Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model, where each item is assigned a positive preference score that determines the Bernoulli distributions of pairwise comparisons’ outcomes. Our proposed method aims to infer general ranking properties of the BTL model. The general ranking properties include the “local” properties such as if an item is preferred over another and the “global” properties such as if an item is among the top K -ranked items. We further generalize our inferential framework to multiple testing problems where we control the false discovery rate (FDR) and apply the method to infer the top- K ranked items. We also derive the information-theoretic lower bound to justify the minimax optimality of the proposed method. We conduct extensive numerical studies using both synthetic and real data sets to back up our theory.

Keywords: Machine Learning and Data Science; combinatorial inference; ranking; pairwise comparisons; Bradley-Terry-Luce model; minimax lower bound (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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