Synthetic Population Dynamics: A Model of Household Demography

Nicholas Geard (), James M McCaw (), Alan Dorin (), Kevin B Korb () and Jodie McVernon ()
Additional contact information
Nicholas Geard: http://sites.google.com/site/nicgeard/
James M McCaw: http://mathmodelling.sph.unimelb.edu.au/~jamesm/
Alan Dorin: http://www.csse.monash.edu.au/~aland
Kevin B Korb: http://www.csse.monash.edu.au/~korb
Jodie McVernon: http://www.sph.unimelb.edu.au/about/contact/allstaff/mcvernon

Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2013, vol. 16, issue 1, 8

Abstract: Computer-simulated synthetic populations are used by researchers and policy makers to help understand and predict the aggregate behaviour of large numbers of individuals. Research aims include explaining the structural and dynamic characteristics of populations, and the implications of these characteristics for dynamic processes such as the spread of disease, opinions and social norms. Policy makers planning for the future economic, healthcare or infrastructure needs of a population want to be able to evaluate the possible effects of their policies. In both cases, it is desirable that the structure and dynamic behaviour of synthetic populations be statistically congruent to that of real populations. Here, we present a parsimonious individual-based model for generating synthetic population dynamics that focuses on the effects that demographic change have on the structure and composition of households.

Keywords: Demography; Synthetic Populations; Household Dynamics; Individual-Based Models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-01-31
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jas:jasssj:2012-57-2

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