A Vulnerability Model for Weapon Sites with Interdependent Elements

Sidney I. Firstman
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Sidney I. Firstman: The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California

Operations Research, 1959, vol. 7, issue 2, 217-225

Abstract: This paper describes a simple “counting” model, employing overlays and probability-grids, which aids in the determination of the trade-offs, measured in survival probability, between site dispersal and hardening for a weapon complex composed of several interdependent elements, separated by distances of less than two lethal radii. The survival-probability expressions are obtained through the use of Markov chains. An example of vulnerability estimation by the use of the model is discussed and referenced.

Date: 1959
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:oropre:v:7:y:1959:i:2:p:217-225

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