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Systemic Portfolio Diversification

Agostino Capponi () and Marko Weber ()
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Agostino Capponi: Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027
Marko Weber: Department of Mathematics, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119077, Singapore

Operations Research, 2024, vol. 72, issue 1, 110-131

Abstract: We study the portfolio choice problem of banks, taking into account losses due to fire-sale spillovers. We show that the optimal asset allocation can be recovered as the unique Nash equilibrium of a potential game. Our analysis highlights the key tradeoff between individual diversification and systemic risk. In a stylized model economy featuring two banks and two assets, we show that sacrificing individual diversification to reduce portfolio commonality increases the likelihood of a sale event, while simultaneously decreasing the probability of a costly systemic sell-off. Banks have stronger incentives to achieve systemic diversification if there is more heterogeneity in leverage among them, leading to a decrease in the overall vulnerability of the system. We provide numerical evidence that our conclusions are robust with respect to the number of banks and assets in the system.

Keywords: Financial Engineering; systemic diversification; leverage; fire-sale externalities; aggregate vulnerability; network effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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