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Airspace Conflict Equations

Kenneth E. Geisinger
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Kenneth E. Geisinger: Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, D.C.

Transportation Science, 1985, vol. 19, issue 2, 139-153

Abstract: In this paper, equations are developed for computing the number of potential conflicts at an intersection of flight paths. A “potential conflict” is defined as the simultaneous violation of minimum (not necessarily equal) vertical and horizontal separation requirements. The assumption is made that the aircraft continue straight-line, constant-speed flight through the intersection (“blind flying”). Fortunately, in most cases pilots or air traffic controllers will detect the threat and a course change will be made, avoiding an actual conflict. The number of potential conflicts serves as a measure of relative risk, or as a measure of the workload placed on a separation assurance system.

Date: 1985
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